How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5 +10.0
+0.1
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3 -9.7
-0.2
PlymouthCountyAllStars 0 Bevman 1 +0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
FightingSquirrels vs Brewskis-10.2-0.8+10.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxers+9.9-0.7-9.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars vs SSFlyers-0.5*-0.2+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewskis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup12345678Count
2460-00InNo571249,393
2350-01InNo1564312,216
2251-00InNo406055,745
40-02InNo40606,734
2141-0199.7%No2476061,315
30-03InNo23772,107
2042-0098.3No14842138,754
31-0298.4No1484227,319
20-0497.1No11863343
1932-0190.6No5869123,545
21-0392.2No58786,093
10-0597.2No692336
1833-0080.0No27820185,898
22-0278.9No2772141,195
11-0477.5No27623688
00-06InNo1001
1723-0156.1No05644123,804
12-0358.0No058426,205
01-0557.1No574321
1624-0039.7No04060138,604
13-0236.4No0366427,648
02-0431.4No3169382
1514-0116.8No178361,293
03-0315.8No16842,089
1415-008.3No89255,672
04-025.4No5956,810
1305-010.7No19912,457
1206-00OutNo1009,137
Total:68.5%No0861311,115,504
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/9100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3 +2.7
FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3 -0.1
IceAge 3 Sharks 6 -0.1
Surge 4 Rippers 1 -0.1
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5 -0.1
BashBros 4 LuckyDawgs 6 -0.1
Haulers 4 Blackbeers 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
SilkyMitts vs NESHLSouth-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16100.0*Lottery seed
FightingSquirrels vs Brewskis+2.5+0.0-2.5
MooseKnuckles vs Magoos-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cyclones vs Sharks+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bevman vs Haulers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Chiefs vs RocklandLiquors+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1*-0.0+0.1
JagrBombs vs PourSports+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rangers vs SurgeSouth+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs SilkyMitts+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrille+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Ticklefight vs Hogbuffs+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Blackbeers vs ATCJets+0.0+0.1-0.1
IceAge vs Beavers-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243
2460-000031324271993100
2350-0101311202421135100
2251-00001381622211594100
40-02012716222216104100
2141-01000139172322157200
30-030138192322137200
2042-0000026131821191362000
31-0200025111822201362000
20-04124916222413711
1932-0100271522221794100
21-0300027152322189410
10-0561111251911836
1833-00000137142122171041000
22-020013714212218104100
11-0400261322231911311
00-06100
1723-01000014101722211472100
12-030024101822211373000
01-05102414331055
1624-00000141120252212410
13-02000141120252212410
02-0401691925211351
1514-0100139202824122
03-030139192724143
1415-00002123037181
04-0202123037191
1305-0101833525
1206-001126424
Total:000000111222334455556665555544320