Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSérie BChance will finish regular season at seedSérie D
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Guarani288-1-41399.2%-0.290.5%-1.87416621001.4-0.06No1Guarani
Botafogo-PB226-3-4685.8+16.655.5+18.9312418138420002.6+0.91No-0.06Botafogo-PB
Fortaleza226-3-4584.2-0.554.6-0.7322217139520002.7-0.03No-0.011Fortaleza
Botafogo-SP236-2-51176.2+16.838.1+13.6112722171284003.3+0.78No-0.03Botafogo-SP
Boa226-3-4967.4-2.827.8-4.0720211815116003.7-0.13No2Boa Esporte Clube
Remo205-3-5464.3-12.529.0-16.912171817141173103.8-0.730.0%+0.010Remo
ASA205-3-5163.4-0.728.9-0.513161717151173103.8-0.020.0-0.05ASA
ABC195-4-4454.3-1.222.0-0.69131617171494104.3-0.040.0-0.012ABC
Ypiranga-RS206-5-2-245.8-3.313.7-2.93111517181816204.7-0.120.09Ypiranga-RS
Juventude205-3-51041.2-3.211.6-1.62101316181918304.9-0.090.0-0.08Juventude
Tombense-MG205-3-5740.2-3.211.4-1.72101316182019304.9-0.090.0-0.04Tombense-MG
Mogi Mirim195-4-4-129.6-2.77.0-1.61610131721275105.4-0.080.0-0.07Mogi Mirim
América-RN164-5-4-220.4-0.74.9-0.11469131720161036.2-0.021.2-0.313América-RN
Salgueiro164-5-4-319.5-0.44.4-0.21369131819151046.3-0.021.5-0.314Salgueiro
Cuiabá-MT133-6-4-14.5-0.30.4-0.0001369142225197.9-0.0110.5-1.216Cuiabá-MT
Confiança132-4-7-72.7-0.20.3-0.0001247122128258.3-0.0112.9-1.718Confiança
River-PI112-6-5-70.9-0.10.0-0.000012471523488.9-0.0130.8-2.619River-PI
Macaé113-8-2-100.2-0.10.0-0.0000126414568.4+0.0924.5-1.815Macaé
Portuguesa113-8-2-90.2-1.30.0-0.1000025424468.5-0.3324.3+8.817Portuguesa
Guaratinguetá41-11-1-28OutNo039889.9+0.0394.3-0.920Guaratinguetá

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/13
Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Boa+0.5
Tombense-MG+17.7
+6.9
+0.9
Mogi Mirim-17.0
-9.7
-0.8
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP+17.6
+14.6
*No
+0.8
Boa-3.0
-4.4
Ypiranga-RS-3.3
-2.8
Juventude-3.4
-1.9
Tombense-MG-3.4
-1.9
Mogi Mirim-3.0
-1.6
River-PI-2.6
Macaé-2.2
Portuguesa-1.4
+9.2
-0.3
Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+17.2
+20.2
No
+1.0
Fortaleza-0.5
-0.8
Remo-13.4
-17.8
-0.8
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP-3.2
-1.4
Boa-2.8
-1.7
Ypiranga-RS+16.4
+6.8
+0.8
Juventude-3.4
-1.4
Tombense-MG-3.5
-0.8
Mogi Mirim-3.0
-0.6
Macaé-1.8
Guaratinguetá+7.2
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+0.9
+0.8
ASA+0.9
+0.7
ABC+0.8
+0.4
América-RN+9.3
+2.2
-5.5
+0.9
Salgueiro-13.9
-5.6
+1.2
-0.9
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+0.8
+2.8
Fortaleza-6.7
-12.5
-0.5
Remo+0.5
+2.8
ASA+0.7
+2.8
ABC+0.7
+2.4
Cuiabá-MT+2.4
-14.4
+0.6
Confiança+2.2
River-PI+3.4
Macaé+3.8
Portuguesa+2.5
Confiança 1 ABC 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+1.3
+1.1
Fortaleza+0.6
+1.2
Remo+1.0
+1.1
ASA+1.1
+1.0
ABC-3.9
-4.4
-0.2
Cuiabá-MT-0.3
Confiança-2.3
-0.5
+0.8
-0.2
Juventude 1 Boa 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP+1.3
+2.8
Boa-1.7
-4.4
-0.1
Juventude-4.2
-3.8
-0.2
Tombense-MG+1.6
+2.0
River-PI 0 ASA 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+1.0
+1.1
Fortaleza+0.4
+1.2
Remo+0.8
+1.4
ASA-3.4
-5.0
-0.2
ABC+0.9
+0.9
Cuiabá-MT-0.8
River-PI-1.1
+3.0
-0.2
Macaé-0.8
Portuguesa-0.6
Macaé 2 Guarani 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+3.1
+11.2
+0.4
Botafogo-SP-2.7
Boa-2.6
Mogi Mirim-2.0
Cuiabá-MT-2.0
River-PI-2.0
Macaé-1.4
+9.2
-0.4
Week of 8/20
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MGIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Ypiranga-RS68.741.026.5
25.89.74.7
3.74.85.5
Tombense-MG21.535.162.8
3.47.822.1
0.00.0No
5.75.14.0
ASA vs América-RNHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB85.487.085.3
51.857.857.4
2.72.62.6
Fortaleza83.285.4*84.2
51.356.656.3
2.82.62.6
ASA83.460.245.9
46.123.515.8
No0.00.0
2.94.04.7
América-RN7.515.237.2
0.72.710.9
2.41.00.0
7.16.55.2
ABC vs FortalezaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza72.0*84.296.3
36.551.475.1
3.42.81.9
ABC75.849.736.4
39.717.18.1
No0.00.0
3.24.55.2
Portuguesa vs JuventudeHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP78.977.272.9
40.039.035.4
3.23.33.4
Boa70.168.963.5
29.529.025.1
3.63.73.9
Ypiranga-RS49.046.941.7
14.914.112.2
4.64.64.8
Juventude26.735.360.2
4.87.921.2
0.0NoNo
5.55.14.1
Tombense-MG43.241.436.4
12.211.810.3
4.84.85.0
Mogi Mirim32.030.926.3
7.57.36.3
5.35.35.5
Confiança15.612.510.5
River-PI35.130.126.9
Macaé27.923.821.6
8.68.48.3
Portuguesa0.40.00.0
0.0*NoNo
9.526.937.2
8.18.68.7
Remo vs ConfiançaHomeEmpateAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB83.986.787.0
51.057.258.7
2.82.62.5
Fortaleza82.384.985.5
50.356.357.6
2.82.62.6
Remo82.460.149.3
46.023.016.5
No0.00.0
2.94.04.6
ASA60.464.665.5
25.430.131.5
4.03.83.8
ABC51.155.556.6
19.323.024.0
4.44.24.2
Confiança0.31.06.4
0.00.00.7
21.413.63.8
8.88.57.6
Boa vs GuaraniHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani98.099.6100.0
81.691.398.7
1.71.41.1
Botafogo-SP73.476.978.6
34.040.040.7
3.43.23.3
Boa84.963.153.1
46.221.813.9
2.94.04.4
Ypiranga-RS42.346.748.7
12.514.714.2
4.84.64.6
Juventude37.642.144.0
9.712.612.7
5.04.84.8
Tombense-MG36.841.143.0
9.512.312.6
5.04.94.8
Mogi Mirim26.730.232.2
6.47.47.2
5.55.45.3
Mogi Mirim vs MacaéHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Boa63.968.570.0
26.528.328.7
3.93.73.6
Ypiranga-RS42.447.148.3
12.914.114.3
4.84.64.6
Juventude37.842.543.5
10.911.912.1
5.04.84.8
Tombense-MG36.841.542.7
10.411.812.0
5.04.84.8
Mogi Mirim46.723.817.0
13.74.32.3
No0.00.0
4.65.66.0
Confiança10.512.515.6
River-PI26.930.135.1
MacaéOut0.00.5
NoNo0.0
37.427.19.5
8.78.68.1
Portuguesa21.323.627.8
8.38.48.6
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MTHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Salgueiro34.514.68.2
9.32.41.0
0.01.23.3
5.26.57.2
Cuiabá-MT0.82.59.9
0.00.11.1
18.011.22.4
8.78.27.0
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SPHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP63.773.990.6
23.932.656.5
3.93.52.6
Boa69.768.064.6
31.929.622.2
3.63.73.9
Ypiranga-RS48.446.143.0
16.614.510.3
4.64.64.8
Juventude43.941.738.1
13.612.29.1
4.84.85.0
Tombense-MG42.940.737.2
13.412.18.9
4.84.95.0
Macaé0.0*0.0No
26.124.023.3
8.58.48.4
Portuguesa0.0*0.0No
25.923.723.2
8.58.48.4
Guaratinguetá88.596.698.4
9.79.99.9
River-PI vs Botafogo-PBHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB76.484.696.1
40.550.674.2
3.22.81.9
Fortaleza84.984.483.2
58.155.750.2
2.62.62.8
Remo65.664.762.6
32.330.324.7
3.73.84.0
ASA64.763.761.9
32.230.124.7
3.83.84.0
ABC55.954.752.4
24.822.918.6
4.24.24.4
River-PI2.20.20.0
0.10.0No
14.634.044.5
8.49.29.4
Macaé29.323.620.4
Portuguesa29.023.520.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you edsferr for adding this league.