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Ice Fortune Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 49.5%
0 points 0 2-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | -26.8-2.0+27.3 | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | ||
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | -4.8*-0.5+4.9 | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | ||
| TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | +3.4*-0.6-3.3 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | -0.9*-0.2+1.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | -20.5-2.9+21.1 | -0.8-0.2+0.8 | ||
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | +4.4-1.0-4.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| PuckNSuds vs Rippers | -2.4-4.7+3.4 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | -3.1-1.8+3.5 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the IceFortune finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | ||||||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 1 | 10 | 31 | 41 | 16 | 1 | 46,812 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.4 | % | No | 0 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 31,299 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 89.5 | No | 2 | 18 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 139,537 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 89.0 | No | 1 | 14 | 38 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 6,871 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 43.1 | No | 1 | 8 | 34 | 43 | 13 | 62,024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 44.5 | No | 1 | 10 | 34 | 43 | 13 | 481 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 12.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 41 | 140,334 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 7.6 | No | 8 | 48 | 44 | 6,835 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 22 | 78 | 31,159 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | 47,128 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 49.5 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 23 | 27 | 512,480 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +4.4+0.8-4.6 | |
| Ticklefight vs Cashholes | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | |
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| GLP vs Chiefs | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
| ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | *-0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | +4.1+0.9-4.3 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | +0.0+0.3-0.1 | |
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | |
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| GLP vs Cyclones | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| PuckNSuds vs Rippers | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | |||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 14 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 25 | 14 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 38 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 83 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | |||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:19 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
