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Gunners HC Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Plays NESHLSouth, playoff odds down 0.001 to 93.9%
2 points 1 2-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +6.1+2.4-6.6 | +2.8-0.1-2.8 | ||
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | -1.6-0.5+1.7 | +0.1-0.2-0.0 | ||
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | -1.1*-0.2+1.2 | |||
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | -1.1*-0.1+1.1 | |||
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | +0.4-0.8-0.2 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| GLP vs Chiefs | +0.6*-0.1-0.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | -0.2-0.5+0.3 | |||
| Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.4*-0.1-0.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | +0.2-0.4-0.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | ||
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Ticklefight vs Cashholes | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |||
| HighWide vs NESHLSouth | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +6.1+2.6-6.7 | +2.8-0.1-2.8 | ||
| GLP vs Cyclones | +1.7-0.7-1.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.6*+0.1+0.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | -0.5*-0.0+0.5 | |||
| Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.5*-0.1-0.5 | |||
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | -0.3*-0.1+0.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the GunnersHC finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | ||||||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0 | % | 2 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 46,654 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31,218 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140,627 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6,999 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62,250 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 469 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.9 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 139,890 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6,970 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 82.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 30,902 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 44.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 33 | 22 | 46,501 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 93.9 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 512,480 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -5.2+0.1+5.2 | |
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | -0.2+0.3+0.1 | |
| GLP vs Chiefs | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| HighWide vs NESHLSouth | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -5.2+0.1+5.3 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | |
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |
| GLP vs Cyclones | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Cougars vs SouthKnights | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | |||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:19 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
