Surge South Playoff Chances SBSummer2019 50/50
Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 85.7%
0 points 0 0-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SurgeSouth vs Sullivans | InIn-17.5 | +5.6NoNo | +6.1+2.2-6.5 | |||
| ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy vs Ticklefight | +0.3-2.4+0.3 | -0.1+0.4-0.0 | ||||
| MooseKnuckles vs GoonSquad | +0.3-2.4+0.3 | -0.0+0.4-0.1 | ||||
| GLP vs Chiefs | +0.3-2.4+0.3 | *-0.0+0.4-0.1 | ||||
| Sharks vs IceAge | +0.3-2.4+0.2 | -0.1+0.4-0.0 | ||||
| Rangers vs RoyalDangleBerries | +0.3-2.4+0.3 | -0.0+0.5-0.1 | ||||
| Magoos vs Hogbuffs | +0.2-2.4+0.3 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||
| Ducks vs HotNut | *-0.0+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| BashBros vs ATCJets | -0.0+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| JagrBombs vs Dynamo | -0.0+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| Rippers vs SSFlyers | *-0.0+0.4-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the SurgeSouth finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | Count | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 10.1 | % | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 2,456,007 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 544,662 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 68.2 | % | No | 8 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 2,456,415 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 85.7 | % | 4.5 | % | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5,457,084 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| SurgeSouth vs Sullivans | -9.4-3.4+10.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | |||
| 2 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:20 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
