How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WeathervaneRangers 6 Bruins 3 -0.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-8.4+2.8+7.7
-0.9-0.7+1.1
-1.1+0.0+1.1
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis+2.4-1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-2.1+0.5+1.9
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-1.1*+0.2+1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+0.4*-0.2-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-0.4*+0.0+0.4
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.0-0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.1-0.1
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Ticklefight vs Cashholes-0.1*+0.1+0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-8.3+2.5+7.7
-0.9-0.7+1.1
-1.1-0.0+1.1
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+2.4+1.1-2.7
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers+1.1+0.4-1.2
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers*-0.1-0.7+0.3
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.4*+0.1-0.4
Cougars vs SouthKnights-0.4*+0.0+0.4
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3*+0.1-0.3
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.3*+0.1-0.3
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.0-0.1
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.1*+0.0-0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.1*+0.0-0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ShowPonyLifestyle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
1040-00In20.2%10020,998
930-01In2.4901018,641
831-00In0.15836684,725
20-02In0.0613446,123
721-01InNo74040121056,054
10-03InNo1241351110874
622-00InNo11229351940125,998
11-02InNo072538246012,250
00-04InNo8154627452
512-0199.4%No01133637131055,631
01-0399.6No1113239150935
413-0075.4No0212253620484,154
02-0274.1No021025382146,201
303-0136.4No00333461818,832
204-0010.0No010345621,012
Total:89.5%0.9%191413131110974512,480
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
WeathervaneRangers 6 Bruins 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+4.8+0.0-4.8
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+0.1+0.0-0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles+0.0-0.1-0.0
IceAge vs Wolfhounds-0.1+0.0+0.1
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis-0.0+0.1+0.0
HighWide vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth-0.1+0.0+0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth-0.1+0.0+0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.0+0.1+0.0
GLP vs Chiefs+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth-0.0-0.1+0.0
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+0.1-0.0-0.0
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+0.1-0.0-0.0
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle+4.8+0.1-4.9
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets+0.1+0.1-0.1
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+0.1-0.0-0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cougars vs SouthKnights-0.1-0.0+0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cashholes vs IceFortune+0.1-0.1-0.0
GLP vs Cyclones+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
1040-0020392711200
930-0121327291872000
831-000151422221610521000
20-02015142023181152100
721-010002613182017127310000
10-0301371919191495210
622-00001261116171511964210000
11-0200014813161513118631000
00-046131381912101262
512-010001259121415151284210000
01-0301346111615161285210
413-0000012581112121212107421000
02-020002479121313121085210
303-01000136101418181495100
204-000013713202220123
Total:1234544333445543322222233322222111111100