"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Wyandanch Warriors Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat GSM 23-7, playoff odds up 12.4 to 78.8%
1-0-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wyandanch 23 GSM 7 | +12.5 | +1.1 | ||
| Southampton 0 SWR 35 | -0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Port Jefferson vs Wyandanch | -10.8*+2.4+10.8 | -1.1+0.0+1.1 | ||
| Glenn vs Babylon | -0.3*-0.9+0.3 | |||
| Hampton Bays vs Southampton | +0.2*-1.0-0.2 | |||
| SWR vs Mt. Sinai | -0.2*-0.9+0.2 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| GSM vs Center Moriches | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wyandanch finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Count | |||
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 33,334 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | 164 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 87 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 226,592 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 76 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1,082 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 40 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 683,379 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 14 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2,670 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1,136,925 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 17 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 6 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3,687 | ||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 93.3 | % | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,136,093 | |||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 63.6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 2,854 | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 682,102 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 25 | 25 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 45 | 15 | 1,068 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 227,390 | ||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 20 | 79 | 163 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 33,232 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 78.8 | % | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4,170,748 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Wyandanch 23 GSM 7 | -1.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Port Jefferson vs Wyandanch | +1.1-0.0-1.1 | |
| SWR vs Mt. Sinai | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| GSM vs Center Moriches | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 87 | 12 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 76 | 23 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 40 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 14 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 17 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 1 | ||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 3 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 50 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 46 | 16 | ||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 45 | ||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 20 | 79 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | |||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:29 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
