Bayport-Blue Point Phantoms Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Lost to Mt. Sinai 14-31, playoff odds down 12.4 to 54.6%
0-1-0 .000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BBP 14 Mt. Sinai 31 | -12.4 | -1.1 | ||
| Center Moriches 7 Glenn 34 | +0.3 | |||
| Hampton Bays 2 East Hampton 0 | -0.3 | |||
| Southampton 0 SWR 35 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BBP vs East Hampton | +15.3*-0.6-15.3 | +1.2-0.2-1.2 | ||
| GSM vs Center Moriches | +0.5*+0.8-0.5 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Hampton Bays vs Southampton | +0.4*+1.0-0.4 | |||
| SWR vs Mt. Sinai | -0.4*-0.6+0.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Port Jefferson vs Wyandanch | -0.2*+1.0+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the BBP finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Count | |||
| 7 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | 33,233 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 24 | 1 | 163 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 46 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227,533 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 15 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1,035 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 682,014 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2,658 | ||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 94.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1,136,933 | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 67 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 65.0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3,718 | ||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 1,137,321 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 75.0 | 25 | 50 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 43 | 14 | 2,776 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 681,085 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 23 | 76 | 1,098 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 227,506 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 98 | 166 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 49 | 50 | 33,497 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 54.6 | % | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4,170,748 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| BBP 14 Mt. Sinai 31 | +1.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| BBP vs East Hampton | -1.2+0.2+1.2 | |
| SWR vs Mt. Sinai | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| GSM vs Center Moriches | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Hampton Bays vs Southampton | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 75 | 24 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 46 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 0 | ||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 67 | 33 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 6 | 0 | ||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 43 | 14 | ||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 39 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 33 | 67 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 23 | 76 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | ||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 2 | 98 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 99 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:29 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
