Mt. Sinai Mustangs Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Beat BBP 31-14, playoff odds up 12.7 to 79.3%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Mt. Sinai finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Count

8		7	-	0	-	0	In		100	0												33,099
7	.5	6	-	0	-	1	In		98	2												180
7		6	-	1	-	0	In		89	11	0											227,694
6	.5	5	-	1	-	1	In		77	21	2											1,120
6		5	-	2	-	0	In		42	42	14	2	0									681,315
		4	-	1	-	2	In		100													1
5	.5	4	-	2	-	1	In		15	43	33	8	0									2,735
5		4	-	3	-	0	In		3	16	30	30	16	4	0	0						1,137,045
		3	-	2	-	2	In			33	33	33										3
4	.5	3	-	3	-	1	In			0	6	30	39	20	4	0						3,662
4		3	-	4	-	0	93.8	%		0	1	6	18	27	26	17	5	1	0			1,136,653
		2	-	3	-	2	In							33	33	33						3
3	.5	2	-	4	-	1	64.6						0	3	21	41	29	6	0			2,815
3		2	-	5	-	0	22.6					0	0	0	5	17	30	29	15	3		682,354
		1	-	4	-	2	Out											50	50			2
2	.5	1	-	5	-	1	0.4									0	7	34	43	15		1,099
2		1	-	6	-	0	0.1								0	0	2	15	40	42		227,630
1	.5	0	-	6	-	1	Out											1	31	68		187
1		0	-	7	-	0	Out											1	11	88		33,151

Total:							79.3	%	13	12	11	10	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	4		4,170,748

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13

8		7	-	0	-	0	100	0
7	.5	6	-	0	-	1	98	2
7		6	-	1	-	0	89	11	0
6	.5	5	-	1	-	1	77	21	2
6		5	-	2	-	0	42	42	14	2	0
		4	-	1	-	2	100
5	.5	4	-	2	-	1	15	43	33	8	0
5		4	-	3	-	0	3	16	30	30	16	4	0	0
		3	-	2	-	2		33	33	33
4	.5	3	-	3	-	1		0	6	30	39	20	4	0
4		3	-	4	-	0		0	1	6	18	27	26	17	5	1	0
		2	-	3	-	2						33	33	33
3	.5	2	-	4	-	1					0	3	21	41	28	7	0
3		2	-	5	-	0				0	0	0	5	17	29	29	16	3
		1	-	4	-	2										50	50
2	.5	1	-	5	-	1								0	6	33	44	16
2		1	-	6	-	0							0	0	2	15	40	43
1	.5	0	-	6	-	1										1	29	70
1		0	-	7	-	0										1	11	89

Total:							13	12	11	10	9	9	8	7	6	6	5	4