Greenport-Southold-Mattituck Porters Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Lost to Wyandanch 7-23, playoff odds down 13 to 53.4%
0-1-0 .000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wyandanch 23 GSM 7 | -12.5 | -1.1 | ||
| Southampton 0 SWR 35 | -0.3 | |||
| BBP 14 Mt. Sinai 31 | -0.3 | |||
| Babylon 49 Port Jefferson 28 | -0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GSM vs Center Moriches | +15.0*+2.2-15.0 | +1.1+0.0-1.1 | ||
| Port Jefferson vs Wyandanch | -0.5*-0.6+0.5 | |||
| Hampton Bays vs Southampton | +0.2*-2.5-0.2 | |||
| Glenn vs Babylon | +0.1*-1.6-0.1 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the GSM finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Count | |||
| 7 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 84 | 15 | 1 | 32,747 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 23 | 2 | 186 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 37 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 227,951 | ||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 14 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1,073 | |||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 682,667 | ||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2,771 | ||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 93.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,138,211 | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 25 | 25 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 63.8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 3,646 | ||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1,135,419 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 45 | 16 | 2,682 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 44 | 682,148 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 17 | 82 | 1,042 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 226,750 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 176 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 50 | 50 | 33,272 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 53.4 | % | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 4,170,748 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Wyandanch 23 GSM 7 | +1.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| GSM vs Center Moriches | -1.1-0.0+1.1 | |
| Glenn vs Babylon | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 84 | 15 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 75 | 23 | 2 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 37 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 14 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 50 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 6 | 0 | ||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 45 | 16 | ||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 42 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 19 | 81 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | |||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:29 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
