St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 1

Beat Reds 5-4, playoff odds up 3.1 to 59.3%

5-2 .714

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals 5 Reds 4	+2.5		+0.9		-0.1		+0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals vs Reds	+2.6-3.7		+1.0-1.4		-0.1+0.1		+0.2-0.3
Nationals vs White Sox	-0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

107	-160				In		Yes		100															No		335	*
106		101	-	54	In		99.5	%	99	1														No		182
105		100	-	55	In		99.7		100	0														No		335
104		99	-	56	In		99.8		100	0														No		630
103		98	-	57	In		98.7		99	1														No		954
102		97	-	58	In		97.6		99	0		0												No		1,430
101		96	-	59	In		96.8		99	1		0												No		2,359
100		95	-	60	In		94.6		98	1		0												No		3,514
99		94	-	61	In		92.3		97	2	0	0												No		5,284
98		93	-	62	In		87.6		95	4		1												No		7,279
97		92	-	63	In		81.4		93	6	0	1												No		9,899
96		91	-	64	In		72.2		89	9	0	2	0											No		13,313
95		90	-	65	In		61.0		83	13	0	3	0											No		17,593
94		89	-	66	In		48.0		76	19	1	5	0											No		22,133
93		88	-	67	In		34.1		66	24	2	7	0											No		27,370
92		87	-	68	100.0	%	21.2		54	31	3	11	0	0										No		32,682
91		86	-	69	100.0		11.1		42	35	6	16	1	0										No		39,051
90		85	-	70	99.9		4.7		29	38	10	21	2	0	0									No		44,310
89		84	-	71	99.6		1.4		18	36	14	26	5	0	0	0								No		49,450
88		83	-	72	98.7		0.3		9	31	19	30	10	1	0	0								No		53,912
87		82	-	73	95.9		0.0		4	22	23	30	18	4	0	0	0							No		56,908
86		81	-	74	88.6		No		1	13	23	25	26	10	2	0	0							No		58,167
85		80	-	75	74.4		No		0	6	20	17	30	19	5	1	0	0	0					No		58,333
84		79	-	76	53.2		No		0	2	15	9	27	29	14	4	0	0						No		56,592
83		78	-	77	29.8		No			1	10	3	16	30	26	11	3	0	0	0				No		54,309
82		77	-	78	12.9		No			0	5	1	7	21	31	24	9	2	0	0				No		50,549
81		76	-	79	4.5		No			0	3	0	2	9	24	31	22	8	2	0	0			No		45,376
80		75	-	80	1.5		No			0	1	0	0	3	12	26	31	19	7	1	0	0		No		39,802
79		74	-	81	0.4		No				0	0	0	0	3	14	28	31	18	5	1	0	0	No		33,991
78		73	-	82	0.1		No				0		0	0	1	4	16	31	29	15	4	0	0	No		28,582
77		72	-	83	0.0		No				0		0	0	0	1	7	20	32	27	11	2	0	No		23,012
76		71	-	84	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	2	9	25	34	22	6	1	No		18,191
75		70	-	85	0.0		No				0				0	0	1	3	15	31	33	15	2	0.0	%	13,969
74		69	-	86	Out		No									0	0	1	7	21	37	27	7	0.2		10,526
73		68	-	87	Out		No										0	0	2	13	33	36	15	1.3		7,861
72		67	-	88	Out		No											0	1	6	25	44	24	3.4		5,515
71		66	-	89	Out		No										0	0	0	3	16	44	37	9.9		3,809
70		65	-	90	Out		No												0	1	9	40	50	19.7		2,501
69		64	-	91	Out		No												0	1	6	33	61	33.0		1,662
68		63	-	92	Out		No													0	4	27	70	46.0		1,110
67		62	-	93	Out		No													0	2	19	79	61.1		681
66		61	-	94	Out		No														1	14	85	70.2		409
65		60	-	95	Out		No														1	12	88	76.4		233
64		59	-	96	Out		No															4	96	83.1		142
63		58	-	97	Out		No															2	98	93.8		97
5	-62				Out		No																100	97.5		158	*

Total:					59.3	%	9.2	%	17	13	9	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	0.4	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cardinals 5 Reds 4	-0.5

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Reds	-0.5+0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

107	-160				100
106		101	-	54	99	1
105		100	-	55	100	0
104		99	-	56	100	0
103		98	-	57	99	1
102		97	-	58	98	2
101		96	-	59	97	3
100		95	-	60	95	5	0
99		94	-	61	92	7	0	0
98		93	-	62	88	12	0	0
97		92	-	63	81	17	1	0
96		91	-	64	72	25	3	0
95		90	-	65	61	32	7	1	0
94		89	-	66	48	38	12	2	0	0	0
93		88	-	67	34	41	19	5	1	0	0
92		87	-	68	21	38	27	10	2	0	0	0			0
91		86	-	69	11	30	32	19	6	2	0	0	0		0
90		85	-	70	5	18	30	26	15	5	1	0	0		0
89		84	-	71	1	8	21	29	23	12	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
88		83	-	72	0	3	10	20	27	22	12	4	1	0	1	0	0	0
87		82	-	73	0	1	3	9	19	25	22	12	4	1	4	0	0	0
86		81	-	74		0	0	2	8	16	24	22	12	3	9	2	0	0	0	0
85		80	-	75			0	0	1	6	14	22	22	10	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
84		79	-	76			0	0	0	1	4	11	20	18	17	16	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
83		78	-	77					0	0	0	3	10	17	10	19	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		77	-	78						0	0	0	2	10	2	9	19	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
81		76	-	79							0	0	0	4	0	2	6	14	22	22	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
80		75	-	80								0	0	1	0	0	1	3	9	17	24	21	14	6	2	1	0	0
79		74	-	81									0	0		0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
78		73	-	82										0		0	0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
77		72	-	83										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
76		71	-	84										0						0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
75		70	-	85										0							0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	26	18	9	3	0	0
74		69	-	86																			0	0	0	1	5	13	22	27	20	9	2	0
73		68	-	87																					0	0	1	5	12	24	27	20	8	1
72		67	-	88																					0	0	0	1	6	16	27	30	17	3
71		66	-	89																					0		0	0	1	7	20	32	29	10
70		65	-	90																								0	0	3	12	27	38	20
69		64	-	91																									0	1	5	21	39	33
68		63	-	92																											2	12	39	46
67		62	-	93																											1	8	30	61
66		61	-	94																											0	5	24	70
65		60	-	95																											0	3	21	76
64		59	-	96																													17	83
63		58	-	97																												1	5	94
62		57	-	98																													8	92
61		56	-	99																														100
60		55	-	100																													7	93
5	-59																																	100

Total:					9	8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0