Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 1

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 46.3%

4-2 .667

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Nationals vs White Sox	+2.3-3.4		+0.6-0.9		-0.2+0.3		+0.2-0.3
Mariners vs Astros			-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

105	-160				In		Yes		100															No		364	*
104		100	-	56	In		99.0	%	99	0		0												No		210
103		99	-	57	In		99.2		99	1														No		391
102		98	-	58	In		98.8		100	0														No		581
101		97	-	59	In		96.4		99	1														No		924
100		96	-	60	In		94.4		98	2	0	0												No		1,594
99		95	-	61	In		90.7		96	3	0	0												No		2,322
98		94	-	62	In		87.5		95	4	0	1												No		3,646
97		93	-	63	In		80.9		92	7	0	1	0											No		5,091
96		92	-	64	In		71.8		88	10	0	2												No		7,257
95		91	-	65	In		60.3		81	15	1	4	0											No		9,916
94		90	-	66	In		47.0		74	20	1	5	0											No		13,167
93		89	-	67	100.0	%	33.1		64	26	2	8	0	0										No		17,102
92		88	-	68	100.0		20.3		52	32	4	11	0	0										No		22,052
91		87	-	69	99.9		10.1		39	37	6	16	1	0										No		27,497
90		86	-	70	99.9		4.3		27	39	11	21	2	0	0	0								No		32,982
89		85	-	71	99.6		1.4		17	37	15	26	5	0	0	0	0							No		38,579
88		84	-	72	98.6		0.3		8	30	20	29	11	1	0	0								No		43,865
87		83	-	73	95.4		0.0		3	21	23	30	19	4	0	0		0						No		48,778
86		82	-	74	87.8		0.0		1	12	23	25	27	10	2	0	0							No		53,175
85		81	-	75	73.1		No		0	6	20	16	31	20	6	1	0	0	0					No		56,521
84		80	-	76	51.5		No		0	2	15	8	26	29	15	4	1	0						No		57,921
83		79	-	77	28.9		No		0	1	10	3	16	30	26	12	3	0	0	0				No		57,949
82		78	-	78	12.7		No			0	6	1	6	21	31	24	9	2	0	0	0			No		57,001
81		77	-	79	4.3		No			0	3	0	2	9	24	31	22	8	1	0	0			No		54,491
80		76	-	80	1.4		No			0	1	0	0	3	11	26	31	20	6	1	0			No		50,401
79		75	-	81	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	3	14	29	30	18	5	1	0		No		45,765
78		74	-	82	0.2		No				0	0	0	0	1	5	16	30	29	15	4	0	0	No		39,802
77		73	-	83	0.1		No				0		0	0	0	1	7	20	32	27	11	2	0	No		34,376
76		72	-	84	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	2	10	26	33	22	7	1	No		28,845
75		71	-	85	Out		No								0	0	0	4	15	31	33	15	2	0.0	%	23,231
74		70	-	86	Out		No									0	0	1	7	23	37	26	7	0.2		18,658
73		69	-	87	Out		No										0	0	3	13	33	36	14	1.2		14,309
72		68	-	88	Out		No										0	0	1	7	26	42	24	3.8		10,786
71		67	-	89	Out		No										0		0	3	17	44	36	10.3		8,027
70		66	-	90	Out		No											0	0	1	10	41	48	20.8		5,628
69		65	-	91	Out		No													1	6	31	63	32.6		3,957
68		64	-	92	Out		No													0	3	26	71	45.4		2,642
67		63	-	93	Out		No												0	0	1	20	78	57.0		1,706
66		62	-	94	Out		No													0	0	14	86	69.6		1,142
65		61	-	95	Out		No														0	7	93	81.6		748
64		60	-	96	Out		No														0	6	94	87.1		418
63		59	-	97	Out		No															4	96	92.2		245
62		58	-	98	Out		No															2	98	95.8		165
61		57	-	99	Out		No															3	97	94.7		95
4	-60				Out		No																100	99.4		178	*

Total:					46.3	%	5.1	%	10	10	8	9	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	0.9	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nationals vs White Sox	-0.5+0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

105	-160				100
104		100	-	56	99	1
103		99	-	57	99	1
102		98	-	58	99	1
101		97	-	59	96	3	0
100		96	-	60	94	6	0
99		95	-	61	91	9	0	0
98		94	-	62	87	12	1	0
97		93	-	63	81	17	2	0
96		92	-	64	72	25	3	0
95		91	-	65	60	32	7	1	0	0
94		90	-	66	47	39	12	2	0	0
93		89	-	67	33	40	21	5	1	0		0			0
92		88	-	68	20	37	28	11	3	0	0	0			0
91		87	-	69	10	29	32	19	7	2	0	0			0
90		86	-	70	4	18	30	27	14	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
89		85	-	71	1	8	20	28	23	13	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
88		84	-	72	0	2	9	20	26	22	12	5	1	0	1	0	0
87		83	-	73	0	0	3	9	19	25	22	13	4	1	4	0	0	0	0
86		82	-	74	0	0	0	2	7	16	24	22	13	3	10	2	0	0	0
85		81	-	75		0	0	0	1	5	13	22	21	10	16	8	2	0	0	0	0
84		80	-	76				0	0	1	3	10	19	18	18	17	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
83		79	-	77					0	0	0	2	9	17	10	19	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		78	-	78							0	0	2	10	3	9	19	22	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
81		77	-	79								0	0	4	0	2	7	15	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
80		76	-	80								0	0	1	0	0	1	3	9	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
79		75	-	81								0	0	0		0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
78		74	-	82									0	0				0	0	1	2	8	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
77		73	-	83										0			0		0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
76		72	-	84										0					0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
75		71	-	85																0		0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	18	9	3	0	0
74		70	-	86																			0	0	0	1	5	12	23	26	20	9	2	0
73		69	-	87																				0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	7	1
72		68	-	88																				0	0	0	0	1	6	15	27	29	17	4
71		67	-	89																							0	0	2	7	20	32	28	10
70		66	-	90																							0	0	0	3	11	29	35	21
69		65	-	91																									0	1	6	20	40	33
68		64	-	92																									0	0	3	13	38	45
67		63	-	93																										0	1	8	33	57
66		62	-	94																											0	4	26	70
65		61	-	95																												1	18	82
64		60	-	96																												1	12	87
63		59	-	97																													8	92
62		58	-	98																													4	96
61		57	-	99																													5	95
59	-60																																	100
58		54	-	102																													7	93
4	-57																																	100

Total:					5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1