Milwaukee Brewers Playoff Chances 1

Beat Cubs 5-2, playoff odds up 5.5 to 44.8%

5-2 .714

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Cubs 2 Brewers 5	+3.3		+0.6		-0.4		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Cubs vs Brewers	-2.8+3.4		-0.6+0.8		+0.2-0.2		-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

104	-160				In		99.8	%	100															No		508	*
103		98	-	57	In		98.1		99	1		0												No		315
102		97	-	58	In		98.5		100															No		523
101		96	-	59	In		97.1		99	0		0												No		868
100		95	-	60	In		95.1		98	1		1												No		1,372
99		94	-	61	In		91.0		97	2		1	0											No		2,237
98		93	-	62	In		86.6		94	4		2												No		3,293
97		92	-	63	In		80.3		92	6	0	2												No		4,838
96		91	-	64	In		70.6		88	9	0	3	0											No		6,601
95		90	-	65	In		59.5		82	13	0	4	0											No		9,434
94		89	-	66	In		47.5		75	17	1	7	0											No		12,419
93		88	-	67	100.0	%	33.1		64	24	2	10	0	0										No		16,762
92		87	-	68	100.0		20.5		52	29	3	15	1	0										No		21,202
91		86	-	69	99.9		10.5		40	33	5	20	1	0	0									No		26,151
90		85	-	70	99.9		4.5		27	35	9	26	3	0										No		31,806
89		84	-	71	99.5		1.3		16	33	13	31	6	0	0									No		37,244
88		83	-	72	98.3		0.2		8	27	17	34	12	2	0	0								No		43,434
87		82	-	73	95.0		0.0		3	19	19	33	20	4	0	0	0	0						No		48,234
86		81	-	74	87.3		0.0		1	11	19	27	29	11	2	0	0							No		53,031
85		80	-	75	72.1		No		0	5	16	18	33	21	6	1	0	0						No		55,963
84		79	-	76	50.4		No		0	2	12	9	28	30	15	4	1	0	0					No		58,058
83		78	-	77	27.4		No			0	8	3	16	31	27	12	3	0	0	0				No		58,417
82		77	-	78	11.3		No			0	4	1	6	21	32	24	9	2	0	0				No		57,404
81		76	-	79	3.7		No			0	2	0	2	9	24	32	22	8	1	0	0	0		No		54,983
80		75	-	80	1.0		No			0	1	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0			No		50,978
79		74	-	81	0.3		No				0	0	0	0	3	14	28	31	17	5	1	0		No		46,193
78		73	-	82	0.1		No				0		0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	0	No		40,998
77		72	-	83	0.0		No				0	0		0	0	1	7	20	32	27	11	2	0	No		35,280
76		71	-	84	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	2	10	25	33	22	6	1	No		29,571
75		70	-	85	Out		No								0	0	0	4	15	31	32	15	2	0.0	%	24,460
74		69	-	86	Out		No									0	0	1	7	23	37	26	6	0.3		19,414
73		68	-	87	Out		No									0	0	0	3	13	34	36	14	1.2		14,911
72		67	-	88	Out		No										0	0	1	7	26	43	24	4.1		11,452
71		66	-	89	Out		No											0	0	3	17	43	36	10.7		8,254
70		65	-	90	Out		No												0	1	11	39	49	20.3		5,928
69		64	-	91	Out		No												0	0	5	33	61	32.4		4,218
68		63	-	92	Out		No													0	3	26	71	43.1		2,765
67		62	-	93	Out		No														1	18	80	61.0		1,833
66		61	-	94	Out		No													0	1	13	86	70.6		1,216
65		60	-	95	Out		No														0	10	90	78.4		755
64		59	-	96	Out		No														0	6	93	85.0		467
63		58	-	97	Out		No															5	95	90.1		272
62		57	-	98	Out		No															1	99	95.8		167
61		56	-	99	Out		No															6	94	94.5		109
5	-60				Out		No																100	99.4		162	*

Total:					44.8	%	4.8	%	10	9	7	10	9	8	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1.0	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cubs 2 Brewers 5	-0.7

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cubs vs Brewers	+0.5-0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	-160				100
107		102	-	53	97	3
104	-106				100
103		98	-	57	98	2
102		97	-	58	98	2
101		96	-	59	97	3
100		95	-	60	95	5	0
99		94	-	61	91	9	0
98		93	-	62	87	13	1	0
97		92	-	63	80	18	2	0	0
96		91	-	64	71	26	3	0	0	0
95		90	-	65	59	33	7	1	0
94		89	-	66	47	38	12	2	0	0
93		88	-	67	33	41	20	5	1	0					0
92		87	-	68	21	38	28	11	2	0	0				0
91		86	-	69	10	30	32	19	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
90		85	-	70	4	18	30	27	15	5	1	0	0		0	0
89		84	-	71	1	8	20	28	23	13	4	1	0	0	0	0
88		83	-	72	0	2	10	20	27	22	12	4	1	0	2	0	0
87		82	-	73	0	0	3	9	19	25	22	13	4	1	4	1	0	0	0
86		81	-	74	0	0	0	2	7	16	23	22	12	3	10	2	0	0	0	0
85		80	-	75			0	0	1	5	13	21	21	10	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
84		79	-	76				0	0	1	3	10	19	17	18	18	10	3	1	0	0	0
83		78	-	77					0	0	0	2	9	16	10	20	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		77	-	78							0	0	2	9	2	10	19	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
81		76	-	79							0	0	0	3	0	2	7	14	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
80		75	-	80								0	0	1	0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	0	0	0
79		74	-	81								0	0	0		0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	5	1	0	0
78		73	-	82										0			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
77		72	-	83										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	23	21	13	5	1	0	0
76		71	-	84										0						0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
75		70	-	85																	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	25	19	9	3	0	0
74		69	-	86																			0	0	0	1	5	13	23	27	20	9	2	0
73		68	-	87																				0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	19	8	1
72		67	-	88																			0		0	0	0	1	6	15	27	30	18	4
71		66	-	89																							0	0	2	7	19	32	28	11
70		65	-	90																								0	1	3	12	27	37	20
69		64	-	91																									0	1	5	21	41	32
68		63	-	92																										0	3	14	40	43
67		62	-	93																											1	7	31	61
66		61	-	94																											0	4	25	71
65		60	-	95																												2	20	78
64		59	-	96																											0	1	14	85
63		58	-	97																													10	90
62		57	-	98																													4	96
61		56	-	99																													6	94
60		55	-	100																													2	98
5	-59																																	100

Total:					5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1