New York Mets Playoff Chances 1

Beat Phillies 4-3, playoff odds up 5 to 46.8%
5-2   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Phillies 3 Mets 4 +3.4
+0.7
-0.3
+0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Mets-2.9+3.7
-0.7+0.9
+0.1-0.2
-0.3+0.3
Nationals vs White Sox-0.3+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedWorst
TWW-LplayoffsChamp123456789101112131415TeamCount
105-160InYes100No369*
10499-56In98.6%1000No221
10398-57In98.69900No357
10297-58In97.99910No676
10196-59In96.4982No1,042
10095-60In95.19820No1,551
9994-61In91.99820No2,480
9893-62In86.895401No3,556
9792-63In80.292701No5,132
9691-64In71.18810020No7,282
9590-65100.0%60.08214030No10,214
9489-66In46.47320150No13,569
9388-67In33.26426280No17,650
9287-68100.020.8523241100No22,325
9186-69100.010.8393771610No27,728
9085-7099.94.3273911212000No33,222
8984-7199.61.3163616275000No39,057
8883-7298.50.38302130111000No44,273
8782-7395.60.03212429194000No49,360
8681-7487.9No112242527102000No53,663
8580-7573.1No062117302061000No56,693
8479-7651.5No021582629154100No58,429
8378-7729.1No1103153026123000No58,141
8277-7812.5No061620312410200No56,874
8176-794.5No030292431228100No54,680
8075-801.4No100311263120610No50,499
7974-810.5No00004142831175100No45,324
7873-820.2No00001516302915400No39,526
7772-830.0No0000172032271120No33,894
7671-840.0No000021025342271No27,976
7570-85OutNo00041531331530.0%22,811
7469-86OutNo001723372670.317,907
7368-87OutNo0003143237141.113,860
7267-88OutNo0172543244.310,435
7166-89OutNo00317443510.77,608
7065-90OutNo0019404920.05,422
6964-91OutNo05336232.83,707
6863-92OutNo03247345.42,514
6762-93OutNo01198060.21,712
6661-94OutNo00148668.81,083
6560-95OutNo0118979.8647
6459-96OutNo69487.1420
6358-97OutNo49690.0270
6257-98OutNo19995.6114
6156-99OutNo39796.760
5-60OutNo10099.4167*
Total:46.8%5.2%101099987766554320.9%904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 3 Mets 4 -0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Mets+0.5-0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
105-160100
10499-56991
10398-57991
10297-58982
10196-599630
10095-609550
9994-619280
9893-62871310
9792-63801820
9691-64712540
9590-6560337100
9489-66463912200
9388-673340205100
9287-68213728113000
9186-6911283220720000
9085-704182927155100000
8984-7118202824135100000
8883-72029202723124101000
8782-73003919252213414000
8681-7400271623231331020000
8580-75000151322211016820000
8479-760001310191817171031000
8378-770000291810192013620000
8277-780002102101923181041000
8176-79000402614222217831000
8075-8001001491723211472100
7974-8100100015122023191251000
7873-8200001271522231793100
7772-830000014111924211251000
7671-840000128162324167200
7570-8500026142225199300
7469-860001513222621920
7368-87000151324282081
7267-8800015152730184
7166-890002720332711
7065-90000211283720
6964-91015214033
6863-9203133945
6762-930173160
6661-94042769
6560-95011980
6459-9611287
6358-971990
6257-98496
6156-99397
6055-100298
5-59100
Total:555555444444443333333322222111