Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 1

Lost to Rays 0-4, playoff odds down 4.7 to 10.9%

2-5 .286

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 0 Rays 4	-2.0		-0.2		+1.1		-0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers vs Rays	+1.3-1.5		+0.1-0.1		-1.1+1.3		+0.2-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

100	-157				In		98.7	%	100															No		157	*
99		97	-	58	In		93.9		97	2		2												No		66
98		96	-	59	In		87.2		94	4		2												No		109
97		95	-	60	In		81.7		92	3		4												No		213
96		94	-	61	In		71.0		85	9	1	5												No		403
95		93	-	62	In		61.9		83	10	0	6												No		636
94		92	-	63	In		51.4		75	18	0	7	0											No		1,036
93		91	-	64	In		33.7		64	20	2	13	1											No		1,596
92		90	-	65	99.9	%	22.1		52	27	3	16	1	0										No		2,498
91		89	-	66	99.9		12.2		39	33	5	22	2	0										No		3,561
90		88	-	67	99.7		4.9		26	33	8	28	4	0	0									No		5,206
89		87	-	68	99.0		1.3		15	31	12	34	8	1	0	0								No		7,205
88		86	-	69	97.8		0.3		7	25	15	35	15	2	0	0								No		10,236
87		85	-	70	93.3		0.0		3	17	18	33	24	6	1	0	0	0						No		13,702
86		84	-	71	83.8		No		1	9	17	26	31	13	3	0	0	0						No		17,608
85		83	-	72	66.2		No		0	4	14	16	33	24	8	1	0	0						No		22,484
84		82	-	73	43.2		No		0	1	10	7	25	32	18	5	1	0	0	0				No		27,873
83		81	-	74	21.6		No		0	0	6	2	13	29	30	15	4	1	0	0	0			No		33,384
82		80	-	75	7.9		No			0	3	0	4	17	31	28	13	3	0	0	0			No		39,055
81		79	-	76	2.3		No			0	1	0	1	6	20	32	26	11	2	0	0	0		No		44,362
80		78	-	77	0.6		No				0	0	0	2	8	23	32	24	9	2	0	0		No		49,404
79		77	-	78	0.2		No				0	0	0	0	2	10	25	32	21	7	1	0	0	No		54,069
78		76	-	79	0.1		No				0		0	0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	1	0	No		56,929
77		75	-	80	0.0		No				0			0	0	1	5	17	31	30	14	3	0	No		58,157
76		74	-	81	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	1	7	22	34	26	9	1	0.0	%	57,958
75		73	-	82	Out		No								0	0	0	3	12	29	35	18	3	0.0		56,914
74		72	-	83	Out		No								0	0	0	1	5	19	37	30	8	0.2		54,539
73		71	-	84	Out		No								0		0	0	2	11	32	39	16	1.2		50,003
72		70	-	85	Out		No										0	0	1	5	23	44	27	4.3		44,909
71		69	-	86	Out		No										0	0	0	2	15	43	39	10.4		39,850
70		68	-	87	Out		No											0	0	1	9	38	52	20.4		33,567
69		67	-	88	Out		No												0	0	5	32	63	32.2		28,484
68		66	-	89	Out		No												0	0	2	24	74	45.9		22,741
67		65	-	90	Out		No													0	1	17	82	59.5		18,071
66		64	-	91	Out		No													0	0	12	87	70.6		13,879
65		63	-	92	Out		No												0	0	0	8	91	79.4		10,296
64		62	-	93	Out		No														0	6	94	86.1		7,558
63		61	-	94	Out		No														0	4	96	91.1		5,364
62		60	-	95	Out		No															2	98	93.2		3,693
61		59	-	96	Out		No															2	98	96.1		2,494
60		58	-	97	Out		No															1	99	97.7		1,633
59		57	-	98	Out		No															1	99	98.9		990
58		56	-	99	Out		No															0	100	98.7		624
57		55	-	100	Out		No															0	100	99.5		411
2	-56				Out		No																100	99.7		573	*

Total:					10.9	%	0.4	%	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	9	10	11	14	17	9.2	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers 0 Rays 4	+0.7

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers vs Rays	-0.5+0.6

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

102	-157				100
101		99	-	56	94	6
100		98	-	57	98	2
99		97	-	58	94	5	2
98		96	-	59	87	12	1
97		95	-	60	82	17	1
96		94	-	61	71	24	5	0
95		93	-	62	62	33	5	0
94		92	-	63	51	36	11	2	0
93		91	-	64	34	41	20	4	1	0
92		90	-	65	22	38	26	11	2	0	0				0
91		89	-	66	12	27	34	18	7	1	0	0			0
90		88	-	67	5	19	30	26	14	5	1	0	0		0		0
89		87	-	68	1	8	22	28	23	12	4	1	0		1	0	0
88		86	-	69	0	3	10	21	26	22	11	4	1	0	2	0	0
87		85	-	70	0	0	3	10	19	25	21	11	4	1	6	1	0	0
86		84	-	71		0	0	2	8	16	23	20	11	3	13	3	0	0	0		0
85		83	-	72			0	0	1	5	13	19	19	9	21	10	3	0	0	0
84		82	-	73				0	0	1	3	9	16	14	21	20	11	3	1	0	0	0
83		81	-	74						0	0	2	7	12	12	22	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		80	-	75					0	0	0	0	1	6	3	11	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
81		79	-	76								0	0	2	0	2	7	15	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
80		78	-	77								0	0	1	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	6	2	0	0	0		0
79		77	-	78									0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
78		76	-	79									0	0			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
77		75	-	80										0					0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	2	0	0
76		74	-	81										0					0	0	0	0	1	3	7	16	23	24	16	8	2	0	0	0
75		73	-	82																	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	22	25	19	9	3	0	0
74		72	-	83																			0	0	0	1	5	12	22	26	21	9	2	0
73		71	-	84																				0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	1
72		70	-	85																						0	0	1	5	15	27	30	18	4
71		69	-	86																						0	0	0	2	7	19	33	29	10
70		68	-	87																					0		0	0	0	3	11	28	37	20
69		67	-	88																								0	0	1	5	20	41	32
68		66	-	89																								0	0	0	2	13	39	46
67		65	-	90																									0	0	1	7	32	60
66		64	-	91																										0	0	3	26	71
65		63	-	92																										0	0	2	19	79
64		62	-	93																											0	1	13	86
63		61	-	94																											0	0	9	91
62		60	-	95																												0	7	93
61		59	-	96																												0	4	96
60		58	-	97																													2	98
59		57	-	98																													1	99
58		56	-	99																													1	99
57		55	-	100																													0	100
56		54	-	101																														100
55		53	-	102																													2	98
2	-54																																	100

Total:					0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7	8	9