Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 1

Lost to Orioles 1-3, playoff odds down 5.2 to 21.4%

3-4 .429

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Red Sox 1 Orioles 3	-3.0		-0.4		+0.6		-0.4

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers vs Rays	+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

103	-158				In		Yes		100															No		147	*
102		99	-	56	In		97.1	%	99			1												No		68
101		98	-	57	In		93.4		96	3		1												No		106
100		97	-	58	In		92.4		95	5														No		197
99		96	-	59	In		91.7		98	2		1												No		386
98		95	-	60	In		83.7		93	5		1	0											No		546
97		94	-	61	In		79.8		91	7	0	2												No		980
96		93	-	62	In		72.1		87	10	0	3												No		1,457
95		92	-	63	In		62.5		81	13	0	5												No		2,224
94		91	-	64	In		47.8		73	19	1	8	0											No		3,325
93		90	-	65	100.0	%	34.6		62	25	2	10	0		0									No		4,917
92		89	-	66	100.0		20.3		49	31	4	15	1	0										No		6,932
91		88	-	67	100.0		11.3		37	35	6	20	2	0										No		9,642
90		87	-	68	99.7		4.4		25	35	9	26	4	0		0								No		13,085
89		86	-	69	99.3		1.3		14	33	14	31	8	1	0	0								No		16,578
88		85	-	70	97.5		0.2		7	26	17	34	14	2	0	0	0							No		21,498
87		84	-	71	93.1		0.0		2	17	19	31	24	6	1	0	0							No		26,788
86		83	-	72	83.3		No		1	9	18	25	31	14	3	0	0	0						No		32,273
85		82	-	73	65.7		No		0	4	14	15	32	24	8	1	0	0	0					No		37,916
84		81	-	74	42.8		No		0	1	10	7	25	32	19	6	1	0	0	0				No		43,512
83		80	-	75	21.5		No		0	0	6	2	13	29	30	15	4	1	0	0				No		48,415
82		79	-	76	8.3		No			0	3	0	5	17	31	27	13	3	0	0	0			No		53,348
81		78	-	77	2.4		No			0	1	0	1	7	21	32	25	11	2	0	0			No		56,069
80		77	-	78	0.6		No				0	0	0	2	9	23	32	23	9	2	0	0		No		58,101
79		76	-	79	0.2		No				0	0	0	0	2	11	26	32	21	7	1	0	0	No		58,044
78		75	-	80	0.1		No				0		0	0	0	3	14	29	31	17	5	1	0	No		57,117
77		74	-	81	0.0		No				0		0	0	0	1	5	18	32	29	13	2	0	No		54,885
76		73	-	82	0.0		No				0		0		0	0	1	8	23	34	24	8	1	No		51,061
75		72	-	83	Out		No									0	0	3	13	31	34	17	3	0.0	%	46,275
74		71	-	84	Out		No									0	0	1	6	21	37	28	7	0.2		40,313
73		70	-	85	Out		No										0	0	2	12	33	38	14	1.2		35,094
72		69	-	86	Out		No										0	0	1	6	25	43	25	4.2		29,345
71		68	-	87	Out		No											0	0	3	17	44	37	9.8		23,933
70		67	-	88	Out		No											0	0	1	10	40	49	19.7		18,996
69		66	-	89	Out		No												0	0	6	33	61	31.7		14,700
68		65	-	90	Out		No												0	0	3	26	71	45.6		11,066
67		64	-	91	Out		No													0	1	19	79	58.1		8,078
66		63	-	92	Out		No													0	1	14	85	69.5		5,691
65		62	-	93	Out		No													0	0	9	91	78.5		4,000
64		61	-	94	Out		No														0	7	93	85.8		2,685
63		60	-	95	Out		No														0	5	95	89.9		1,765
62		59	-	96	Out		No															3	97	92.9		1,146
61		58	-	97	Out		No															2	98	96.7		704
60		57	-	98	Out		No															2	98	97.5		441
59		56	-	99	Out		No															1	99	98.5		273
3	-58				Out		No																100	99.5		378	*

Total:					21.4	%	1.2	%	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	9	9	9	8	4.0	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Sox 1 Orioles 3	+0.7

Tuesday	None

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	-158				100
102		99	-	56	97	3
101		98	-	57	93	7
100		97	-	58	92	7	1
99		96	-	59	92	8	1
98		95	-	60	84	16	0
97		94	-	61	80	18	2	0
96		93	-	62	72	24	4	0
95		92	-	63	62	30	7	1	0	0
94		91	-	64	48	38	12	2	0
93		90	-	65	35	40	20	5	1	0					0
92		89	-	66	20	38	27	11	3	0	0				0
91		88	-	67	11	28	32	20	7	1	0	0	0		0
90		87	-	68	4	18	29	27	15	5	1	0	0		0
89		86	-	69	1	8	20	28	23	13	4	1	0	0	1	0
88		85	-	70	0	3	10	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	2	0	0	0
87		84	-	71	0	0	3	9	19	25	21	12	4	1	6	1	0	0
86		83	-	72		0	0	2	8	16	22	21	12	3	13	3	0	0	0	0	0
85		82	-	73			0	0	1	5	12	19	19	9	21	10	3	0	0	0
84		81	-	74				0	0	1	3	9	16	14	21	21	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
83		80	-	75					0	0	0	2	7	12	11	22	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		79	-	76							0	0	1	7	3	10	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
81		78	-	77								0	0	2	0	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
80		77	-	78									0	1	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
79		76	-	79									0	0		0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
78		75	-	80									0	0			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
77		74	-	81										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
76		73	-	82										0					0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
75		72	-	83																	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	19	9	3	0	0
74		71	-	84																			0	0	0	1	5	13	23	26	20	9	2	0
73		70	-	85																				0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	7	1
72		69	-	86																				0	0	0	0	1	5	15	27	30	17	4
71		68	-	87																						0	0	0	2	7	20	32	28	10
70		67	-	88																								0	0	3	12	28	37	20
69		66	-	89																								0	0	1	6	21	40	32
68		65	-	90																										0	2	13	39	46
67		64	-	91																										0	1	8	33	58
66		63	-	92																											0	4	27	70
65		62	-	93																										0	0	2	19	78
64		61	-	94																												1	13	86
63		60	-	95																												1	9	90
62		59	-	96																													7	93
61		58	-	97																													3	97
60		57	-	98																													2	98
59		56	-	99																													1	99
58		55	-	100																													1	99
57		54	-	101																													1	99
3	-56																																	100

Total:					1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4