Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 1

Beat Red Sox 3-1, playoff odds up 6.5 to 54.1%

5-2 .714

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Red Sox 1 Orioles 3	+3.5		+1.0		-0.2		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers vs Rays	+0.2-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

105	-160				In		99.7	%	100															No		669	*
104		99	-	56	In		99.1		100	0														No		423
103		98	-	57	In		99.3		100	0														No		675
102		97	-	58	In		98.5		100	0														No		1,098
101		96	-	59	In		97.0		99	1		0												No		1,712
100		95	-	60	In		94.8		98	2		0												No		2,636
99		94	-	61	In		91.2		97	3	0	0												No		4,026
98		93	-	62	In		87.1		94	5	0	1												No		5,873
97		92	-	63	In		80.8		92	7	0	1	0											No		7,891
96		91	-	64	In		71.8		87	10	0	2	0											No		11,156
95		90	-	65	In		61.1		81	15	1	3	0											No		14,697
94		89	-	66	In		47.5		73	21	1	5	0											No		19,027
93		88	-	67	100.0	%	33.8		62	28	2	8	0	0										No		23,927
92		87	-	68	100.0		21.5		51	34	4	11	0	0										No		29,547
91		86	-	69	100.0		11.1		38	38	7	15	1	0	0									No		34,906
90		85	-	70	99.9		4.5		25	40	12	20	3	0	0	0								No		41,010
89		84	-	71	99.5		1.3		15	37	16	25	6	1	0	0								No		46,385
88		83	-	72	98.2		0.3		7	30	21	28	11	2	0	0								No		51,027
87		82	-	73	94.7		0.0		3	20	24	28	20	5	1	0	0							No		54,927
86		81	-	74	86.0		No		1	11	24	23	27	12	2	0	0	0						No		57,640
85		80	-	75	70.7		No		0	5	21	15	30	21	7	1	0	0						No		58,391
84		79	-	76	47.9		No		0	2	15	7	24	30	17	5	1	0	0	0				No		57,859
83		78	-	77	25.9		No			0	10	2	13	28	28	14	3	0	0	0				No		56,144
82		77	-	78	11.0		No			0	6	0	5	18	30	26	11	3	0	0	0			No		52,909
81		76	-	79	3.8		No			0	3	0	1	7	21	32	24	10	2	0	0			No		48,829
80		75	-	80	1.3		No			0	1	0	0	2	9	24	31	22	8	1	0	0		No		43,324
79		74	-	81	0.4		No				0	0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	6	1	0		No		37,860
78		73	-	82	0.1		No				0		0	0	0	4	14	29	30	17	4	1	0	No		31,975
77		72	-	83	0.0		No				0		0	0	0	1	6	18	31	29	12	2	0	No		26,656
76		71	-	84	0.0		No				0		0		0	0	2	9	23	33	24	7	1	No		21,132
75		70	-	85	Out		No								0	0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	0.0	%	16,765
74		69	-	86	Out		No								0	0	0	1	5	21	37	28	7	0.3		12,960
73		68	-	87	Out		No									0	0	0	2	12	33	38	15	1.4		9,522
72		67	-	88	Out		No											0	1	7	24	42	26	4.2		6,952
71		66	-	89	Out		No												0	3	16	44	37	10.2		4,793
70		65	-	90	Out		No												0	1	9	39	51	21.6		3,274
69		64	-	91	Out		No												0	1	6	32	60	32.7		2,156
68		63	-	92	Out		No													0	2	28	70	45.6		1,423
67		62	-	93	Out		No													0	2	19	79	56.0		923
66		61	-	94	Out		No														1	14	86	70.4		547
65		60	-	95	Out		No														0	13	87	77.1		358
64		59	-	96	Out		No														1	9	90	81.3		192
63		58	-	97	Out		No															1	99	95.2		124
62		57	-	98	Out		No															2	98	89.4		47
5	-61				Out		No																100	99.2		133	*

Total:					54.1	%	7.6	%	14	12	10	10	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	2	1	0.5	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Sox 1 Orioles 3	-0.7

Tuesday	None

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

107	-160				100
106		101	-	54	99	1
105		100	-	55	100
104		99	-	56	99	1
103		98	-	57	99	1
102		97	-	58	98	2
101		96	-	59	97	3	0
100		95	-	60	95	5	0
99		94	-	61	91	9	0
98		93	-	62	87	12	1
97		92	-	63	81	17	2	0
96		91	-	64	72	25	3	0	0
95		90	-	65	61	32	7	1	0
94		89	-	66	47	38	12	2	0	0
93		88	-	67	34	41	19	5	1	0					0
92		87	-	68	21	38	27	11	2	0	0	0			0
91		86	-	69	11	30	32	19	7	1	0	0			0	0
90		85	-	70	5	18	30	27	14	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
89		84	-	71	1	8	21	28	23	12	4	1	0	0	1	0	0
88		83	-	72	0	3	10	21	26	22	12	4	1	0	2	0	0
87		82	-	73	0	0	3	10	19	25	21	12	4	1	5	1	0	0	0
86		81	-	74		0	0	2	8	16	23	21	12	3	11	3	0	0	0
85		80	-	75			0	0	2	5	13	21	20	10	18	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
84		79	-	76				0	0	1	3	10	18	16	19	19	10	3	1	0	0	0
83		78	-	77					0	0	0	2	8	15	11	20	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		77	-	78							0	0	2	9	3	10	19	23	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
81		76	-	79							0	0	0	3	0	2	6	15	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
80		75	-	80									0	1	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	0	0	0	0
79		74	-	81									0	0		0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
78		73	-	82										0			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
77		72	-	83										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	11	18	24	21	13	5	2	0	0
76		71	-	84										0						0	0	0	1	3	8	15	23	24	16	8	2	0	0
75		70	-	85																	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	25	19	9	3	0	0
74		69	-	86																			0	0	0	1	4	12	22	26	21	10	2	0
73		68	-	87																				0	0	0	1	4	13	25	27	20	8	1
72		67	-	88																						0	0	2	6	16	26	29	19	4
71		66	-	89																							0	0	1	7	20	32	29	10
70		65	-	90																								0	0	3	10	27	37	22
69		64	-	91																									0	1	6	20	40	33
68		63	-	92																										0	2	15	37	46
67		62	-	93																											2	7	35	56
66		61	-	94																											0	4	25	70
65		60	-	95																											1	3	19	77
64		59	-	96																												3	16	81
63		58	-	97																													5	95
62		57	-	98																													11	89
61		56	-	99																													3	97
5	-60																																	100

Total:					8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1