Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 1

Lost to Giants 1-2, playoff odds down 2.4 to 16.1%

2-5 .286

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Giants 2 Rockies 1	-1.9		-0.2		+0.8		-0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Giants vs Rockies	-1.7+2.2		-0.1+0.1		+0.9-1.2		-0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Rays					+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

101	-157				In		98.1	%	100															No		154	*
100		98	-	57	In		86.5		97	3														No		74
99		97	-	58	In		88.1		96	3		1												No		135
98		96	-	59	In		87.9		94	5		0												No		231
97		95	-	60	In		80.3		93	6	0	1	0											No		417
96		94	-	61	In		73.5		88	10	0	2												No		616
95		93	-	62	In		59.9		84	13	0	3												No		1,070
94		92	-	63	In		47.1		74	18	1	7	0											No		1,681
93		91	-	64	In		34.1		64	26	2	8	0											No		2,588
92		90	-	65	100.0	%	20.7		53	31	4	12	0	0										No		3,717
91		89	-	66	100.0		10.7		39	37	7	15	1	0	0									No		5,416
90		88	-	67	99.8		4.4		27	38	12	21	2	0	0									No		7,621
89		87	-	68	99.5		1.3		16	37	17	25	5	0	0									No		10,513
88		86	-	69	98.4		0.3		7	30	22	28	10	1	0	0								No		13,815
87		85	-	70	95.4		0.1		3	21	25	28	18	4	0	0	0							No		18,182
86		84	-	71	87.9		No		1	12	26	23	25	10	2	0	0	0	0					No		22,952
85		83	-	72	72.9		No		0	6	23	15	29	20	6	1	0	0						No		28,135
84		82	-	73	51.8		No		0	2	18	7	24	28	15	4	1	0	0	0				No		34,040
83		81	-	74	29.6		No		0	1	13	2	14	28	26	12	3	0	0	0	0			No		39,633
82		80	-	75	13.3		No			0	7	1	5	19	30	25	10	2	0	0	0			No		45,107
81		79	-	76	5.3		No			0	4	0	1	8	22	31	23	9	2	0	0			No		50,325
80		78	-	77	2.0		No			0	2	0	0	2	10	25	31	21	8	1	0	0		No		53,895
79		77	-	78	0.7		No				1	0	0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0	No		57,020
78		76	-	79	0.2		No				0	0	0	0	1	4	15	30	30	16	4	0	0	No		57,992
77		75	-	80	0.1		No				0		0	0	0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	0	No		58,465
76		74	-	81	0.0		No				0		0	0	0	0	2	9	24	34	24	7	1	0.0	%	56,505
75		73	-	82	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	0	3	13	31	33	16	3	0.0		54,137
74		72	-	83	Out		No									0	0	1	6	21	37	28	7	0.3		49,442
73		71	-	84	Out		No										0	0	2	12	32	38	15	1.3		44,228
72		70	-	85	Out		No										0	0	1	6	24	44	26	4.3		39,432
71		69	-	86	Out		No										0	0	0	2	16	43	38	10.2		33,181
70		68	-	87	Out		No											0	0	1	9	39	51	20.2		27,823
69		67	-	88	Out		No											0	0	0	5	31	63	33.2		22,332
68		66	-	89	Out		No													0	3	24	74	46.6		17,633
67		65	-	90	Out		No													0	1	17	82	59.8		13,360
66		64	-	91	Out		No													0	0	11	88	71.3		10,091
65		63	-	92	Out		No														0	8	92	79.8		7,319
64		62	-	93	Out		No														0	5	95	86.7		5,186
63		61	-	94	Out		No														0	3	96	90.9		3,544
62		60	-	95	Out		No															2	98	94.6		2,350
61		59	-	96	Out		No															1	99	95.9		1,591
60		58	-	97	Out		No															0	100	98.6		1,026
2	-59				Out		No																100	99.5		1,526	*

Total:					16.1	%	0.6	%	2	3	5	3	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	9	10	11	13	6.9	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants 2 Rockies 1	+0.5

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants vs Rockies	+0.5-0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

105	-157				100
104		102	-	53	83	17
103		101	-	54	100
102		100	-	55	96	4
101		99	-	56	97	3
100		98	-	57	86	14
99		97	-	58	88	11	1
98		96	-	59	88	11	1
97		95	-	60	80	17	2
96		94	-	61	74	23	4	0
95		93	-	62	60	32	7	1	0
94		92	-	63	47	39	12	2	0	0
93		91	-	64	34	39	20	5	1	0	0
92		90	-	65	21	37	28	11	3	0	0				0
91		89	-	66	11	29	33	18	7	2	0	0			0
90		88	-	67	4	18	30	26	15	5	1	0	0		0	0
89		87	-	68	1	8	20	28	24	13	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
88		86	-	69	0	2	9	20	25	22	13	5	1	0	1	0	0
87		85	-	70	0	0	2	9	18	25	23	13	5	1	4	1	0	0
86		84	-	71		0	0	2	8	16	23	22	13	4	9	2	0	0	0
85		83	-	72			0	0	1	5	13	21	22	11	16	8	2	0	0	0
84		82	-	73				0	0	1	3	10	19	18	17	17	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
83		81	-	74					0	0	0	2	9	18	10	19	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
82		80	-	75							0	0	2	11	2	9	18	22	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
81		79	-	76							0	0	0	5	0	2	6	14	21	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
80		78	-	77								0	0	2	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	21	14	7	2	0	0	0	0	0
79		77	-	78								0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	24	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
78		76	-	79									0	0			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
77		75	-	80										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	5	2	0	0	0
76		74	-	81										0						0	0	0	1	3	7	16	23	24	16	8	2	0	0	0
75		73	-	82										0							0	0	0	0	2	6	13	22	26	19	9	3	0	0
74		72	-	83																			0	0	0	1	5	12	22	26	21	10	2	0
73		71	-	84																				0	0	0	1	4	13	24	28	20	8	1
72		70	-	85																					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	30	18	4
71		69	-	86																						0	0	0	2	7	19	33	29	10
70		68	-	87																							0	0	0	3	11	28	37	20
69		67	-	88																								0	0	1	5	20	41	33
68		66	-	89																									0	0	2	13	38	47
67		65	-	90																									0	0	1	7	33	60
66		64	-	91																											0	4	25	71
65		63	-	92																											0	2	18	80
64		62	-	93																												1	12	87
63		61	-	94																											0	0	9	91
62		60	-	95																												0	5	95
61		59	-	96																													4	96
60		58	-	97																													1	99
59		57	-	98																													0	100
58		56	-	99																													1	99
57		55	-	100																														100
56		54	-	101																													1	99
55		53	-	102																													3	97
2	-54																																	100

Total:					1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	7