San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 1

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 39.8%

3-3 .500

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Padres vs Dodgers	+2.9-3.7		+0.5-0.6		-0.3+0.3		+0.3-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

104	-159				In		Yes		100															No		274	*
103		100	-	56	In		99.5	%	100	0														No		209
102		99	-	57	In		98.7		100	0														No		315
101		98	-	58	In		96.8		98	1		0												No		507
100		97	-	59	In		95.7		98	2														No		904
99		96	-	60	In		92.3		97	2		1												No		1,393
98		95	-	61	In		86.9		95	4	0	1												No		2,049
97		94	-	62	In		80.9		91	7	0	2												No		3,211
96		93	-	63	In		71.1		87	11	0	2	0											No		4,697
95		92	-	64	In		60.5		81	15	0	3	0											No		6,697
94		91	-	65	In		46.3		74	20	1	5	0											No		9,101
93		90	-	66	100.0	%	33.4		63	27	2	7	0	0										No		12,397
92		89	-	67	100.0		20.5		52	34	4	10	0	0										No		16,221
91		88	-	68	100.0		10.7		38	38	8	15	1	0										No		20,658
90		87	-	69	99.9		4.1		26	41	12	19	2	0	0									No		25,857
89		86	-	70	99.6		1.4		16	39	18	23	4	0	0	0								No		31,253
88		85	-	71	98.9		0.2		8	32	24	25	9	1	0	0	0							No		37,010
87		84	-	72	96.0		0.0		3	23	29	26	16	4	0	0	0							No		42,544
86		83	-	73	88.9		0.0		1	14	30	21	23	9	2	0	0							No		47,721
85		82	-	74	75.3		No		0	6	28	14	27	18	6	1	0	0	0					No		52,574
84		81	-	75	54.8		No		0	2	22	7	23	27	14	4	1	0	0	0				No		55,538
83		80	-	76	33.2		No			1	16	2	14	28	25	11	3	0	0	0				No		57,355
82		79	-	77	16.2		No			0	10	1	6	19	30	23	9	2	0	0	0			No		57,794
81		78	-	78	6.9		No			0	5	0	1	8	23	31	22	8	2	0	0	0		No		57,199
80		77	-	79	3.0		No				3	0	0	2	11	25	31	20	6	1	0	0		No		55,196
79		76	-	80	1.2		No				1	0	0	0	3	13	28	31	17	5	1	0		No		51,835
78		75	-	81	0.5		No				0		0	0	1	5	16	30	29	15	4	0	0	No		46,828
77		74	-	82	0.1		No				0			0	0	1	6	20	32	26	11	2	0	No		41,722
76		73	-	83	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	2	9	25	34	23	7	1	No		36,092
75		72	-	84	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	0	4	15	30	32	16	3	0.0	%	30,357
74		71	-	85	0.0		No				0					0	0	1	6	22	36	27	7	0.2		24,678
73		70	-	86	Out		No								0	0	0	0	2	13	33	37	14	1.4		19,685
72		69	-	87	Out		No										0	0	1	6	25	43	25	4.5		15,430
71		68	-	88	Out		No											0	0	3	16	43	38	10.8		11,869
70		67	-	89	Out		No												0	1	10	38	51	20.0		8,555
69		66	-	90	Out		No												0	0	5	32	62	32.3		6,159
68		65	-	91	Out		No													0	3	26	71	44.9		4,304
67		64	-	92	Out		No													0	1	18	81	58.7		2,909
66		63	-	93	Out		No												0		1	11	88	72.1		2,031
65		62	-	94	Out		No														0	8	92	77.9		1,335
64		61	-	95	Out		No														0	5	94	86.2		824
63		60	-	96	Out		No														0	3	97	90.6		468
62		59	-	97	Out		No															3	97	91.9		298
61		58	-	98	Out		No															1	99	96.8		156
3	-60				Out		No																100	98.3		291	*

Total:					39.8	%	3.4	%	7	8	10	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	1.5	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres vs Dodgers	-0.6+0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

104	-159				100
103		100	-	56	100	0
102		99	-	57	99	1
101		98	-	58	97	3
100		97	-	59	96	4	0
99		96	-	60	92	7	0
98		95	-	61	87	12	1	0
97		94	-	62	81	17	2	0
96		93	-	63	71	25	4	0
95		92	-	64	61	32	7	1
94		91	-	65	46	39	12	2	0	0
93		90	-	66	33	41	19	5	1	0	0				0
92		89	-	67	20	38	27	11	3	0	0	0			0
91		88	-	68	11	28	33	19	7	2	0	0	0		0
90		87	-	69	4	17	30	27	15	5	1	0	0		0	0
89		86	-	70	1	8	20	28	24	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
88		85	-	71	0	2	9	20	26	23	12	5	1	0	1	0	0	0
87		84	-	72	0	0	2	9	19	25	22	13	4	1	3	0	0	0
86		83	-	73	0	0	0	2	7	16	24	23	13	4	9	2	0	0	0
85		82	-	74		0	0	0	1	5	13	22	22	11	15	7	2	0	0	0	0	0
84		81	-	75				0	0	1	3	10	20	20	16	16	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
83		80	-	76					0	0	0	2	10	21	9	18	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
82		79	-	77						0	0	0	2	13	2	9	18	21	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
81		78	-	78							0	0	0	6	0	2	6	14	21	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
80		77	-	79							0	0	0	3	0	0	1	3	9	17	22	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
79		76	-	80								0	0	1		0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
78		75	-	81										0				0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
77		74	-	82										0			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
76		73	-	83										0					0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	24	16	7	2	0	0
75		72	-	84										0							0	0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	18	9	3	0	0
74		71	-	85										0									0	0	0	1	5	12	22	26	20	10	3	0
73		70	-	86																					0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	1
72		69	-	87																					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	29	18	4
71		68	-	88																							0	0	2	7	19	32	29	11
70		67	-	89																								0	0	2	11	28	38	20
69		66	-	90																								0	0	1	5	20	41	32
68		65	-	91																										0	2	13	40	45
67		64	-	92																											1	7	33	59
66		63	-	93																									0		0	3	24	72
65		62	-	94																											0	2	20	78
64		61	-	95																												0	13	86
63		60	-	96																												0	9	91
62		59	-	97																												0	8	92
61		58	-	98																													3	97
60		57	-	99																													4	96
59		56	-	100																													2	98
3	-58																																	100

Total:					3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	3	3	3	3	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2