Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 1

Beat Royals 5-3, playoff odds up 3.7 to 25.1%

3-4 .429

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 3 Twins 5	+2.9		+0.3		-0.8		+0.4

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Royals vs Twins	-2.2+3.2		-0.3+0.4		+0.4-0.6		-0.3+0.4
Tigers vs Blue Jays	-0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

103	-158				In		98.9	%	100															No		184	*
102		99	-	56	In		96.0		97	3														No		75
101		98	-	57	In		96.5		99	1														No		143
100		97	-	58	In		95.0		97	2		1												No		260
99		96	-	59	In		91.1		96	3		0												No		508
98		95	-	60	In		85.5		95	5		1												No		746
97		94	-	61	In		80.6		91	7	0	2												No		1,198
96		93	-	62	In		71.6		86	11	0	2												No		1,853
95		92	-	63	In		59.0		79	17	0	4	0											No		2,794
94		91	-	64	In		46.9		71	22	1	6	0											No		4,217
93		90	-	65	In		34.0		62	28	3	8	0											No		5,900
92		89	-	66	100.0	%	20.1		48	34	5	12	0	0										No		8,381
91		88	-	67	100.0		11.1		36	38	8	16	1	0										No		11,371
90		87	-	68	99.8		4.6		23	39	13	22	3	0										No		15,231
89		86	-	69	99.4		1.3		13	36	18	26	6	1	0									No		19,363
88		85	-	70	98.1		0.3		6	29	23	28	12	2	0	0	0							No		24,338
87		84	-	71	94.1		0.1		2	19	26	27	19	5	1	0	0							No		29,763
86		83	-	72	84.8		No		1	10	26	21	26	12	3	0	0							No		35,900
85		82	-	73	69.1		No		0	5	22	13	29	22	8	1	0	0						No		41,093
84		81	-	74	46.5		No		0	1	16	6	23	29	18	5	1	0	0	0	0			No		46,330
83		80	-	75	25.2		No			0	11	2	12	27	28	15	4	1	0	0	0			No		51,418
82		79	-	76	11.2		No			0	6	0	4	17	30	27	12	3	0	0	0			No		54,748
81		78	-	77	4.1		No			0	3	0	1	7	20	31	25	11	2	0	0			No		57,222
80		77	-	78	1.6		No				1	0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0		No		58,618
79		76	-	79	0.6		No				1		0	0	2	11	26	32	20	7	1	0	0	No		57,616
78		75	-	80	0.2		No				0		0	0	0	4	14	28	31	17	5	1	0	No		55,522
77		74	-	81	0.0		No				0			0	0	1	5	18	31	29	13	3	0	No		53,088
76		73	-	82	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	1	8	23	34	25	8	1	No		48,298
75		72	-	83	0.0		No				0				0	0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	0.0	%	43,391
74		71	-	84	Out		No									0	0	1	6	21	37	28	8	0.2		37,467
73		70	-	85	Out		No									0	0	0	2	12	33	38	15	1.3		31,665
72		69	-	86	Out		No										0	0	1	6	25	43	25	3.8		26,102
71		68	-	87	Out		No										0	0	0	3	17	43	37	10.0		21,088
70		67	-	88	Out		No												0	1	9	39	51	20.1		16,466
69		66	-	89	Out		No												0	0	5	32	63	32.9		12,506
68		65	-	90	Out		No												0	0	3	24	73	46.8		9,367
67		64	-	91	Out		No													0	1	18	80	59.7		6,690
66		63	-	92	Out		No														1	14	86	70.2		4,711
65		62	-	93	Out		No														0	9	91	78.6		3,146
64		61	-	94	Out		No															6	94	85.0		2,088
63		60	-	95	Out		No															3	97	90.4		1,383
62		59	-	96	Out		No															2	98	94.3		926
61		58	-	97	Out		No															2	98	96.0		527
60		57	-	98	Out		No															1	99	99.1		325
3	-59				Out		No																100	99.4		474	*

Total:					25.1	%	1.5	%	3	5	7	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	3.4	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 3 Twins 5	-0.7

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals vs Twins	+0.5-0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

104	-158				100
103		100	-	55	96	4
102		99	-	56	96	4
101		98	-	57	97	3
100		97	-	58	95	5
99		96	-	59	91	9	0
98		95	-	60	86	14	0
97		94	-	61	81	18	2
96		93	-	62	72	25	3	0	0
95		92	-	63	59	33	7	1	0
94		91	-	64	47	38	13	2	0	0
93		90	-	65	34	41	19	5	1	0
92		89	-	66	20	38	28	11	3	0	0	0			0
91		88	-	67	11	29	31	19	7	2	0	0			0
90		87	-	68	5	17	29	27	15	5	1	0	0		0	0
89		86	-	69	1	8	20	28	24	13	4	1	0	0	1	0	0
88		85	-	70	0	2	9	20	27	22	12	4	1	0	2	0	0	0
87		84	-	71	0	0	3	9	18	25	22	12	4	1	5	1	0	0	0
86		83	-	72		0	0	2	7	16	23	21	12	3	12	3	0	0
85		82	-	73			0	0	1	5	12	20	20	10	19	9	3	0	0	0	0
84		81	-	74				0	0	1	3	9	17	16	19	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
83		80	-	75					0	0	0	2	8	15	11	20	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
82		79	-	76							0	0	2	9	3	10	19	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
81		78	-	77								0	0	4	0	2	6	14	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
80		77	-	78								0	0	2	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	21	14	7	2	0	0	0	0
79		76	-	79									0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
78		75	-	80									0	0			0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
77		74	-	81										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0	0
76		73	-	82										0						0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	2	0	0
75		72	-	83										0							0	0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	19	9	3	0	0
74		71	-	84																		0	0	0	0	1	5	13	23	27	20	9	2	0
73		70	-	85																				0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	1
72		69	-	86																					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	30	17	4
71		68	-	87																						0	0	0	2	7	20	33	28	10
70		67	-	88																							0	0	0	3	11	29	37	20
69		66	-	89																								0	0	1	5	20	41	33
68		65	-	90																									0	0	2	13	38	47
67		64	-	91																										0	1	7	33	60
66		63	-	92																											0	4	26	70
65		62	-	93																											0	2	19	79
64		61	-	94																												1	14	85
63		60	-	95																												0	9	90
62		59	-	96																													6	94
61		58	-	97																													4	96
60		57	-	98																													1	99
59		56	-	99																														100
58		55	-	100																													1	99
55	-57																																	100
54		51	-	104																													14	86
3	-53																																	100

Total:					2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3