New York Yankees Playoff Chances 1

Lost to Indians 0-4, playoff odds down 8.3 to 25.5%
3-4   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Indians 4 Yankees 0 -2.6
-0.4
+0.3
-0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*Worst Team100.0*Average seed
Indians vs Yankees-2.2+2.8
-0.3+0.4
+0.4-0.6
-0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Rays+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedWorst
TWW-LplayoffsChamp123456789101112131415TeamCount
105-158InYes100No99*
104101-54In96.8%973No31
102-103In98.1100No160*
10198-57In97.99911No189
10097-58In95.39910No320
9996-59In89.69541No481
9895-60In87.89541No876
9794-61In81.291702No1,381
9693-62In73.38810030No2,154
9592-63In61.38114140No3,250
9491-64100.0%47.172191700No4,595
9390-65100.034.0632621000No6,512
9289-66100.021.2503141410No9,224
9188-6799.910.6373572020No12,398
9087-6899.74.725351026300No16,248
8986-6999.21.414331430810No20,878
8885-7097.50.2726183314200No25,581
8784-7193.30.03172031226100No31,334
8683-7283.5No191924311430000No37,170
8582-7365.9No041515322481000No42,784
8481-7443.4No0111725321951000No47,836
8380-7521.6No062132930154100No52,594
8279-768.3No030518312812300No55,881
8178-772.5No01017213125112000No57,607
8077-780.7No100292332239200No58,400
7976-790.2No00002112632207100No57,393
7875-800.1No0000414293117510No55,314
7774-810.0No0000151832291320No51,695
7673-820.0No00001824342471No46,836
7572-830.0No000031331341630.0%41,696
7471-84OutNo001622372770.335,607
7370-85OutNo002133337141.230,101
7269-86OutNo00172643244.024,510
7168-87OutNo0031744369.819,739
7067-88OutNo00110404919.015,372
6966-89OutNo005346131.111,483
6865-90OutNo03267044.68,644
6764-91OutNo02207859.06,106
6663-92OutNo1158568.84,134
6562-93OutNo0108977.82,891
6461-94OutNo079384.71,941
6360-95OutNo49691.01,148
6259-96OutNo49691.6778
6158-97OutNo19997.7438
6057-98OutNo010098.7301
5956-99OutNo19998.5136
3-58OutNo100Yes254*
Total:25.5%1.7%4556777788888763.0%904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 4 Yankees 0 +0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians vs Yankees+0.5-0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
105-158100
104101-54973
103100-55982
10299-56982
10198-57982
10097-58955
9996-599010
9895-6088120
9794-61811720
9693-62732330
9592-63613171
9491-644739112000
9390-653442195100
9289-662137281120000
9188-67112932197200
9087-685183026145100000
8986-691821282313410010
8885-70031020262212410200
8784-71003918252212416100
8683-7200271623211131330000
8582-730015122019921103000
8481-7400139161521201141000
8380-75000271311222214620000
8279-7600173101924191141000
8178-77002027152223178310000
8077-7801001391723211472000
7976-790000025122024201151000
7875-80000013715222317931000
7774-81000001411192421135100
7673-820000128162423167200
7572-83000026142325199300
7471-840001513232620920
7370-850000151324282081
7269-8600016152829174
7168-870002720322810
7067-880000312293719
6966-89016204231
6865-90002143945
6764-9100183259
6663-920042769
6562-93022078
6461-9411585
6360-950991
6259-960892
6158-97298
6057-98199
5956-99199
3-58100
Total:222333333344444444444444444433