Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 1

Beat Astros 2-0, playoff odds up 5.5 to 49.5%

5-3 .625

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Mariners 2 Astros 0	+2.6		+0.6		-0.2		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	Worst Team	100.0*	Average seed
Mariners vs Astros	+2.6-3.8		+0.7-1.0		-0.1+0.2		+0.2-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Worst
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Team		Count

106	-159				In		Yes		100															No		286	*
105		100	-	54	In		99.4	%	99	1														No		180
104		99	-	55	In		98.9		100	0														No		276
103		98	-	56	In		97.6		99	0		0												No		454
102		97	-	57	In		98.3		100	0														No		816
101		96	-	58	In		96.8		99	1		0												No		1,301
100		95	-	59	In		95.5		98	1		1												No		1,994
99		94	-	60	In		92.3		97	2	0	1												No		3,114
98		93	-	61	In		87.9		95	4		1												No		4,377
97		92	-	62	In		80.3		91	6	0	2	0											No		6,337
96		91	-	63	In		72.0		87	9	0	4	0											No		8,848
95		90	-	64	In		60.5		81	14	0	5	0											No		12,024
94		89	-	65	In		48.0		73	19	1	8	0											No		15,862
93		88	-	66	In		33.7		62	25	2	11	0											No		20,378
92		87	-	67	100.0	%	20.6		51	30	3	15	1	0										No		25,703
91		86	-	68	99.9		10.9		37	35	6	20	1	0										No		31,196
90		85	-	69	99.8		4.4		25	36	10	26	3	0	0	0								No		36,803
89		84	-	70	99.4		1.4		15	33	15	30	7	1	0	0								No		42,449
88		83	-	71	98.2		0.2		7	27	19	33	13	2	0	0								No		47,827
87		82	-	72	94.5		0.0		3	18	22	31	21	5	1	0	0	0						No		52,750
86		81	-	73	85.4		0.0		1	10	22	24	29	12	2	0	0							No		55,474
85		80	-	74	69.7		No		0	5	18	16	31	22	7	1	0	0	0					No		58,296
84		79	-	75	47.2		No		0	2	14	7	24	30	17	5	1	0	0	0				No		58,825
83		78	-	76	25.4		No			0	9	2	14	29	28	14	3	0	0	0				No		57,670
82		77	-	77	11.0		No			0	5	1	5	18	30	26	12	3	0	0				No		55,422
81		76	-	78	3.8		No			0	3	0	1	8	22	32	24	9	2	0	0			No		51,581
80		75	-	79	1.3		No			0	1	0	0	2	9	24	32	22	8	1	0	0		No		47,353
79		74	-	80	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0	0	No		41,603
78		73	-	81	0.2		No				0		0	0	1	4	14	29	30	17	4	1	0	No		36,156
77		72	-	82	0.0		No				0		0	0	0	1	6	18	32	28	12	2	0	No		30,292
76		71	-	83	0.0		No				0			0	0	0	2	8	24	34	24	8	1	No		24,769
75		70	-	84	0.0		No				0				0	0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	0.0	%	19,725
74		69	-	85	Out		No									0	0	1	6	21	36	28	7	0.3		15,563
73		68	-	86	Out		No									0	0	0	2	12	32	39	14	1.5		11,744
72		67	-	87	Out		No										0	0	1	6	24	43	26	4.3		8,511
71		66	-	88	Out		No											0	0	3	16	43	38	11.1		6,308
70		65	-	89	Out		No												0	1	9	39	51	19.9		4,313
69		64	-	90	Out		No													0	5	32	62	31.8		2,922
68		63	-	91	Out		No											0	0	0	3	25	72	45.0		1,907
67		62	-	92	Out		No														1	18	81	59.8		1,220
66		61	-	93	Out		No													0	1	14	86	66.8		744
65		60	-	94	Out		No														0	8	91	77.9		456
64		59	-	95	Out		No														0	8	92	80.8		271
63		58	-	96	Out		No															10	90	88.5		139
62		57	-	97	Out		No															8	92	90.9		77
61		56	-	98	Out		No															2	98	96.4		55
5	-60				Out		No																100	98.4		129	*

Total:					49.5	%	6.2	%	12	10	8	11	9	8	7	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	0.7	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mariners 2 Astros 0	-0.5

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mariners vs Astros	-0.5+0.7

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

106	-159				100
105		100	-	54	99	1
104		99	-	55	99	1
103		98	-	56	98	2
102		97	-	57	98	2
101		96	-	58	97	3	0
100		95	-	59	96	4	0
99		94	-	60	92	7	0	0
98		93	-	61	88	11	1	0
97		92	-	62	80	18	1	0	0
96		91	-	63	72	25	3	0	0
95		90	-	64	60	33	6	1	0
94		89	-	65	48	37	12	2	0	0
93		88	-	66	34	40	20	5	1	0	0	0
92		87	-	67	21	38	28	11	3	0	0	0			0
91		86	-	68	11	29	32	19	7	2	0	0			0
90		85	-	69	4	18	30	27	15	5	1	0	0		0	0	0
89		84	-	70	1	8	20	28	24	12	5	1	0	0	1	0	0
88		83	-	71	0	2	10	20	27	22	12	4	1	0	2	0	0
87		82	-	72	0	0	3	9	19	25	22	12	4	1	5	1	0	0	0
86		81	-	73	0	0	0	2	7	16	23	21	12	3	11	3	0	0		0
85		80	-	74		0	0	0	1	5	13	20	20	9	19	9	2	0	0	0	0
84		79	-	75			0	0	0	1	3	10	18	16	19	19	10	3	1	0	0	0	0
83		78	-	76						0	0	2	8	15	11	21	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
82		77	-	77						0	0	0	2	9	3	10	19	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0		0
81		76	-	78							0	0	0	3	0	2	7	15	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
80		75	-	79								0	0	1	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
79		74	-	80									0	0			0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
78		73	-	81										0				0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
77		72	-	82										0				0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	12	5	1	0	0	0
76		71	-	83										0					0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	24	16	8	2	0	0
75		70	-	84										0							0	0	0	1	2	6	13	22	25	19	9	3	0	0
74		69	-	85																			0	0	0	1	5	13	23	26	20	9	2	0
73		68	-	86																		0		0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	1
72		67	-	87																						0	0	1	6	15	27	29	18	4
71		66	-	88																							0	1	2	7	20	32	28	11
70		65	-	89																								0	1	3	11	28	37	20
69		64	-	90																									0	1	6	19	42	32
68		63	-	91																									0	0	2	14	39	45
67		62	-	92																										0	1	8	31	60
66		61	-	93																										0	0	5	28	67
65		60	-	94																												2	20	78
64		59	-	95																												1	18	81
63		58	-	96																													12	88
62		57	-	97																													9	91
61		56	-	98																													4	96
60		55	-	99																													4	96
59		54	-	100																													7	93
5	-58																																	100

Total:					6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1