SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Plays Arizona, playoff odds up 0.03 to 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17							-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
St. Louis vs Arizona	+8.0*-2.0-7.9		+1.3*-0.2-1.3		-1.3*-0.7+1.3		+0.9*-0.2-0.9
Seattle vs Carolina	-0.6*+0.8+0.6
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.4*+0.9+0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*+0.3-0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis	-7.3*-0.1+7.4		-1.3*-0.6+1.3		+1.3*+0.2-1.4		-0.9*-0.1+0.9
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*-0.9-0.4						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Detroit	-0.4*-1.1+0.4						-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*-0.9-0.4						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*+2.1-0.4						+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.3*-0.7-0.3						+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		Yes		100																No		54	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		86.3	%	98	1			1												No		117
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		78.6		100																No		14
14		14	-	2	-	0	In		73.3		97	1			2												No		1,088
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.1	%	63.5		93	4			1	1	1										No		115
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.7		52.5		90	5	0		3	1	0	0	0								No		4,815
		12	-	2	-	2	In		50.0		100																No		6
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	In		43.5		83	10	0		5	1											No		497
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.2		31.0		67	19	2	0	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		15,953
		11	-	3	-	2	95.2		33.3		52	29	5		5	5	5										No		21
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	95.9		18.8		50	27	4	0	11	4	3	1	0		0						No		1,576
11		11	-	5	-	0	92.0		14.0		33	31	9	1	12	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		37,808
		10	-	4	-	2	96.8		7.9		46	32	8	2	8	2	2			2							No		63
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	87.1		8.5		19	31	15	2	12	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		3,244
		9	-	4	-	3	In		No		50	50															No		2
10		10	-	6	-	0	77.5		4.6		8	21	19	6	13	10	8	5	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	68,686
		9	-	5	-	2	84.3		5.0		8	24	21	7	14	10	2	3	5	2	1	1		1	1		No		121
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	66.6		2.1		3	12	19	9	12	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	No		5,517
		8	-	5	-	3	66.7		No			33	33				33										No		3
9		9	-	7	-	0	54.6		1.1		1	5	14	12	11	11	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0.0		99,068
		8	-	6	-	2	57.7		0.9		0	6	15	12	11	13	7	11	7	3	5	4	4	0	0		No		220
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.5		0.4		0	1	8	13	8	10	11	11	10	8	7	5	4	2	1	0	0.0		7,147
		7	-	6	-	3	66.7		No					33	17	17	17				17						No		6
8		8	-	8	-	0	30.0		0.2		0	0	4	12	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.2		110,642
		7	-	7	-	2	29.8		No				5	10	6	9	10	9	10	8	11	7	6	6	1	1	No		248
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	19.6		0.1			0	1	9	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	10	8	7	4	2	0.3		7,142
		6	-	7	-	3	Out		No								17	33		17	17				17		No		6
7		7	-	9	-	0	12.4		0.0			0	0	6	2	4	6	7	9	10	11	12	11	10	8	4	1.1		98,473
		6	-	8	-	2	7.0		No					3	2	3	6	6	9	11	13	19	12	12	4	3	1.0		200
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	6.1		No				0	3	1	2	4	5	7	9	11	13	13	13	11	7	2.4		5,645	*
6		6	-	10	-	0	3.8		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	14	16	16	12	4.7		69,380
		5	-	9	-	2	3.0		No					1		2		5	7	8	9	14	15	14	17	9	5.3		133
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	2.1		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	18	20	19	8.0		3,319
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No										33						33	33	No		3
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.8		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	24	27	14.0		37,961
		4	-	10	-	2	1.9		No							2	2		4	2	4	6	6	22	20	33	16.7		54
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	16	26	36	20.5		1,426	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	13	26	48	30.5		15,551
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No													5		5	26	63	47.4		19
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No								0		0	0	1	1	4	9	25	59	40.6		497
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0		0	0	0	1	2	6	20	69	53.5		4,736
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																20	80	60.0		5
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No														1	3	14	82	66.9		118
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No									0		0		0	0	2	10	87	75.8		1,040
		1	-	13	-	2	Out		No																50	50	50.0		2
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																8	92	91.7		12
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No															1	10	89	85.6		132
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	Yes		1
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No																3	97	96.6		58

Total:							37.5	%	3.2	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.2	%	602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	-1.8+0.5+1.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+1.8+0.1-1.8

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15.5	-16						100
15		15	-	1	-	0	86	12	2
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	79	14		7
14		14	-	2	-	0	73	17	6	2	1	0	0	0	0			0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	63	23	5	5	1	1					1
13		13	-	3	-	0	53	23	10	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
		12	-	2	-	2	50	33	17
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	43	22	13	10	5	3	2	1	0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	31	22	15	10	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	33	14	19	10	5	5	10						5
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	19	20	16	12	8	6	5	3	2	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	13	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	8	16	24	11	21	2	8	3		3	2		2									2
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	9	8	8	7	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3			50	50
10		10	-	6	-	0	5	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	12	10	7	8	8	5	5	7	4	7	5	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	2			1					1	1
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3			33								33				33
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	3	4	6	7	5	5	6	3	7	6	5	6	4	4	5	4	4	2	3	2	1	3	2	0	0			1
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3					17					33	17		17					17
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2		1	1	1	3	1	2	5	3	6	4	5	3	4	6	4	7	2	5	6	4	4	5	3	4	4	2	1	2	1	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	5	5	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	3	3	2	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3											17		17			17			17		17					17
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2			1		1		1		1	1	2	3	3	2	5	3	5	5	6	7	7	6	5	12	9	6	4	3	6	2	1	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	7	6	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	2
6		6	-	10	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	7	5
		5	-	9	-	2										1	1	2		2	2	2	2	5	2	1	7	5	5	5	9	8	7	5	11	8	7	5
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	3	3	3	5	5	7	8	9	10	10	11	10	8
		4	-	9	-	3																33														33	33
5		5	-	11	-	0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2												2	2					2		2	2	2		9		4	6	11	19	9	15	17
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	4	5	7	9	14	15	17	21
4		4	-	12	-	0										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	7	10	14	22	30
		3	-	11	-	2																							5			5			16	5	21	47
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																			0		0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	10	11	26	41
3		3	-	13	-	0					0														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	22	54
		2	-	12	-	2																														20	20	60
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																												3	4	7	19	67
2		2	-	14	-	0																						0		0		0	0	1	2	5	16	76
		1	-	13	-	2																															50	50
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																														8		92
1		1	-	15	-	0																													1	1	13	86
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																												2			2	97

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3