Hoser Football League Playoff Chances 2020-01 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

DAL		14	-	2	-	0	.875	215	In			100																1.0	+0.25	2	Cowboys
LAC		11	-	4	-	1	.719	57	In			100																1.0	+2.00	4	Chargers
SEA		12	-	3	-	1	.781	132	In				100															2.0	-0.25	3	Seahawks
BAL		11	-	5	-	0	.688	42	In		+18.7		100															2.0	+1.87	7	Ravens
HOU	1	10	-	5	-	0	.667	99	In					100														3.0	-0.63	1	Texans
CHI	1	10	-	5	-	0	.667	56	In					75	25													3.2		12	Bears
WAS		10	-	5	-	1	.656	38	In							100												5.0		8	Redskins
DEN	1	9	-	6	-	0	.600	92	In		+43.8					50	50											5.5	+1.00	9	Broncos
KC		9	-	6	-	1	.594	94	In		+25.0					50	50											5.5	-1.25	10	Chiefs
BUF	1	8	-	7	-	0	.533	42	75.0	%	-0.0				75						6	19						5.7		19	Bills
NO	1	9	-	6	-	0	.600	6	75.0		+0.1				50		25	25										5.3		5	Saints
CAR	1	9	-	5	-	1	.633	35	75.0		-0.0			25	25		25	25										5.0		6	Panthers
ATL	1	8	-	6	-	1	.567	8	50.0		-0.0						50	50										6.5		14	Falcons
NE	1	7	-	7	-	1	.500	-28	25.0		+0.0				25					6	13	31	25					9.3		18	Patriots
CLE		9	-	7	-	0	.563	72	Out		-43.7							25	50	25								8.0	-1.62	17	Browns
IND	1	8	-	7	-	0	.533	-9	Out									50		19	25	6						8.4	+0.44	13	Colts
DET	1	7	-	8	-	0	.467	27	Out										56	19	19	6						8.7		22	Lions
PIT		9	-	7	-	0	.563	1	Out		-43.8								25	50	25							9.0	-2.25	16	Steelers
TEN	1	8	-	7	-	0	.533	22	Out									25	25	0	19	19	12					9.2	+0.44	11	Titans
PHI	1	7	-	8	-	0	.467	-19	Out										25	38	25	12						9.2		20	Eagles
ARI	1	6	-	9	-	0	.400	-54	Out										12	25	38	25						9.8	+0.12	24	Cardinals
TB	1	6	-	9	-	0	.400	-43	Out										6	19	19	6	25	25				11.0	-0.25	21	Buccaneers
JAX	1	7	-	8	-	0	.467	-29	Out												13	25	62					11.5		15	Jaguars
SF		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-4	Out													50	50					11.5	+0.81	23	49ers
NYG	1	5	-	10	-	0	.333	-103	Out														25	75				12.8	-0.19	27	Giants
CIN		6	-	9	-	1	.406	-48	Out															100				13.0		26	Bengals
NYJ	1	4	-	10	-	1	.300	-49	Out																100			14.0		31	Jets
MIN	1	4	-	11	-	0	.267	-106	Out																75	25		14.3	-0.37	25	Vikings
GB	1	4	-	11	-	0	.267	-94	Out																25	75		14.7	-0.13	29	Packers
OAK	1	3	-	12	-	0	.200	-166	Out																	75	25	15.3		30	Raiders
MIA	1	2	-	13	-	0	.133	-226	Out																	25	75	15.7		32	Dolphins
LAR	1	2	-	12	-	1	.167	-60	Out																		100	16.0		28	Rams

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Friday, 5/15
PIT 17 BUF 38
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BUF	+10.2		+1.2
NE	-9.3		-0.5
PIT	-21.6		-1.2

KC 17 DEN 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DEN	-24.9		-1.6
KC	+22.6		+1.5

TEN 10 HOU 17
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
HOU	+23.3		+1.6
TEN	-23.9		-1.8

NO 14 IND 28
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NO	-7.5		-0.6
IND	+14.3		+1.0

BAL 27 NYJ 24
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BAL	+20.6		+1.1
IND	-3.1

SF 35 ATL 42
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
WAS	-6.8
ATL	+20.4		+0.8

WAS 17 PHI 14
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
WAS	+20.3		+0.6
PHI	-13.0		-0.9

CAR 22 SEA 34
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
CAR	-15.4		-0.8
ATL	+6.1		+0.2

DET 14 TB 19
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DET	-13.5		-1.0

LAC 28 MIN 21
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LAC	+13.5		+1.1

ARI 34 CLE 24
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
CLE	-9.1		-0.9

CIN 34 NE 30
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BUF	+8.5		+0.5
NE	-9.3		-0.9

Saturday, 5/16
IND 10 CAR 38
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
HOU	In		+0.2
CAR	+18.0		+0.7
ATL	-8.1		-0.2
IND	-22.3		-1.1
DET	Out
PHI	Out

NE 14 BUF 35
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BUF	+37.5		+2.7
NE	-37.5		-2.5

CLE 28 BAL 34
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BAL	+22.5		+1.9
DEN	+4.8
CLE	-23.2		-2.1

CHI 7 KC 42
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DEN	-5.8		-0.2
KC	+25.0		+1.7
IND	-5.5
TEN	-2.7

DEN 7 DET 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DEN	+23.0		+1.2
KC	-6.2		-0.2

NYJ 17 PIT 20
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DEN	-6.1		-0.2
PIT	+22.1		+1.3

ATL 30 JAX 35
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NO	+8.6		+0.3
CAR	+7.0		+0.2
ATL	-21.5		-0.8
DET	+1.6
PHI	+1.2

TEN 35 NO 28
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NO	-16.4		-0.6
CAR	+7.0
ATL	+4.7		+0.3
TEN	+3.1		+0.7

WAS 24 NYG 16
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
WAS	In		+0.3
CAR	-7.0

LAC 21 OAK 13
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LAC	In		+0.9

TB 17 HOU 31
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
HOU	In		+0.6

PHI 14 DAL 31
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PHI	Out		-0.9

Sunday, 5/17
BAL 31 PIT 14
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BAL	In		+2.4
DEN	+18.8		+0.3
KC	+12.5
CLE	-6.2		-0.6
PIT	Out		-2.3

CIN 14 CLE 10
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DEN	In		+0.5
KC	In		+0.3
CLE	Out		-1.0

KC 14 LAC 31
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LAC			+2.0
KC	-12.4		-1.7
CLE	+12.4		+0.2

TB vs ATLIf winner is:HomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NO	InIn50.0		5.05.05.5
CAR	InIn50.0		4.74.85.3
ATL	OutOut100.0		7.07.06.0
TB			9.510.512.5

CAR vs NOHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NO	50.0InIn		6.56.04.0
CAR	InIn50.0		3.54.06.5
ATL	50.0Out50.0

NE vs MIAHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BUF	50.0InIn		7.44.04.0
NE	50.0OutOut		7.011.511.5

BUF vs NYJHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BUF	InIn50.1		4.04.07.4
NE	OutOut49.9		10.710.87.8

JAX vs INDHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
IND			9.79.57.0

HOU vs TENHomeTieAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TEN			10.99.57.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Woody for adding this league.