Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 37.6%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia vs Washington	+7.9*-0.5-7.9		+1.3*+0.0-1.3		-1.3*-0.6+1.3		+0.9*+0.1-0.9
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.4*+0.1-0.4						+0.1*-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-7.1*-1.5+7.1		-1.4*+0.1+1.4		+1.3*+0.2-1.3		-0.8*-0.1+0.8
Denver vs NY Giants	+1.0*+1.2-1.0						+0.1+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.7*-1.5-0.7						+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Washington	+0.6*+1.3-0.6						+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*-0.3-0.4						+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		Yes		100																No		53	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		90.6	%	99				1												No		149
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		100																No		10
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.8	%	76.1		98	1			1	0			0								No		1,049
		13	-	1	-	2	In		Yes		100																No		2
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		69.0		99					1											No		113
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.6		53.0		90	6	0		3	1	0	0	0	0							No		4,661
		12	-	2	-	2	In		87.5		100																No		8
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.2		43.6		85	10	0		4	1	0	0									No		507
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.0		30.9		67	19	2	0	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0				No		15,629
		11	-	3	-	2	In		18.2		68	23	5			5											No		22
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	96.1		22.4		54	24	3	0	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0					No		1,494
11		11	-	5	-	0	92.2		13.9		33	31	9	1	12	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		37,639
		10	-	4	-	2	92.2		25.0		44	27	9		8	5	5	2		2							No		64
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	86.5		7.6		18	29	15	2	13	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0		0	No		3,349
		9	-	4	-	3	In		No		67	33															No		3
10		10	-	6	-	0	78.0		4.6		8	21	19	6	13	10	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	68,914
		9	-	5	-	2	76.1		4.5		7	28	19	4	13	6	10	6	5	2							No		134
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	67.9		2.1		2	12	19	10	14	11	9	8	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	No		5,511
		8	-	5	-	3	50.0		No							50		25		25							No		4
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.1		1.1		1	5	14	12	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		98,717
		8	-	6	-	2	54.5		2.7		0	6	15	13	10	10	11	11	10	5	4	1	2	1	0		No		220
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.0		0.5		0	1	8	13	9	10	12	11	10	8	7	5	4	2	1	0	0.0		7,169
		7	-	6	-	3	25.0		No					25			25	25	25								No		4
8		8	-	8	-	0	30.4		0.2		0	0	4	12	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	7	6	4	2	1	0.2		111,040
		7	-	7	-	2	31.9		No				3	14	4	10	9	14	12	10	7	6	7	3	1	0	0.5		210
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	19.6		0.1			0	1	9	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	4	2	0.3		7,187
		6	-	7	-	3	Out		No											100							No		1
7		7	-	9	-	0	12.5		0.0			0	0	6	2	4	6	7	9	10	11	11	11	10	8	4	1.1		98,480
		6	-	8	-	2	14.2		No				0	7	3	3	7	9	8	9	9	11	11	7	10	3	1.4		212
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	6.6		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	10	11	13	13	13	11	7	2.2		5,540
		5	-	8	-	3	Out		No													50				50	No		2
6		6	-	10	-	0	3.7		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	14	16	16	12	4.6		69,138
		5	-	9	-	2	3.4		No					3		1	3	3	6	7	8	13	17	17	9	14	4.2		119
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.7		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	6	7	10	14	17	19	19	8.6		3,296
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No														100				No		1
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	24	28	13.8		37,954
		4	-	10	-	2	1.4		No					1				3	3	1	4	6	19	24	17	22	13.9		72
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	14	27	37	19.5		1,516
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	25	48	30.1		15,952
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No												5	5	10	20	25	35	20.0		20
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.2		No					0					0	0	1	2	4	10	26	57	40.0		525
		2	-	11	-	3	Out		No														100				No		1
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0				0	0	0	0	1	2	7	21	68	50.7		4,853
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																20	80	60.0		5
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No													1		3	19	78	60.3		116
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No										0				0	2	12	86	73.7		1,068
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																9	91	82.6		23
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No																4	96	89.6		135
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	Yes		53	*

Total:							37.6	%	3.2	%	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington	-1.8*-0.1+1.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+1.8*+0.1-1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15.5	-16						100
15		15	-	1	-	0	91	8	1	1
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	100
14		14	-	2	-	0	76	16	4	2	1	1	0		0		0
		13	-	1	-	2	100
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	69	20	7	2	1	1
13		13	-	3	-	0	53	22	11	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	88	13
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	44	22	15	7	6	2	2	0	0	0	1	0						0
12		12	-	4	-	0	31	21	15	10	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	18	27	18	14	9	5			5		5
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	18	16	12	8	6	5	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	13	12	9	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	25	13	11	9	13	5	2	2	3	5	6			3	3			2
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	10	8	7	7	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0		0	0			0
		9	-	4	-	3		67		33
10		10	-	6	-	0	5	7	8	9	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	4	10	7	11	10	5	7	8	1	8	3	3	3	6	3	4	1	1	1	1		1
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3						25	25										25			25
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	3	3	2	3	8	8	4	6	5	5	7	5	5	5	5	5	4	3	2	2	2	2	2	1		1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	5	6	5	6	4	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3			25							25				25		25
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2			0	1	1	2	1	6	5	3	2	6	9	5	7	8	6	6	6	3	4	5	2	4	2	2	1	1	1	0		0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	5	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3																100
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2		0		0		1	1	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	4	6	6	5	6	3	5	3	8	4	5	4	9	3	4	5	1	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1			0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3																										50	50
6		6	-	10	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	5
		5	-	9	-	2										1	2				3	5	3	1	1	3	3	4	7	12	8	4	11	11	7	4	8	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	4	4	4	6	5	8	9	9	10	11	11	9
		4	-	9	-	3																											100
5		5	-	11	-	0			0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2																	1	3			3	1	4	7	8	6	10	14	8	13	8	14
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1											0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	3	4	5	7	9	10	17	19	20
4		4	-	12	-	0										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	15	22	30
		3	-	11	-	2																								5	5	10	5	5	15	15	20	20
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																			0		1		1	1	1	2	3	6	9	13	24	40
		2	-	11	-	3																											100
3		3	-	13	-	0																	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	25	51
		2	-	12	-	2																															40	60
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																											1	1	8	6	24	60
2		2	-	14	-	0																				0						0	1	0	2	5	18	74
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																															17	83
1		1	-	15	-	0																														1	10	90
0	-0.5																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3