Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of winning championshipChance will finish regular season at seedOdds of getting last
TuesdayPGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI12/5
Trey ReedWRoger Harman 141-107.199-030162.2In81.0%+43.081191.2+0.56No1Cary McMichaelTrey Reed
Nick TreadoLAlex Valley 71-11688-04014.9In19.0-39.91931502.3-0.78No2at James QuinlyNick Treado
James QuinlyWAustin Harman 97.9-7477-05029.4In+4.6No-3.1504462.6+1.40No5Nick TreadoJames Quinly
Cary McMichaelWTom Reed 100.8-67.866-0601.194.0%+29.9No46232564.9+0.94No3at Trey ReedCary McMichael
Aaron McMichaelWBrandon McMichael 116-89.866-060-79.168.9+16.9No62321192565.5+0.62No7at Tom ReedAaron McMichael
Brandon McMichaelLAaron McMichael 89.8-11666-060-15.462.5-18.8No13252525126.0-1.37No8at Austin HarmanBrandon McMichael
Tom ReedLCary McMichael 67.8-100.855-0705549.9-22.1No1325120506.5-1.00No9Aaron McMichaelTom Reed
Alex ValleyWNick Treado 116-7155-07049.524.7+16.3No619196507.8+0.63No-6.34at Roger HarmanAlex Valley
Roger HarmanLTrey Reed 107.1-14155-070-74.2Out-26.8No2525508.3-0.88No-6.26Alex ValleyRoger Harman
Austin HarmanLJames Quinly 74-97.933-090-143.4OutNo10010.0-0.13Yes+12.510Brandon McMichaelAustin Harman

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Cary McMichael 113 Roger Harman 82.5
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoIn
James Quinly-0.5
Cary McMichael+25.4
-5.3
+1.1
Aaron McMichael+0.4
Alex Valley+0.2
+2.1
Roger Harman-25.8
+3.4
-1.1
Aaron McMichael 40.3 James Quinly 117.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick TreadoIn
James Quinly+23.0
+0.7
No
+1.2
Cary McMichael+0.7
Aaron McMichael-19.5
No
+0.2
-1.1
Austin Harman-2.4
+0.9
Brandon McMichael 84.8 Tom Reed 124
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+2.6
James Quinly-3.1
Cary McMichael-2.0
Aaron McMichael-2.7
Brandon McMichael-8.9
-3.9
-0.8
Tom Reed+21.8
No
+0.9
Roger Harman-3.7
Austin Harman 74.9 Alex Valley 132.3
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichael-1.7
Aaron McMichaelNo
Alex Valley+5.5
-26.3
+0.6
Roger Harman-0.4
-0.7
Austin Harman-5.1
+29.1
-0.6
Nick Treado 125.3 Trey Reed 71.7
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed-31.1
-0.5
Nick TreadoIn
+29.3
+0.7
James Quinly+0.7
Aaron McMichael+0.4
Brandon McMichael+0.8
Roger Harman*No
Week of 11/28
Tom Reed 67.8 Cary McMichael 100.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
James Quinly+2.0
Cary McMichael+24.7
+1.0
Aaron McMichael-0.3
Tom Reed-25.6
-1.1
Alex Valley+2.2
Roger Harman-2.9
Aaron McMichael 116 Brandon McMichael 89.8
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichael-1.6
Aaron McMichael+24.1
+1.1
Brandon McMichael-18.8
-1.2
Alex Valley+0.3
Roger Harman-3.0
Roger Harman 107.1 Trey Reed 141
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+21.0
+0.3
Nick Treado-17.9
-0.2
James Quinly+2.4
No
Cary McMichael+7.7
+0.2
Aaron McMichael+7.4
+0.2
Brandon McMichael+3.1
Tom Reed+3.0
+0.2
Roger Harman-23.6
+6.2
-0.9
Austin Harman-6.2
Alex Valley 116 Nick Treado 71
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey Reed+21.0
+0.2
Nick Treado-24.1
-0.4
James Quinly+3.1
Cary McMichael-2.9
Brandon McMichael-3.1
Alex Valley+8.5
No
+0.5
Austin Harman+6.2
James Quinly 97.9 Austin Harman 74
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Nick Treado-3.1
-0.2
James QuinlyIn
+3.1
+1.0
Aaron McMichael-2.6
-0.2
Brandon McMichael-0.2
Tom Reed-0.2
Alex ValleyNo
Roger HarmanNo
Austin HarmanYes
Week of 12/5
Tom Reed vs Aaron McMichaelIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn87.9
4.84.25.1
Aaron McMichael37.788.8In
6.75.74.3
Brandon McMichael49.975.075.0
6.05.56.0
Tom ReedInOutOut
5.08.08.0
Alex Valley12.336.237.1
8.07.57.5
Roger Harman8.58.08.0
Austin Harman vs Brandon McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn87.9
4.74.75.2
Aaron McMichael87.787.650.0
5.35.35.8
Brandon McMichael25.124.3In
7.07.05.0
Tom Reed6.36.26.8
Alex Valley37.337.612.1
7.57.58.0
Roger Harman vs Alex ValleyHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Cary McMichaelInIn87.9
4.84.85.0
Aaron McMichael75.175.462.7
5.45.45.6
Brandon McMichael75.075.649.9
5.85.76.3
Tom Reed6.56.06.5
Alex ValleyOutOut49.5
9.08.06.5
Roger Harman7.59.09.0
Trey Reed vs Cary McMichaelHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey ReedYes71.862.0
1.01.31.4
Nick TreadoNo28.238.0
2.52.22.1
Cary McMichael87.988.0In
5.75.74.1
Aaron McMichael62.762.575.1
5.45.45.7
Brandon McMichael5.85.76.3
Tom Reed6.36.36.8
Alex Valley36.937.212.5
7.57.58.0
James Quinly vs Nick TreadoHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of winning championship100.0*Odds of getting last100.0*Average seed
Trey ReedYesYes62.0
1.01.01.4
Nick TreadoNoNo38.0
3.02.01.6
James Quinly2.03.13.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you NCT for adding this league.