Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Plays at Tennessee, playoff odds up 0.2 to 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17	+0.9						+0.1
Denver 7 Baltimore 21	-0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	-7.5*-1.6+7.5		-1.3*-0.6+1.3		+1.3*-0.0-1.4		-0.9-0.2+0.9
Miami vs Cleveland	+0.6*+1.4-0.6						+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-0.3*-1.1+0.3						-0.0*-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh	-8.0*-0.2+8.0		-1.3*-0.3+1.3		+1.3*-0.1-1.3		-0.9*-0.0+0.9
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-0.4*-0.3+0.4						-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	-0.4*-1.6+0.4						-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	-0.4*-1.6+0.4						-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina	-0.3*+0.6+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

14.5	-16						In		89.0	%	100																No		210	*
14		14	-	2	-	0	In		73.5		98	1			1	0											No		1,027
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		69.5		100																No		131
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.7	%	51.1		91	5	0		3	1	0	0									No		4,947
		12	-	2	-	2	In		75.0		100																No		4
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.2		41.0		82	10	0		6	1	1	0									No		507
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.2		31.4		70	17	1	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0		0				No		15,686
		11	-	3	-	2	In		37.9		69	24			3	3											No		29
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	96.8		20.8		54	25	2	0	11	4	2	1	0	0	0						No		1,503
11		11	-	5	-	0	92.2		14.0		35	30	8	1	12	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		37,781
		10	-	4	-	2	91.2		17.5		40	37	4		9	2	4		2	2	2						No		57
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	85.8		8.0		20	30	12	2	13	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		3,421
		9	-	4	-	3	In		No		33			33		33											No		3
10		10	-	6	-	0	77.3		4.7		9	22	18	5	13	10	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	68,970
		9	-	5	-	2	78.4		4.3		9	20	22	4	13	11	6	6	4	3	1	1					No		139
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	66.4		2.2		3	12	18	8	13	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	No		5,574
		8	-	5	-	3	Out		No								100										No		1
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.0		1.1		1	6	14	11	11	12	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		98,410
		8	-	6	-	2	55.9		2.2		1	6	13	13	10	13	10	9	9	7	3	3	2	2			No		186
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	42.1		0.5		0	2	9	12	9	11	11	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		7,117
		7	-	6	-	3	75.0		No					25		50					25						No		4
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.9		0.2		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.2		111,035
		7	-	7	-	2	29.3		No			0	4	12	5	8	9	13	11	9	9	9	6	3	2	0	0.5		215
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	19.4		0.1			0	1	8	4	6	8	9	11	11	11	10	8	6	4	2	0.4		7,099
		6	-	7	-	3	Out		No										33		17	17	17		17		No		6
7		7	-	9	-	0	12.4		0.0			0	0	6	2	4	6	7	9	10	11	12	11	10	7	4	1.1		98,667
		6	-	8	-	2	8.7		No				0	3	2	2	6	9	7	11	13	11	10	13	9	2	0.5		206
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	6.5		No				0	3	1	2	4	5	7	9	12	12	13	13	12	7	1.9		5,602
		5	-	8	-	3	Out		No												17	17	33		33		No		6
6		6	-	10	-	0	3.5		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	12	14	16	16	12	4.6		69,297
		5	-	9	-	2	4.4		No					4		1	6	2	6	4	6	15	19	17	17	4	1.5		137
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.3		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	19	21	19	7.8		3,304
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No												33		33			33	No		3
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.7		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	24	28	13.8		37,560
		4	-	10	-	2	Out		No									1	3	1	8	4	4	24	20	36	21.1		76
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	16	27	37	20.9		1,579
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	25	48	30.8		15,581
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No															21	37	42	31.6		19
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No											0	1	2	5	8	22	62	44.1		551
3		3	-	13	-	0	Out		No								0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	20	69	52.6		4,864
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																25	75	62.5		8
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No														1	6	13	81	59.6		104
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No								0		0		0		1	2	13	85	74.2		1,109
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No															6	6	88	87.5		16
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No															2	6	91	85.7		140
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	Yes		53	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.2	%	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.2	%	602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	+1.8*+0.3-1.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh	+1.8*-0.0-1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	97	2	2
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1			100
15		15	-	1	-	0	87	12	1
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	83	13		4
14		14	-	2	-	0	74	18	6	2	1	0	0		0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	69	18	7	3	2	1	1
13		13	-	3	-	0	51	23	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0
		12	-	2	-	2	75	25
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	41	24	13	8	4	2	3	2	1	0		0	0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	31	22	14	10	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	38	21	14	17	3	3			3
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	21	20	14	11	9	7	4	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0			0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	13	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	18	18	12	11	11	7	7		5	4				4			2	2			2
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	10	12	12	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		9	-	4	-	3		33		33					33
10		10	-	6	-	0	5	7	8	9	8	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	4	9	6	9	10	4	12	5	5	5	5	5	3	4	4	5	1		1	1						1
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3																				100
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	2	1	2	4	2	9	4	6	7	6	8	6	5	3	8	4	4	4	3	5		2	3	1	2	1	1	1
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	5	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3						25		25			25										25
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2		0			0	1	6	2	2	5	5	6	4	6	11	5	6	6	6	5	3	3	5	2	6	3	1	1	0	1		0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3																	17			33				17			17		17
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2						0		1	0	1	2	3	4	5	3	2	3	3	8	7	8	4	9	5	2	8	4	8	2	2	3	0
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3																								33	17	17	17	17
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	5
		5	-	9	-	2										1	1	1	1	2	1	1	4	3	2	4	7	4	9	5	4	13	6	9	9	7	4	1
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1				0			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	4	4	5	7	8	8	10	12	12	10	8
		4	-	9	-	3																							33				33			33
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2																		1		4		3	4	3	4	5	8	12	9	11	16	21
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1														0	0		0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	11	16	19	21
4		4	-	12	-	0										0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	7	10	15	22	31
		3	-	11	-	2																											16	5	5	21	21	32
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																	0			1	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	8	13	23	44
3		3	-	13	-	0																		0	0		0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	22	53
		2	-	12	-	2																														13	25	63
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																											3	1	5	9	23	60
2		2	-	14	-	0																				0		0	0				0	1	2	4	18	74
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																													6		6	88
1		1	-	15	-	0																											1			4	10	86
0	-0.5																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3