Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
11/23PGW-OTL-OTTGD%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
FalconsWAces 81.7-72.7168-00-0087.599.0%+1.2492212743211000002.2+0.521at WhalersVictoria Falcons
LumberjacksLBuccaneers 58.6-70.5147-01-0085.796.5-1.22725161175322110003.1-0.423GauntletsOttawa Lumberjacks
DirewolvesWLeafs 54.1-53.8 (ot)115-12-0086.985.9+0.681415141210865432105.0+0.052at BullsWinterfell Direwolves
AcesLFalcons 72.7-81.7105-03-0042.179.9-5.551013131210986543215.7-0.667SagsLas Vegas Aces
WolvesWLions 81.9-57.694-03-104871.9+9.637101111111098754316.5+0.854LeafsMontreal Wolves
WhalersWGauntlets 54.1-50.494-13-00-8.470.1+9.23691011111098764316.7+0.7911FalconsHartford Whalers
BullsWSags 56.2-52.584-04-00662.5+9.62579101010109876427.4+0.7812DirewolvesBirmingham Bulls
SagsLBulls 52.5-56.284-04-00-17.661.8-8.92579101010109976427.4-0.786at AcesChicoutimi Sags
LeafsLDirewolves 53.8-54.1 (ot)73-04-10-3950.6-0.41356891010101098748.3-0.0310at WolvesBavarian Maple Leafs
GauntletsLWhalers 50.4-54.163-05-00-13.441.2-10.512356791010111111979.1-0.828at LumberjacksToronto Iceborn Gauntlets
BuccaneersWLumberjacks 70.5-58.642-06-00-3924.3+6.4011234679101214151510.5+0.625SabresBarbados Buccaneers
MillionairesWSabres 47.6-36.442-06-00-56.823.0+5.6001234578101214161610.6+0.579LionsVancouver Millionaires
SabresLMillionaires 36.4-47.642-06-00-66.822.5-9.4001234578101214161610.6-0.7913at BuccaneersNew Westminster Sabres
LionsLWolves 57.6-81.921-07-00-115.210.8-6.200011234571014203311.9-0.6614at MillionairesOsmotherley Lions

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/23
Gauntlets 50.4 Whalers 54.1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Whalers+10.1
+0.8
Gauntlets-10.5
-0.8
Sags 52.5 Bulls 56.2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Whalers-0.2
Bulls+10.4
+0.8
Sags-9.1
-0.8
Leafs-0.2
Direwolves 54.1 Leafs 53.8 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Direwolves+5.9
+0.7
Aces+0.3
Wolves+0.5
Whalers+0.5
Bulls+0.5
Sags+0.5
Leafs-10.1
-0.8
Gauntlets+0.5
Buccaneers+0.3
Millionaires+0.3
Sabres+0.4
Lions+0.3
Lions 57.6 Wolves 81.9
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Direwolves-0.2
Aces-0.2
Wolves+9.6
+0.8
Whalers-0.3
Bulls-0.3
Sags-0.3
Leafs-0.4
Gauntlets-0.3
Buccaneers-0.3
Millionaires-0.2
Sabres-0.4
Lions-6.5
-0.6
Sabres 36.4 Millionaires 47.6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Aces+0.2
Wolves+0.2
Whalers+0.3
Bulls+0.3
Sags+0.2
Leafs+0.3
Gauntlets+0.3
Buccaneers+0.2
Millionaires+6.7
+0.7
Sabres-9.0
-0.8
Lions+0.2
Lumberjacks 58.6 Buccaneers 70.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Falcons+0.1
Lumberjacks-1.4
-0.4
Direwolves-0.3
Aces-0.3
Wolves-0.5
Whalers-0.5
Bulls-0.6
Sags-0.5
Leafs-0.6
Gauntlets-0.5
Buccaneers+6.4
+0.6
Millionaires-0.3
-0.1
Sabres-0.5
-0.1
Lions-0.3
-0.1
Falcons 81.7 Aces 72.7
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Falcons+1.3
+0.5
Direwolves+0.2
Aces-5.5
-0.7
Wolves+0.4
Whalers+0.5
Bulls+0.4
Sags+0.4
Leafs+0.5
Gauntlets+0.5
Buccaneers+0.3
Millionaires+0.3
Sabres+0.4
Lions+0.3
Week of 11/30
Wolves vs LeafsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolves81.072.662.7
5.76.57.4
Leafs39.950.461.3
9.28.37.5
Aces vs SagsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Aces87.480.672.2
4.95.76.5
Sags51.762.271.8
8.37.46.6
Bulls vs DirewolvesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Direwolves79.786.791.8
5.85.04.3
Bulls72.362.852.6
6.57.48.2
Lumberjacks vs GauntletsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lumberjacks98.597.094.4
2.63.13.6
Aces80.6*79.979.3
Wolves72.7*71.971.2
Whalers70.9*70.169.3
Bulls63.3*62.461.6
Sags62.7*61.860.9
Leafs51.5*50.649.7
Gauntlets31.541.051.0
9.89.18.3
Buccaneers24.9*24.223.6
10.4*10.510.5
Millionaires23.6*23.022.3
10.5*10.610.6
Sabres23.2*22.521.9
10.6*10.610.7
Whalers vs FalconsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Falcons98.299.299.7
2.62.21.8
Direwolves85.4*85.886.4
Aces79.3*79.880.6
Wolves71.2*71.972.7
Whalers78.670.761.5
5.96.77.5
Bulls61.7*62.563.3
Sags61.0*61.762.6
Leafs49.7*50.551.5
8.4*8.38.3
Gauntlets40.4*41.142.1
Buccaneers23.6*24.225.0
Millionaires22.3*23.023.7
Sabres21.9*22.423.2
Buccaneers vs SabresHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers32.623.616.0
9.710.511.2
Sabres14.721.830.5
11.410.79.9
Millionaires vs LionsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Millionaires30.822.315.3
9.910.611.3
Lions6.010.015.8
12.411.911.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.