NHLSL 2019-2020 Playoff Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Pres Trophy			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	Tuesday		P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Wednesday

Calgary Flames			35		17	8		-	1	18	87.6	%	+0.2	8.7	%	+0.2	25	16	13	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0		4.2	+0.05	6	Pittsburgh Penguins	Calgary Flames
Washington Capitals			37	1	16	4		-	5	12	87.5		-0.1	16.8		+0.3	23	8	18	6	13	5	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	4.6		2		Washington Capitals
Columbus Blue Jackets			32	4	16	6		-	0	27	83.2		-0.0	13.4		+0.2	18	7	16	6	14	5	10	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	5.2	-0.01	1	at Ottawa Senators	Columbus Blue Jackets
Philadelphia Flyers			33	3	15	5		-	3	12	82.1		-0.1	12.0		+0.3	17	6	16	6	14	5	11	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	5.3		4	at Vancouver Canucks	Philadelphia Flyers
Chicago Blackhawks			30	3	14	7		-	2	9	80.9		+0.1	5.8		+0.1	17	16	11	10	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1		5.0	+0.01	3		Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins			31	3	15	7		-	1	16	76.0		-0.0	7.9		+0.1	11	21	6	14	5	10	4	5	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	5.5	+0.03	7		Boston Bruins
San Jose Sharks			30	2	13	7		-	4	5	75.9		+0.3	4.1		+0.1	13	10	12	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	1		5.7	+0.04	13	Los Angeles Kings	San Jose Sharks
Winnipeg Jets			28	2	13	9		-	2	7	67.9		+0.3	2.4		+0.1	9	10	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	2		6.6	+0.01	16		Winnipeg Jets
New York Rangers			27	5	13	7		-	1	5	66.3		-0.2	5.2		+0.2	8	4	11	4	12	5	13	10	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	7.1	-0.02	5	at Minnesota Wild	New York Rangers
Detroit Red Wings	L	Carolina Hurricanes 2-5	32		15	9		-	2	5	65.2		-5.4	3.9		-1.4	6	14	5	13	5	11	5	6	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	6.8	-0.56	14		Detroit Red Wings
Dallas Stars			27	2	12	9		-	3	6	62.3		+0.2	1.6		+0.0	6	8	8	9	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	3		7.2	+0.01	9	at Vegas Golden Knights	Dallas Stars
Florida Panthers	L	Buffalo Sabres 2-3 (so)	29	2	13	8		-	3	6	60.3		-0.9	3.2		-0.2	5	12	5	12	5	11	5	6	7	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	7.3	-0.08	15		Florida Panthers
Pittsburgh Penguins			28	3	13	8		-	2	-6	59.7		-0.4	3.5		+0.1	5	3	9	4	11	5	12	11	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	2	7.7	-0.04	10	at Calgary Flames	Pittsburgh Penguins
Vancouver Canucks			26	2	12	10		-	2	15	57.4		+0.5	1.3		+0.0	5	6	8	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4		7.7	+0.04	20	Philadelphia Flyers	Vancouver Canucks
Arizona Coyotes	L	Edmonton Oilers 3-5	27	1	12	10		-	3	-7	56.2		-5.5	1.1		-0.5	5	5	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5	4		7.8	-0.54	25		Arizona Coyotes
St. Louis Blues			25	2	12	11		-	1	1	52.6		+0.1	0.9		+0.0	4	6	6	7	7	8	7	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5		8.1		12	Nashville Predators	St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles Kings			24	3	11	10		-	2	-11	52.2		+0.3	1.0		+0.0	4	5	7	6	8	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5		8.2	+0.03	23	at San Jose Sharks	Los Angeles Kings
Minnesota Wild			24	3	10	9		-	4	4	51.0		+0.2	1.0		+0.0	4	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5		8.3	+0.01	29	New York Rangers	Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche			23	3	10	10		-	3	-8	46.2		+0.2	0.7		+0.0	3	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	6		8.7		26		Colorado Avalanche
Montreal Canadiens			25	3	10	8		-	5	-2	43.3		+0.1	1.3		+0.1	2	7	3	8	4	9	5	6	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	9.0	+0.01	19		Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo Sabres	W	Florida Panthers 3-2 (so)	24	3	11	10		-	2	-5	39.4		+4.6	1.0		+0.3	2	6	3	7	3	8	4	6	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	5	9.4	+0.47	18	Tampa Bay Lightning	Buffalo Sabres
Nashville Predators			20	4	9	11		-	2	-10	36.6		+0.2	0.4		+0.0	2	3	3	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	10		9.7		22	at St. Louis Blues	Nashville Predators
Ottawa Senators			23	3	11	11		-	1	-7	34.7		-0.0	0.8		+0.0	1	5	2	6	3	8	4	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	6	9.9	-0.01	21	Columbus Blue Jackets	Ottawa Senators
Vegas Golden Knights			23	1	10	12		-	3	-9	34.2		+0.3	0.3		+0.0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	11	10		9.9	+0.01	17	Dallas Stars	Vegas Golden Knights
Tampa Bay Lightning			19	6	9	10		-	1	2	31.6		+0.1	0.7		+0.0	1	4	2	6	3	7	4	5	7	8	9	9	10	10	9	7	10.2	-0.01	28	at Buffalo Sabres	Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs			24	1	12	13		-	0	-7	29.3		+0.1	0.4		-0.0	1	3	2	5	2	7	4	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	7	10.5	-0.01	8		Toronto Maple Leafs
Anaheim Ducks			20	2	9	13		-	2	-13	25.8		+0.2	0.1		+0.0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	12	14	15		10.8		27	at New York Islanders	Anaheim Ducks
New York Islanders			18	5	9	12		-	0	-10	21.1		-0.2	0.3		+0.0	1	0	2	1	3	2	5	7	7	7	8	9	11	12	12	11	11.5	-0.04	11	Anaheim Ducks	New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes	W	Detroit Red Wings 5-2	20	2	9	13		-	2	-11	15.4		+2.4	0.1		+0.0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	11	13	15	15	12.2	+0.32	24		Carolina Hurricanes
Edmonton Oilers	W	Arizona Coyotes 5-3	19		8	15		-	3	-18	13.2		+2.4	0.0		+0.0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	13	17	29		12.2	+0.32	31		Edmonton Oilers
New Jersey Devils			13	4	5	14		-	3	-26	4.9		-0.1	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	5	6	9	12	19	38	14.0	-0.05	30		New Jersey Devils

Tuesday
Edmonton Oilers 5 Arizona Coyotes 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary Flames					+0.0
San Jose Sharks	+0.3
Winnipeg Jets	+0.3
Vancouver Canucks	+0.3
Arizona Coyotes	-5.5		-0.5		-0.5
St. Louis Blues	+0.3				+0.0
Los Angeles Kings	+0.3
Minnesota Wild	+0.3
Vegas Golden Knights	+0.3				+0.0
Edmonton Oilers	+2.5				+0.3

Carolina Hurricanes 5 Detroit Red Wings 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary Flames			+0.2
Columbus Blue Jackets			+0.2
Philadelphia Flyers			+0.2
Chicago Blackhawks			*+0.1
Boston Bruins	+0.2				+0.1
New York Rangers			+0.1
Detroit Red Wings	-4.9		-1.5		-0.5
Montreal Canadiens	+0.3				+0.0
Buffalo Sabres	+0.2				+0.0
Ottawa Senators	+0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.3
Toronto Maple Leafs	+0.4				+0.0
Carolina Hurricanes	+2.6		+0.1		+0.4

Buffalo Sabres 3 Florida Panthers 2 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Boston Bruins					*-0.0
Detroit Red Wings	*-0.3				*-0.0
Florida Panthers	-1.2		*-0.2		-0.1
Montreal Canadiens	*-0.5				*-0.0
Buffalo Sabres	+4.4		+0.2		+0.5
Ottawa Senators					*-0.0

Wednesday
Minnesota Wild vs New York RangersIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia Flyers	82.581.582.081.881.681.8				5.35.35.35.45.45.4
Winnipeg Jets	67.467.267.568.268.168.4				6.66.66.66.5*6.56.5
New York Rangers	61.465.565.770.670.570.4		3.9*4.94.86.46.46.4		7.67.27.26.76.76.7
Dallas Stars	61.961.761.862.362.262.9				7.27.27.27.1*7.17.1
Pittsburgh Penguins	60.359.959.659.359.359.3				7.77.77.77.8*7.87.8
Arizona Coyotes	55.956.255.756.056.156.6
St. Louis Blues	52.151.951.952.6*52.453.2				8.28.18.18.1*8.18.0
Los Angeles Kings	51.852.051.852.152.552.6
Minnesota Wild	55.655.555.349.9*50.345.7		1.31.21.20.90.80.6		7.87.87.88.48.38.8
Colorado Avalanche	45.646.145.846.146.546.7				8.88.78.88.7*8.78.7
Buffalo Sabres	39.839.239.239.139.139.0
Nashville Predators	36.236.336.236.936.937.1
Tampa Bay Lightning	32.131.731.831.331.631.3
Edmonton Oilers	13.112.612.913.213.113.4				12.212.312.312.2*12.212.2

Vancouver Canucks vs Philadelphia FlyersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Washington Capitals	87.787.887.387.587.587.3		17.216.916.816.2*16.516.4		4.54.54.64.64.64.6
Columbus Blue Jackets			13.813.513.412.9*13.113.2		5.15.25.15.25.25.2
Philadelphia Flyers	78.481.781.885.184.985.1		9.511.311.314.314.014.3		5.85.45.45.05.04.9
San Jose Sharks	75.575.475.675.775.876.3		4.24.14.14.04.13.9		5.85.85.85.7*5.75.7
New York Rangers	66.766.666.465.866.166.0				7.07.17.1*7.17.27.2
Dallas Stars	62.062.262.262.662.462.7
Florida Panthers	60.659.560.560.259.760.0
Vancouver Canucks	62.061.762.356.556.452.1		1.71.61.61.1*1.10.8		7.27.37.27.87.88.2
Arizona Coyotes	55.755.955.456.2*56.556.8				7.97.87.97.87.87.8
Los Angeles Kings	51.852.051.951.752.252.7				8.28.28.28.2*8.28.1
Minnesota Wild	50.850.450.8*51.350.251.4				8.38.38.38.2*8.38.2
Colorado Avalanche	45.846.145.646.146.446.5
Vegas Golden Knights	33.733.534.134.534.434.7				10.010.010.09.9*9.99.9
Anaheim Ducks	25.525.125.325.8*25.726.3				10.810.810.810.810.810.7

New York Islanders vs Anaheim DucksHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New York Rangers	66.065.765.666.3*66.566.7				7.17.17.27.1*7.17.1
Detroit Red Wings	64.964.265.165.1*65.465.5				6.86.86.86.7*6.76.7
Pittsburgh Penguins	59.359.759.359.860.460.2				7.87.77.87.77.77.7
Vancouver Canucks	58.058.057.056.957.157.0
Arizona Coyotes	56.656.756.255.5*55.755.8
Los Angeles Kings	52.652.452.5*51.651.251.8				8.28.28.2*8.28.38.2
Colorado Avalanche					8.7*8.78.78.88.88.8
Nashville Predators	37.036.536.636.236.836.3				9.69.69.6*9.79.79.7
Vegas Golden Knights	34.634.034.334.133.933.8
Anaheim Ducks	21.324.625.129.729.629.7		0.10.10.10.20.20.2		11.2*10.910.910.410.410.4
New York Islanders	24.524.824.519.920.117.2		0.40.40.40.3*0.30.2		11.111.111.111.611.611.9
Edmonton Oilers	13.513.413.112.913.313.0				12.212.212.212.3*12.212.3

Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh PenguinsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Calgary Flames	90.090.290.1*87.387.084.7		10.610.510.58.17.96.5		3.93.83.84.34.34.6
Washington Capitals	87.887.787.686.9*87.487.3		16.616.416.816.616.917.0		4.54.64.54.64.64.6
Columbus Blue Jackets	83.683.483.583.183.582.8				5.15.15.15.25.15.2
Philadelphia Flyers	82.582.182.2*81.781.481.7				5.35.35.35.45.45.4
San Jose Sharks					5.85.85.85.75.75.7
New York Rangers	66.866.566.0*65.865.566.0				7.07.17.17.17.27.1
Pittsburgh Penguins	54.558.958.764.464.164.2		2.53.23.14.34.44.5		8.27.87.87.37.37.3
Vancouver Canucks					7.77.77.77.77.77.6
Arizona Coyotes	55.955.855.656.456.556.5				7.97.97.97.87.87.8
Montreal Canadiens	43.643.743.4*43.142.543.0				9.08.99.09.09.19.0
Ottawa Senators	35.234.835.034.434.234.4
Toronto Maple Leafs	29.629.329.428.729.129.2
New York Islanders	21.521.121.520.920.720.8
Carolina Hurricanes	15.815.615.515.015.314.9

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas StarsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose Sharks					5.7*5.75.85.75.85.7
Winnipeg Jets	68.267.667.767.866.867.7				6.56.66.66.66.76.6
Dallas Stars	56.861.060.866.866.867.1		1.1*1.51.42.01.92.1		7.77.37.36.76.76.7
Vancouver Canucks					7.77.87.77.77.77.7
Vegas Golden Knights	38.838.738.632.732.728.9		0.40.40.40.20.20.2		9.59.59.510.010.110.4

St. Louis Blues vs Nashville PredatorsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis Blues	57.857.757.551.051.046.6		1.21.31.20.8*0.80.6		7.67.67.68.28.28.7
Nashville Predators	31.134.835.040.941.141.6		0.20.30.30.50.50.5		10.29.89.89.29.29.2

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay LightningHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal Canadiens	43.242.342.9*42.942.443.6				9.09.19.09.09.19.0
Buffalo Sabres	44.343.943.938.338.033.7		1.31.41.30.90.90.7		8.98.98.99.59.510.0
Tampa Bay Lightning	26.330.130.335.936.036.3		0.4*0.60.60.80.90.9		10.810.410.49.89.89.7

San Jose Sharks vs Los Angeles KingsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose Sharks	79.979.679.674.975.071.1		5.05.25.03.7*4.02.9		5.35.35.35.85.86.3
Los Angeles Kings	46.451.251.157.056.757.1		0.60.90.91.41.21.3		8.88.38.37.77.87.7

Ottawa Senators vs Columbus Blue JacketsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Washington Capitals			17.216.916.616.616.316.4		4.54.64.64.64.64.6
Columbus Blue Jackets	79.582.682.786.086.486.4		10.512.712.615.616.315.9		5.65.25.24.84.74.8
Philadelphia Flyers			12.312.512.3*11.811.511.8		5.35.35.35.45.45.4
Boston Bruins			8.27.78.0*7.87.47.7		5.55.55.55.55.65.5
Florida Panthers	60.159.359.760.060.560.6		3.33.23.13.13.13.0		7.37.37.3*7.37.27.2
Ottawa Senators	39.339.139.033.333.529.5		1.0*0.91.00.60.60.5		9.49.49.410.010.010.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

NHLSL 2019-2020 Playoff Chances 50/50

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