Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI12/22
NOLWPRO 44.4-37.9189-2-03399.9%+0.3384938110000001.9+0.271AMSNottingham Outlaws
NIAWAMS 44.4-28.8189-2-087.999.9+0.637192431214100002.6+0.802SUNNiagara Falls Flyers
QBCLCOR 43.5-51.3168-3-050.799.1-0.2171131521210210003.7-0.313at HVVQuebec Renards
ETOLMAN 38.1-45.6147-4-019.695.9-1.06620429420731005.0-0.324at PROEtobicoke Nighthawks
CORWQBC 51.3-43.5126-5-019.688.8+6.2288403222454215.1+0.525at MANCorniglia Vees
PROLNOL 37.9-44.4126-5-011.487.1-3.322102213331474206.4-0.345ETOProvidence Marksmen
AMSLNIA 28.8-44.4105-6-0-45.972.1-10.10332143038119636.6-0.997at NOLAmsterdam Amstel Bevers
KRLWSUN 42.1-39.184-7-0-29.549.6+11.50111022141116151278.1+0.558MOSKarlstad Direwolves
SUNLKRL 39.1-42.184-7-0-38.947.7-8.8001051142618151278.7-0.419at NIAHappy Adventure Sunshine
MANWETO 45.6-38.163-8-0-27.725.9+7.7000411128141821219.5+0.4111CORManchester Steel
HVVLMOS 41.1-54.763-8-0-20.523.1-6.7000010615171922199.8-0.4710QBCHidden Valley Voltigeurs
MOSWHVV 54.7-41.142-9-0-59.711.0+3.800010514915244210.6+0.2812at KRLMoscow Mighty Moose

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/15
SUN 39.1 KRL 42.1
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ETO+0.2
COR-1.2
-0.1
PRO+0.4
+0.1
AMS-1.2
-0.1
KRL+12.2
+0.7
SUN-12.4
-0.5
MAN-0.3
-0.1
HVV+2.4
HVV 41.1 MOS 54.7
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ETO+0.5
PRO+1.1
KRL+0.4
SUN+3.0
MAN+0.3
HVV-9.7
-0.5
MOS+4.1
+0.4
ETO 38.1 MAN 45.6
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NIA+0.1
QBC+0.1
ETO-2.0
-0.6
COR-1.2
-0.1
PRO-0.3
+0.1
AMS-1.2
-0.1
KRL-1.2
-0.1
SUN-0.7
MAN+7.3
+0.5
HVV-0.2
MOS-0.4
-0.1
NIA 44.4 AMS 28.8
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NIA+0.5
+0.5
QBC-0.1
ETO-0.1
COR+1.0
+0.2
PRO+0.3
-0.1
AMS-7.2
-0.6
KRL+2.0
+0.1
SUN+0.7
MAN+1.3
+0.1
HVV+0.5
MOS+0.7
QBC 43.5 COR 51.3
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NIA+0.1
QBC-0.6
-0.5
ETO+0.1
COR+6.9
+0.6
PRO-0.3
+0.1
AMS-0.9
-0.2
KRL-1.9
-0.1
SUN-0.7
MAN-1.2
-0.1
HVV-0.4
MOS-0.6
PRO 37.9 NOL 44.4
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NOL+0.3
+0.3
NIA+0.1
QBC+0.1
ETO+0.2
+0.1
COR+0.3
-0.1
PRO-4.6
-0.6
AMS+0.3
KRL+0.6
SUN+1.0
+0.1
MAN+0.4
HVV+1.2
MOS+0.2
Week of 12/22
KRL vs MOSIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AMS70.773.073.4
6.76.66.5
KRL62.449.036.8
7.38.18.8
SUN46.448.149.0
MAN24.7*26.127.1
HVV22.4*23.323.9
MOS4.68.817.6
11.110.710.1
NIA vs SUNHomeTieAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NIA2.12.53.0
QBC99.299.298.9
3.83.73.6
COR89.6*89.088.0
PRO88.387.485.8
AMS73.672.370.5
KRL51.7*49.447.5
8.08.18.1
SUN36.247.159.3
9.38.88.2
MAN27.5*25.824.3
9.59.59.6
HVV25.7*23.020.6
9.89.89.9
MOS11.9*10.810.1
10.610.610.7
MAN vs CORHomeTieAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
COR82.690.695.0
5.75.04.4
AMS71.172.472.9
SUN46.9*47.848.6
MAN36.024.115.8
8.99.610.2
NOL vs AMSHomeTieAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NOL1.71.92.2
COR89.7*88.788.0
5.05.15.1
PRO87.8*87.186.3
AMS62.374.181.7
7.36.65.9
KRL51.949.047.3
7.98.18.2
SUN49.247.446.2
MAN27.625.524.2
9.49.69.6
HVV24.222.822.1
MOS12.010.610.0
10.510.610.7
HVV vs QBCHomeTieAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NIA2.42.52.7
QBC98.399.699.8
4.23.63.2
ETO95.496.196.3
4.95.05.1
PRO86.087.588.1
6.36.46.4
AMS71.1*72.173.0
KRL48.3*49.750.8
8.18.18.0
SUN45.448.150.0
8.88.78.7
MAN24.9*26.026.8
9.69.59.5
HVV32.021.214.4
9.49.910.3
PRO vs ETOHomeTieAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ETO93.197.198.6
5.75.04.3
PRO93.389.080.7
5.66.47.1
SUN47.046.848.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you WillC for adding this league.