"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Plays Pittsburgh, playoff odds up 0.2 to 37.6%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 +0.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+7.5*-1.9-7.5
+1.4*-0.8-1.4
-1.3*-0.7+1.4
+0.9*-0.1-0.9
Indianapolis vs Oakland-0.5*+0.7+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs San Diego-0.5*+0.2+0.5
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+0.5*-0.1-0.5
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.4*-0.8+0.4
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Tennessee-8.1*-2.3+8.0
-1.4*-0.2+1.4
+1.4*+0.1-1.4
-0.9*-0.2+0.9
Miami vs Indianapolis+0.5*+0.7-0.5
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.5*-1.0+0.5
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Jacksonville+0.4*-0.3-0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.3*+0.8+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Denver vs NY Giants-0.3*+0.6+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.3*-1.7+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
14.5-16In92.5%100No201*
1414-2-0In76.09811No1,027
13.513-2-1In68.69631No118
1313-3-099.6%51.6905031000No4,756
12-2-2In50.0100No2
12.512-3-199.442.783905100No487
1212-4-098.131.2691810731000000No15,691
11-3-2In33.36719105No21
11.511-4-197.020.3552240114210000No1,465
1111-5-091.914.1353081126421100000No37,821
10-4-289.711.829299113791No68
10.510-5-186.77.3203014213863211000No3,340
9-4-3InYes100No1
1010-6-077.84.582218514108542110000No69,633
9-5-272.46.91220148999653311No116
9.59-6-167.52.3314198121110764311100No5,607
8-5-3OutNo5050No2
99-7-054.81.11614121111119865321000.0%98,522
8-6-256.20.516111112151386623341No194
8.58-7-141.60.4029138101111987532100.07,071
7-6-350.0No502525No4
88-8-030.30.2004116891010109864210.2110,746
7-7-228.1No14978131211897661No235
7.57-8-118.40.0018358101110111097520.57,013
6-7-3OutNo333333No3
77-9-012.50.0006246791011121110741.198,811
6-8-211.5No24055891111101114820.5208
6.56-9-16.4No03123679111214131172.15,444
66-10-03.7No02112357911141616124.869,216
5-9-22.8No1111366911121720134.9143
5.55-10-11.8No1011235710141821188.13,351
4-9-3OutNo100No1
55-11-00.9No1001123581217242713.737,771
4-10-2OutNo351191628289.464
4.54-11-10.4No00011226914254022.11,510
44-12-00.1No000000123713254830.615,521
3-11-2OutNo9355734.823
3.53-12-1OutNo01239246142.8519
2-11-3OutNo100No1
33-13-0OutNo0000127197053.24,861
2-12-2OutNo138862.58
2.52-13-1OutNo114167967.2122
22-14-0OutNo0002118674.81,024
1.51-14-1OutNo66117872.218
11-15-0OutNo79388.9135
00-16-0OutNo100Yes49
Total:37.6%3.2%66666666666666663.2%602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh-1.8*+0.3+1.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Tennessee+1.9+0.3-1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09091
14.514-1-18911
1414-2-0761543100
13.513-2-169198321
1313-3-05224115321000000000
12-2-25050
12.512-3-1432412853212100
1212-4-0312214107432111100000000000
11-3-2331410141955
11.511-4-1201915118764321110000
1111-5-0141513111086543222111100000000000
10-4-212101813676101144131
10.510-5-171111109986653332211101000000
9-4-3100
1010-6-05789888766544332221111000000000
9-5-277711978338334713511111
9.59-6-1245677776666543433221111100000
8-5-35050
99-7-012345566666655544433222111100000
8-6-21233645569975762432324232111
8.58-7-101223445556666555544433222110000
7-6-325252525
88-8-000112233444555555555544433221100
7-7-2002015632546475676333562431
7.57-8-100011112223345555565565555433211
6-7-3333333
77-9-000000111122233444555666666554321
6-8-201023221355647566865953310
6.56-9-100000111122233444666777776542
66-10-00000000000111222334455677888875
5-9-211136133366101010612665
5.55-10-1000000111121224446678101110118
4-9-3100
55-11-000000000000000111223345681011131514
4-10-2523266951423169
4.54-11-1000001111122457811151822
44-12-000000000001112245710142231
3-11-244417171735
3.53-12-10000112347142543
2-11-3100
33-13-000000011235122253
2-12-23863
2.52-13-1122391667
22-14-000011151775
1.51-14-16111172
11-15-011089
00-16-0100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333