Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
11/17GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
BradyWGARWIG 111.72-66.229-2-0.818265.5699.9%+1.980154101.3+0.251at ButtsBradyandhisminions
IrvingWBlumpkins 129.88-89.828-3-0.727197.588.0+10.31146201264202.8+0.476KlunebergIrving Tigers
FresnoWKiwi 75.54-50.17-4-0.63627.1267.3+23.11103225151161004.1+0.954at MediterraneanFresno Coyotes
BellWKluneberg 99.76-81.427-4-0.636-7.7466.8+20.182022171496403.8+1.032BlumpkinsThe Bell Fierce
Music CityLMediterranean 85.42-102.76-5-0.54542.1825.5-15.60291515181515926.0-0.919at KiwiMusic City Miracles
RafiWButts 70.7-49.946-5-0.54550.0624.1+9.80471317161912926.0+1.0210at GARWIGRafi Bomb
KlunebergLBell 81.42-99.766-5-0.54594.4819.8-28.803610181918131116.1-1.255at IrvingThe Kluneberg 123
BlumpkinsLIrving 89.82-129.885-6-0.45539.926.1-8.11571116262767.5-0.803at BellBlumpkins
KiwiLFresno 50.1-75.545-6-0.455-116.642.6-12.602711142029167.9-0.908Music CityKiwi
MediterraneanWMusic City 102.7-85.424-7-0.364-89.320.0001491557169.7+0.387FresnoMediterranean Dolphins
GARWIGLBrady 66.22-111.722-9-0.182-166.34Out16651911.0-0.1911RafiTEAM GARWIG
ButtsLRafi 49.94-70.71-10-0.091-336.78Out198111.8-0.0612BradyButts

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/17
Kluneberg 81.42 Bell 99.76
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Irving-0.2
-0.0
Fresno+1.1
Bell+19.1
+1.1
Music City+0.2
Rafi+0.1
Kluneberg-20.7
-1.1
Blumpkins+0.9
Kiwi-0.6
Fresno 75.54 Kiwi 50.1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brady-0.3
Irving-1.5
Fresno+18.4
+1.0
Bell-1.2
Music City+0.5
Rafi-1.5
Kluneberg-1.2
Blumpkins-1.5
Kiwi-11.8
-1.0
Mediterranean 102.7 Music City 85.42
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brady+0.3
Irving+1.9
+0.1
Fresno+2.4
Bell+2.7
+0.1
Music City-14.6
-0.8
Rafi+1.8
Kluneberg+2.9
+0.1
Blumpkins+1.9
Kiwi+0.7
Mediterranean+0.3
GARWIG-0.1
Irving 129.88 Blumpkins 89.82
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brady-0.4
-0.1
Irving+12.2
+0.6
Fresno-0.5
Music City-0.4
Rafi-0.4
Kluneberg-2.3
Blumpkins-9.3
-0.7
Kiwi+1.1
+0.1
Butts 49.94 Rafi 70.7
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brady-0.3
Irving-2.0
-0.1
Fresno-0.3
-0.1
Bell-2.5
-0.1
Rafi+9.5
+0.9
Kluneberg-2.7
-0.1
Blumpkins-0.1
Kiwi-1.4
-0.1
Mediterranean-0.1
Butts-0.1
Brady 111.72 GARWIG 66.22
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brady+1.9
+0.3
Irving-0.1
Fresno+0.2
Bell-0.9
-0.1
Music City-1.1
Rafi-0.3
Mediterranean+0.1
GARWIG-0.2
Butts+0.1
Week of 11/24
Bell vs BlumpkinsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Irving86.7*89.989.2
2.92.62.6
Fresno64.6*61.969.9
4.14.24.0
Bell84.7*71.448.9
3.03.84.6
Music City23.4*28.227.6
6.0*5.96.0
Rafi21.1*21.727.0
Kluneberg17.2*20.722.3
6.1*6.26.1
Blumpkins0.01.712.1
8.37.96.8
Kiwi2.3*4.62.9
7.87.88.1
Mediterranean0.0*OutOut
9.69.59.8
Irving vs KlunebergHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Irving98.093.477.9
2.22.43.3
Fresno69.4*65.465.1
4.14.04.1
Bell67.8*61.265.7
3.84.03.8
Music City29.3*26.821.8
5.9*6.06.2
Rafi22.2*20.225.9
5.96.26.0
Kluneberg3.8*20.635.7
7.06.05.3
Mediterranean0.0*OutOut
GARWIG vs RafiHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Irving90.6*91.385.3
2.7*2.62.9
Fresno69.4*70.465.1
4.0*4.14.1
Bell71.673.862.0
3.7*3.64.0
Music City26.517.724.5
5.96.36.2
Rafi8.918.139.2
6.96.15.0
Kluneberg22.8*19.616.7
6.06.06.3
Blumpkins6.7*5.65.5
7.4*7.67.7
Kiwi3.5*3.51.7
7.9*7.98.0
GARWIG10.811.211.2
Kiwi vs Music CityHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BradyIn*In99.9
Fresno71.573.463.0
4.0*3.94.1
Bell68.3*67.965.3
3.7*3.83.9
Music City10.7*21.240.3
7.16.25.0
Rafi28.1*26.920.0
5.9*5.86.0
Kluneberg19.914.419.6
6.06.26.2
Blumpkins7.7*6.64.5
7.67.77.5
Kiwi5.2*1.3Out
7.17.98.8
Mediterranean0.0*OutOut
9.8*9.79.7
Mediterranean vs FresnoHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Irving89.9*90.586.0
2.7*2.72.8
Fresno57.1*70.077.4
4.53.93.6
Bell67.8*62.565.8
3.8*3.93.9
Music City28.219.922.8
5.96.26.1
Rafi25.3*23.322.8
Kluneberg22.0*21.717.5
6.1*6.16.2
Blumpkins6.29.36.0
7.67.57.5
Kiwi3.5*2.81.7
8.08.07.9
Mediterranean0.0*OutOut
9.39.510.1
Butts vs BradyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brady99.9*InIn
1.51.31.1
Fresno4.03.84.1
Bell3.74.03.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you R Gerald Saul for adding this league.