Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Plays at Detroit, playoff odds up 0.3 to 37.7%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 -0.8
-0.1
Dallas 3 NY Giants 44 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Detroit vs Minnesota-7.9*-1.5+7.9
-1.4*-0.3+1.4
+1.3*-0.4-1.3
-0.9*-0.0+0.9
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.5*+0.1-0.5
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.3*-1.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Minnesota-8.0*-0.1+8.0
-1.3*-0.6+1.4
+1.4*+0.0-1.4
-0.9*-0.0+0.9
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.3-3.2-0.3
+0.1-0.4-0.0
Arizona vs Detroit+0.5*-0.3-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Washington-0.5*+0.7+0.5
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.4*-0.7-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants+0.4*+0.3-0.4
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.3*-2.6-0.3
+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
14.5-16In92.1%100No215*
1414-2-099.9%73.3971100No1,039
13-1-2In50.0100No2
13.513-2-1In68.0973No125
1313-3-099.852.3906031000No4,913
12.512-3-199.240.586741000No499
1212-4-098.231.0691820721100000No15,742
11-3-2In41.4721017No29
11.511-4-195.222.153264084310000No1,532
10-3-3InNo100No1
1111-5-092.314.33431911264211000000No37,955
10-4-290.016.028281016864No50
10.510-5-187.07.51929152139632110000No3,342
1010-6-077.64.6822195141085421100000.0%69,582
9-5-278.87.11024145151268232No156
9.59-6-166.92.221219913111086331100No5,642
8-5-350.0No5050No2
99-7-054.71.11614121111119865321100.098,667
8-6-256.90.5251613714131056331211No195
8.58-7-141.10.30191381011101087532100.07,098
7-6-375.0No131338131313No8
88-8-030.20.20041268101010109864210.2111,112
7-7-229.3No310512815119779320No225
7.57-8-119.50.001946891011111096420.37,139
6-7-3OutNo102020202010No10
77-9-012.50.0006246791011121110741.198,480
6-8-29.5No151367914111271393No190
6.56-9-16.1No03123579121213131272.45,501
5-8-3OutNo255025No4
66-10-03.80.002112357912141616124.768,646
5-9-24.1No11133381411161510123.4146
5.55-10-11.8No1011235710141721187.63,311
4-9-3OutNo100No1
55-11-00.8No0000123581217242814.237,432
4-10-2OutNo11816623223117.978
4.54-11-10.3No000001135918263519.41,525
44-12-00.1No000000124614254829.915,841
3-11-2OutNo4719264422.227
3.53-12-10.6No1000249245941.7504
2-11-3OutNo100No1
33-13-0OutNo0000127207053.24,662
2-12-2OutNo100Yes3
2.52-13-1OutNo32247260.4106
22-14-00.1No00012138470.4989
1-13-2OutNo100Yes2
1.51-14-1OutNo208080.010
11-15-0OutNo1159488.4146
00-16-0OutNo100Yes59
Total:37.7%3.2%66666666666666663.1%602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Minnesota+1.8*+0.1-1.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Minnesota+1.8*+0.0-1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0982
1515-1-09271
14.514-1-16238
1414-2-0731762110000
13-1-25050
13.513-2-168225231
1313-3-052231253211000000
12.512-3-140231576221110000
1212-4-031221510753221110000000000
11-3-24124310777
11.511-4-122181611865431111101000000
10-3-3100
1111-5-0141513119865433211111000000000000
10-4-21681812482488102
10.510-5-17111111119765443222111010000000
1010-6-05788887766544332221111000000000
9-5-2798871166548461331111111
9.59-6-1245667777666544332211111000000
8-5-35050
99-7-012345566666665544433222111100000
8-6-213454977361045485324131111111
8.58-7-101223335556666565554433222111000
7-6-313132513131313
88-8-000112233444555555555544433221100
7-7-20111235446888446636624212200
7.57-8-100011122233444555665665544432210
6-7-31010201020101010
77-9-000000111122233445555666666554321
6-8-22112223344384457545836643
6.56-9-1000000111112333455566677776642
5-8-325252525
66-10-000000000001111222334456678888875
5-9-2113124212454881071035973
5.55-10-1000000001111123335578891111118
4-9-3100
55-11-000000000000000111222345681011131514
4-10-21133416836615101418
4.54-11-100000001112224571013151819
44-12-00000000011112335710142230
3-11-244715113722
3.53-12-10000000112358142342
2-11-3100
33-13-0000000011136112353
2-12-2100
2.52-13-1113122360
22-14-00011271970
1-13-2100
1.51-14-1101080
11-15-0113888
00-16-0100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333