Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI
Karlstad1839-3-069.699.9%+0.650291153110001.9+0.601Karlstad Direwolves
Moscow1648-3-030.999.5+0.2373314742210002.3+0.182Moscow Mighty Moose
Innsbruck1236-6-0-26.989.3+9.251117151312986415.0+0.927Innsbruck Flames
Providence1427-6-015.889.6-6.727141715141296315.3-1.604Providence Marksmen
Hidden Valley1427-6-023.188.6+9.026151715141297415.4+0.533Hidden Valley Voltigeurs
Wolfsburg1045-6-03972.4+4.61481012121213121146.6+0.356Wolfsburg HC
Niagara Falls1045-6-0-33.972.2+4.91481011121313121066.7+0.368Niagara Falls Flyers
Happy Adventure1226-7-0-13.666.7+0.1014710131516151267.3-0.195Happy Adventure Sunshine
Manchester844-7-0-45.660.3+2.8136791012131416107.4+0.2011Manchester Steel
Amsterdam1035-7-0-8.356.6-11.001468101215171887.7-0.699Amsterdam Amstel Bevers
Etobicoke105-10-0-50.14.8-13.800149226410.4-0.6610Etobicoke Nighthawks
sort: Div0150-0-00Out10012.012Quebec Renards (Quebec) Divison: Wales Division (Wales) (playoffs: 3)

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/31
Happy Adventure 7 Providence 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad-0.1
+0.1
Moscow-0.1
+0.1
Innsbruck-1.0
Providence-3.0
-0.7
Hidden Valley-1.0
Wolfsburg-1.4
Niagara Falls-1.5
Happy Adventure+12.3
+0.9
Manchester-1.5
Amsterdam-1.5
Etobicoke-1.1
-0.1
Amsterdam vs InnsbruckIf winner is:HomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Moscow99.5*99.599.6
Innsbruck82.190.996.3
5.95.04.1
Providence88.889.990.5
5.35.35.4
Hidden Valley87.789.089.4
5.45.35.4
Wolfsburg71.071.773.8
Niagara Falls70.971.573.6
Happy Adventure64.967.568.6
7.37.27.2
Manchester59.059.361.8
Amsterdam72.155.641.1
6.87.98.6
Etobicoke4.25.25.5
10.510.410.4
Hidden Valley vs Niagara FallsHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Innsbruck89.789.088.8
Providence89.8*89.689.5
Hidden Valley96.692.680.2
4.55.26.4
Wolfsburg73.071.471.8
6.66.76.6
Niagara Falls59.871.584.6
7.66.85.7
Happy Adventure67.6*66.565.9
Manchester61.259.359.6
Amsterdam57.555.755.8
Etobicoke5.45.14.3
Moscow vs ManchesterHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad2.01.81.8
Moscow100.099.899.0
1.82.22.8
Innsbruck90.289.688.3
Providence90.690.188.6
Hidden Valley89.689.187.5
Wolfsburg74.1*72.470.7
6.66.66.7
Niagara Falls73.872.670.5
6.66.76.7
Happy Adventure68.967.564.6
7.27.27.3
Manchester48.556.872.4
8.17.66.6
Amsterdam58.757.154.4
7.67.77.8
Etobicoke5.65.14.0
10.410.410.5
Wolfsburg vs KarlstadHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Karlstad99.9InIn
2.31.71.5
Moscow99.5*99.599.6
2.22.32.4
Innsbruck88.4*89.490.1
Providence88.690.090.6
5.45.35.3
Hidden Valley87.688.989.4
5.55.45.4
Wolfsburg83.471.161.5
5.86.87.5
Niagara Falls70.6*72.173.8
6.86.76.6
Happy Adventure64.867.368.7
7.47.27.2
Manchester58.660.062.1
7.47.47.3
Amsterdam54.4*56.758.7
7.87.77.6
Etobicoke4.15.15.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you WillC for adding this league.