NFC South Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Reg Season Champ			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		College Level
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Atlanta		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.6	%	+0.1	3.2	%	+0.0	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5		3.2	%	+0.0	4	Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.5		+0.0	3.2		-0.0	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5	-0.01	3.2		+0.0	4	New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.5		+0.0	3.2		+0.0	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5		3.2		-0.0	4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina		0	-	0	-	0		0	37.4		-0.1	3.2		+0.1	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	8.5	-0.01	3.2		+0.1	4	Carolina Panthers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/5
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	-0.4						-0.0
New Orleans	-0.4						-0.1
Tampa Bay	-0.4						-0.0
Carolina	*-0.3						-0.0

New Orleans vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	29.7*36.145.5		1.8*2.44.6		4.6*2.51.8		9.4*8.67.6
New Orleans	45.5*39.229.6		4.5*2.81.8		1.9*2.84.5		7.6*8.39.4

NY Jets vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	38.3*36.936.8						8.4*8.48.6
New Orleans	38.4*36.936.6						8.4*8.68.6
Tampa Bay	30.4*36.944.6		1.9*2.94.5		4.5*3.21.8		9.3*8.57.7
Carolina	38.4*37.936.5						8.4*8.58.6

Seattle vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	38.1*37.637.0
New Orleans	38.0*38.037.0
Tampa Bay	38.1*36.936.9						8.5*8.68.5
Carolina	30.0*38.644.9		1.8*2.44.5		4.6*2.71.8		9.4*8.47.6

Week of 9/12
New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	45.5*35.029.5		4.5*2.81.8		1.8*3.54.5		7.6*8.79.4
Tampa Bay	29.5*37.945.5		1.8*3.14.5		4.5*2.71.8		9.4*8.57.6

Buffalo vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	38.4*38.036.7						8.48.58.6
New Orleans	38.4*36.036.7						8.48.78.6
Tampa Bay	38.3*39.536.7						8.4*8.48.6
Carolina	30.5*37.344.4		1.9*3.04.5		4.6*2.81.8		9.3*8.57.7

Atlanta vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	45.0*38.730.0		4.6*2.71.8		1.8*2.54.6		7.6*8.49.4
New Orleans	37.0*38.738.0						8.5*8.48.5
Tampa Bay	37.0*34.938.0						8.58.78.5
Carolina	36.9*37.238.0						8.6*8.68.5

Denver vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	38.0*38.037.1
New Orleans	37.9*37.737.2						8.5*8.48.6
Tampa Bay	37.8*36.137.2						8.5*8.68.6
Carolina	37.9*37.337.0						8.5*8.58.6

San Diego vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	37.9*39.437.2						8.5*8.48.6
New Orleans	38.0*37.737.1						8.5*8.68.6
Tampa Bay	38.0*39.837.0						8.5*8.28.6
Carolina	37.8*36.437.1						8.5*8.68.6

Kansas City vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	37.9*37.337.2						8.5*8.68.6
New Orleans	37.9*38.437.2
Tampa Bay	37.8*37.737.1
Carolina	37.8*38.537.1						8.5*8.58.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.