Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
New Orleans10-2-0.83350In4134251.8+0.025New Orleans Saints
New EnglandLHouston 22-2810-2-0.83317799.6%-0.2323593191002.5-0.474New England Patriots
BaltimoreWSan Francisco 20-1710-2-0.83318799.6+1.550349413001.8+0.371Baltimore Ravens
San FranciscoLBaltimore 17-2010-2-0.83316698.0-1.533164388203.3-0.473San Francisco 49ers
Kansas CityWOakland 40-98-4-0.6678396.5+20.8410196300111003.7+1.157Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo9-3-0.7506995.9+0.212720611331004.5+0.1113Buffalo Bills
Seattle19-2-0.8182994.9-1.118209033164103.8+0.222MinnesotaSeattle Seahawks
Green BayWNY Giants 31-139-3-0.7503489.5+6.34204504178203.8+0.568Green Bay Packers
HoustonWNew England 28-228-4-0.6672283.8+11.221142152121231004.1+0.706Houston Texans
Dallas6-6-0.5007478.9+8.50079002355321005.2+0.4719Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota18-3-0.7278476.3-4.741015017301671005.1-0.3010at SeattleMinnesota Vikings
PittsburghWCleveland 20-137-5-0.5831155.2+17.7022114372112731006.6+0.9412Pittsburgh Steelers
TennesseeWIndianapolis 31-177-5-0.5834240.5+8.502158115241612520006.6+0.9315Tennessee Titans
LA RamsWArizona 34-77-5-0.5833332.7+7.301082445136210006.9+0.639Los Angeles Rams
PhiladelphiaLMiami 31-375-7-0.417-1021.1-9.00210181318141074319.3-0.9021Philadelphia Eagles
OaklandLKansas City 9-406-6-0.500-8713.3-24.701319162217121053208.7-1.3316Oakland Raiders
IndianapolisLTennessee 17-316-6-0.500411.5-21.403306102123171152008.7-1.2618Indianapolis Colts
Chicago6-6-0.50048.2-3.9020151642179521008.222Chicago Bears
ClevelandLPittsburgh 13-205-7-0.417-263.3-10.9039131721161163109.9-0.8311Cleveland Browns
DenverWLA Chargers 23-204-8-0.333-390.7+0.00023712151918147111.8+1.0223Denver Broncos
WashingtonWCarolina 29-213-9-0.250-1170.2+0.1000247111318202413.8+0.8128Washington Redskins
Tampa BayWJacksonville 28-115-7-0.417-60.1+0.0041126211410642010.2+0.9714Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CarolinaLWashington 21-295-7-0.417-400.1-1.802818212213852010.7-0.7417Carolina Panthers
JacksonvilleLTampa Bay 11-284-8-0.333-720.0-0.7025813171716157011.7-0.4125Jacksonville Jaguars
NY JetsLCincinnati 6-224-8-0.333-760.0-0.7001351116191923313.0-0.7130New York Jets
LA ChargersLDenver 20-234-8-0.33330.0-1.4002481417202311112.6-0.6726Los Angeles Chargers
Detroit3-8-1.292-35Out01471219201714612.8+0.1331Detroit Lions
ArizonaLLA Rams 7-343-8-1.292-96Out-0.101361117211916613.0-0.8824Arizona Cardinals
Atlanta3-9-0.250-63Out01459121621211213.3+0.1520Atlanta Falcons
MiamiWPhiladelphia 37-313-9-0.250-177Out002481519361614.2+0.4227Miami Dolphins
NY GiantsLGreen Bay 13-312-10-0.167-109Out-0.10124713225015.0-0.6432New York Giants
CincinnatiWNY Jets 22-61-11-0.083-119Out00024157915.7+0.0329Cincinnati Bengals

Updated through 11/25/19 (Prior to MNF)

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/28
Kansas City 40 Oakland 9
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City+20.7
+1.3
Buffalo+0.5
Pittsburgh+1.3
Oakland-22.9
-1.5
Cleveland+0.7
LA Chargers-0.6
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+1.9
+0.2
Tennessee+15.9
+1.2
Indianapolis-19.6
-1.4
Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore-0.5
Houston-0.9
Pittsburgh+18.7
+1.0
Tennessee-2.9
Oakland-1.1
Indianapolis-1.7
Cleveland-10.4
-1.1
Arizona 7 LA Rams 34
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle-1.2
Green Bay-3.6
Minnesota-3.9
LA Rams+12.1
+0.6
Chicago-2.5
ArizonaOut
-0.9
Dallas 15 Buffalo 26
4:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo+5.2
+0.4
Houston-0.7
Dallas-6.6
-0.5
Pittsburgh-1.4
Philadelphia+6.1
+0.3
Indianapolis-0.7
Cleveland-1.0
Washington+0.1
NY Giants+0.1
Houston 28 New England 22
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England-0.2
-0.3
Kansas City-0.6
Houston+10.7
+0.7
Pittsburgh-2.4
Tennessee-2.0
Oakland-0.5
Indianapolis-2.5
-0.2
Cleveland-1.5
Miami 37 Philadelphia 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas+8.5
+0.4
Philadelphia-8.9
-1.0
Miami+0.3
NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay+8.7
+0.6
Minnesota-0.9
-0.3
LA Rams-4.4
Chicago-2.3
NY GiantsOut
-0.6
Detroit 20 Chicago 24
12:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay-1.6
Minnesota-2.0
Chicago+4.9
+0.9
DetroitOut
-0.9
Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore+1.7
+0.4
San Francisco-0.4
Seattle+0.3
Carolina 21 Washington 29
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle+0.6
Washington+0.1
+0.6
Carolina-1.7
-0.8
Denver 23 LA Chargers 20
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver+0.7
+0.8
LA Chargers-1.4
-0.9
Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New OrleansIn
+0.3
Carolina-1.0
AtlantaOut
-0.8
Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets-0.7
-0.7
Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.7
Jacksonville-0.7
-0.6
Seattle vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle99.3*96.790.6
3.24.14.4
Minnesota61.983.290.7
5.84.74.3
LA Rams39.9*29.425.5
6.8*6.97.0
Week of 12/5
Oakland vs TennesseeIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh59.3*49.651.1
6.5*6.86.6
Tennessee25.250.455.8
7.46.25.7
Oakland24.4*12.32.2
7.68.69.7
Jacksonville0.0*OutOut
11.8*11.811.7
LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle90.199.499.8
4.43.93.2
Green Bay86.4*92.592.7
Minnesota70.584.482.1
5.15.05.0
LA Rams49.119.916.3
6.47.17.4
Arizona vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh41.2*53.969.2
7.1*6.66.0
Tennessee44.3*40.636.8
6.56.66.6
Oakland16.4*16.710.2
8.6*8.68.7
Indianapolis14.5*15.88.6
8.7*8.58.8
LA Chargers0.0*OutOut
12.612.512.6
Arizona12.2*13.113.7
Chicago vs DallasHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas73.0*76.784.7
5.75.44.7
Minnesota73.685.379.0
5.24.85.0
Philadelphia26.6*23.315.6
9.1*9.29.5
Chicago14.4*4.92.0
7.5*8.48.9
Washington0.4*OutOut
Minnesota vs DetroitHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota86.983.765.7
4.54.75.7
LA Rams26.8*28.538.6
7.0*6.96.8
Detroit13.6*12.911.9
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas69.069.888.7
5.75.84.7
Philadelphia31.330.210.9
8.08.710.6
WashingtonOut*0.60.4
13.7*13.613.8
NY Giants15.515.314.4
Tampa Bay vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh56.747.253.8
6.5*6.86.6
Tennessee43.7*47.237.4
6.4*6.36.7
Indianapolis3.5*10.819.6
9.58.48.0
Tampa Bay9.5*10.010.9
Houston vs DenverHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston92.0*83.375.5
3.64.34.6
Denver0.0*Out1.5
12.712.410.9
Green Bay vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay96.095.083.1
3.23.94.3
LA Rams29.0*29.636.5
WashingtonOut0.90.4
14.613.613.0
Buffalo vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore99.1*InIn
2.31.91.4
Buffalo99.5*98.392.2
4.04.25.0
Cleveland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland6.2*1.30.5
9.010.310.8
New England vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New EnglandIn*In99.2
2.02.53.0
Kansas City93.5*96.799.4
4.13.73.2
New Orleans vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans1.32.02.3
San Francisco96.2*In99.7
4.02.92.6
Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CarolinaOut*Out0.2
11.510.39.8
Atlanta12.4*13.614.2
Jacksonville vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville0.0*OutOut
10.712.112.8
LA ChargersOut*Out0.0
13.5*12.611.6
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets0.0*OutOut
12.112.613.9
Miami14.914.013.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Tom for adding this league.