IIHF World Championship Simulation Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

														100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	Avg.	Change	RPI

Latvia	6		2	-	0	0		-	0	3	In		+7.9	81	12	7		1.3	+0.68	1	Latvia
Norway	4		1	-	0	0		-	1	0	In			51	0	49		2.0		4	Norway
Russia	3	1	1	-	0	0		-	0	3	92.4	%	-0.0	42	31	20	8	1.9		8	Russia
Belarus	3	1	1	-	0	0		-	0	2	92.0		-0.0	42	30	20	8	1.9		8	Belarus
USA	3	1	1	-	0	0		-	0	1	91.8		+0.0	42	30	20	8	1.9		8	USA
France	3	1	1	-	0	0		-	0	1	91.7		-0.0	42	30	20	8	1.9		8	France
Switzerland	3		1	-	0	1		-	0	1	81.8		-10.3	3	48	31	18	2.6	-0.71	7	Switzerland
Slovakia	3		1	-	0	1		-	0	3	78.5		-0.0	28	22	29	22	2.4		4	Slovakia
Sweden	3		1	-	0	1		-	0	1	72.0		+0.1	22	29	22	28	2.6		6	Sweden
Finland	0	1	0	-	0	1		-	0	-2	67.4		+9.4		29	38	33	3.0	+0.03	2	Finland
Germany	0	1	0	-	0	1		-	0	-1	58.1		+0.0	8	20	30	42	3.1		13	Germany
Canada	0	1	0	-	0	1		-	0	-2	58.1		+0.0	8	20	30	42	3.1		13	Canada
Czech Republic	0	1	0	-	0	1		-	0	-1	58.0		+0.0	8	20	30	42	3.1		13	Czech Republic
Denmark	0	1	0	-	0	1		-	0	-3	57.8		+0.0	8	20	31	42	3.1		13	Denmark
Kazakhstan	0	1	0	-	0	1		-	0	-2	50.9		-7.1	16	11	24	49	3.1		12	Kazakhstan
Italy	2		0	-	1	1		-	0	-4	49.5		-0.1		49	0	50	3.0		3	Italy

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Tuesday, 5/20
Switzerland 4 Latvia 5
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Latvia	In		+0.8
Switzerland	-10.3		-0.8
Finland	+9.4		+0.0
Kazakhstan	-7.0		+0.0

Germany vs CanadaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Belarus	In92.292.089.389.584.5		2.01.91.91.81.81.9
USA	83.989.689.592.292.1In		2.01.81.81.91.92.0
Germany	99.975.375.243.543.115.9		2.32.92.93.53.53.8
Canada	16.143.043.375.075.399.6		3.83.53.52.92.92.3

Finland vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Latvia			1.01.01.01.01.01.6
Switzerland	In81.581.578.678.664.1		2.52.72.72.72.72.8
Finland	In75.475.546.046.036.9		2.52.72.73.33.33.6
Kazakhstan	Out43.243.175.575.599.0		4.03.63.63.03.02.1

Denmark vs Czech RepublicHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia	85.389.689.492.092.1In		1.91.81.81.91.92.0
France	In92.1*92.089.389.483.8		2.01.91.91.81.82.0
Czech Republic	15.643.143.275.575.499.9		3.83.53.52.82.92.3
Denmark	99.175.275.543.143.116.2		2.32.92.83.53.53.8

USA vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Belarus	81.798.798.7InInIn		2.72.12.11.51.51.2
USA	InInIn98.798.881.1		1.21.51.52.12.12.7
Germany	67.451.751.549.849.951.2		3.03.13.13.23.23.0
Canada	50.949.649.851.451.367.7		3.13.23.23.13.13.0

Russia vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia	InInIn98.798.782.5		1.21.51.52.12.12.7
France	81.098.798.7InInIn		2.72.12.11.51.51.2
Czech Republic	51.249.949.951.651.667.2		3.03.23.23.13.13.0
Denmark	67.751.451.449.649.750.3		3.03.13.13.23.23.1

Thursday, 5/22
Sweden vs ItalyIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Norway			2.01.91.91.91.92.0
Slovakia	InInIn57.157.156.9		2.52.12.12.42.42.4
Sweden	InInIn50.049.843.1		1.52.02.03.43.43.6
Italy	OutOutOut92.993.1In		4.04.04.02.22.22.0

Slovakia vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Norway			3.02.82.81.01.01.0
Slovakia	InInInInIn50.0		1.41.61.63.03.03.5
Sweden	50.050.149.957.256.8In		2.62.62.62.92.92.5
Italy	50.049.950.142.843.250.0		3.03.13.13.13.13.0

Finland vs SwitzerlandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Latvia			1.21.21.21.21.21.3
Switzerland	57.6InInInInIn		3.42.72.72.22.21.9
Finland	93.953.153.146.947.046.5		2.53.03.03.53.53.5
Kazakhstan	48.546.946.953.153.053.5		2.93.13.13.13.13.2

Denmark vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia	89.390.990.891.992.095.8
France	80.8InInInInIn		2.41.91.91.51.51.5
Czech Republic	57.256.456.461.161.058.6		3.03.13.13.13.13.1
Denmark	72.752.752.947.046.945.5		2.63.13.13.43.53.5

USA vs CanadaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Belarus	95.192.192.090.790.789.2		1.91.91.91.91.92.0
USA	InInInInIn81.0		1.51.61.51.91.92.4
Germany	58.960.961.056.356.457.1
Canada	46.047.047.053.052.972.7		3.53.53.53.13.12.6

Belarus vs GermanyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Belarus	InInInInIn81.5		1.51.61.51.91.92.4
USA	94.492.192.190.790.989.3		1.91.91.91.91.92.0
Germany	46.547.046.752.752.772.4		3.53.53.53.13.12.6
Canada	59.160.961.256.656.456.8

Russia vs Czech RepublicHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia	InInInInIn82.3		1.51.61.51.91.92.4
France	94.492.192.090.790.889.2		1.91.91.91.91.92.0
Czech Republic	46.547.147.352.853.072.1		3.53.43.43.13.12.6
Denmark	59.160.960.656.556.356.3

Latvia vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Latvia			1.01.01.01.01.01.6
Switzerland	88.681.481.578.478.675.5		2.62.72.72.72.72.7
Finland	65.971.471.668.568.667.9
Kazakhstan	45.547.146.953.152.856.6		3.43.33.33.23.22.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anojan Thaseelan for adding this league.