Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Latvia62-00-03In+7.9811271.3+0.681Latvia
Switzerland31-01-0181.8%-10.334831182.6-0.717Switzerland
Finland010-01-0-267.4+9.42938333.0+0.032Finland
Kazakhstan010-01-0-250.9-7.1161124493.112Kazakhstan

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20
Switzerland 4 Latvia 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LatviaIn
+0.8
Switzerland-10.3
-0.8
Finland+9.4
+0.0
Kazakhstan-7.0
+0.0
Finland vs KazakhstanIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Latvia1.01.01.01.01.01.6
SwitzerlandIn*81.5*81.578.678.664.1
2.52.72.72.72.72.8
FinlandIn75.475.546.046.036.9
2.52.72.73.33.33.6
KazakhstanOut43.243.175.575.599.0
4.03.63.63.03.02.1
Thursday, 5/22
Finland vs SwitzerlandIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Latvia1.21.21.21.21.21.3
Switzerland57.6InInInInIn
3.42.72.72.22.21.9
Finland93.953.153.146.947.046.5
2.53.03.03.53.53.5
Kazakhstan48.546.946.953.153.053.5
2.93.13.13.13.13.2
Latvia vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Latvia1.01.01.01.01.01.6
Switzerland88.6*81.4*81.578.478.675.5
2.62.72.72.72.72.7
Finland65.971.471.668.568.667.9
Kazakhstan45.547.146.953.152.856.6
3.43.33.33.23.22.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.