Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Belarus31-00-0292.0%-0.042302081.98Belarus
USA31-00-0191.8+0.042302081.98USA
Germany00-01-0-158.1+0.082030423.113Germany
Canada00-01-0-258.1+0.082030423.113Canada

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20
Germany vs CanadaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BelarusIn*92.2*92.089.389.584.5
2.01.91.91.81.81.9
USA83.989.689.592.292.1In
2.01.81.81.91.92.0
Germany99.975.375.243.543.115.9
2.32.92.93.53.53.8
Canada16.143.043.375.075.399.6
3.83.53.52.92.92.3
USA vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belarus81.798.798.7InInIn
2.72.12.11.51.51.2
USAInInIn98.798.881.1
1.21.51.52.12.12.7
Germany67.451.751.549.849.951.2
3.03.13.13.23.23.0
Canada50.949.649.851.451.367.7
3.13.23.23.13.13.0
Thursday, 5/22
USA vs CanadaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belarus95.1*92.1*92.090.790.789.2
1.91.91.91.91.92.0
USAInInInInIn81.0
1.51.61.51.91.92.4
Germany58.960.961.056.356.457.1
Canada46.047.047.053.052.972.7
3.53.53.53.13.12.6
Belarus vs GermanyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BelarusInInInInIn81.5
1.51.61.51.91.92.4
USA94.492.192.190.790.989.3
1.91.91.91.91.92.0
Germany46.547.046.752.752.772.4
3.53.53.53.13.12.6
Canada59.160.961.256.656.456.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.