Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Latvia62-00-03In+1.093521.1+0.451.709Latvia
Norway41-00-10In320682.44.500Norway
Russia311-00-0398.5%57321011.68.688Russia
Belarus311-00-0297.4+0.051351131.78.635Belarus
USA311-00-0195.7-0.043401341.88.593USA
France311-00-0195.4-0.037461251.88.579France
Switzerland31-01-0194.9-3.53781452.2-0.547.569Switzerland
Slovakia31-01-0394.6+0.021472652.24.693Slovakia
Sweden31-01-0185.1+0.047325151.96.584Sweden
Czech Republic010-01-0-162.6+0.041246373.213.421Czech Republic
Germany010-01-0-157.1+0.041340433.213.407Germany
Kazakhstan010-01-0-253.6-3.24445463.3-0.0112.319Kazakhstan
Finland010-01-0-251.6+5.71339483.4+0.102.267Finland
Canada010-01-0-249.7-0.031235503.313.365Canada
Denmark010-01-0-343.4-0.011032573.413.312Denmark
Italy20-11-0-420.3-0.0200803.63.264Italy

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20
Switzerland 4 Latvia 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LatviaIn
+0.5
Switzerland-1.7
-0.5
Kazakhstan-2.1
Finland+2.9
Denmark vs Czech RepublicIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Russia96.398.098.0*98.5*98.5In
1.51.51.51.51.51.6
FranceIn97.597.696.896.892.1
1.81.81.81.81.81.9
Czech Republic5.622.822.881.681.699.1
3.93.73.73.03.02.7
Denmark98.181.681.723.123.18.8
2.73.03.03.73.73.9
Germany vs CanadaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BelarusIn97.797.797.096.994.3
1.71.61.61.61.61.6
USA91.896.396.397.297.2In
1.81.71.71.71.71.8
Germany99.180.280.125.925.87.7
2.63.03.03.73.73.9
Canada9.125.825.980.080.098.0
3.93.63.63.03.02.7
Finland vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Latvia1.01.01.01.01.01.2
SwitzerlandIn97.497.497.097.090.2
KazakhstanOut14.915.082.282.195.4
4.03.93.93.13.12.8
FinlandIn87.687.620.820.914.4
2.82.92.93.63.63.8
USA vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belarus93.599.699.6InInIn
2.32.02.01.41.41.1
USAInInIn99.599.590.9
1.11.31.32.02.02.4
Germany62.354.654.754.154.253.6
3.23.33.33.33.33.2
Canada44.245.845.746.446.355.5
3.43.43.43.43.43.3
Russia vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RussiaInInIn99.899.795.6
1.11.31.32.02.02.3
France91.499.699.6InInIn
2.42.02.01.31.31.1
Czech Republic60.461.060.961.461.366.9
Denmark48.339.439.538.839.037.5
3.43.53.53.53.53.5
Thursday, 5/22
Sweden vs ItalyIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norway2.42.22.22.32.32.4
SlovakiaInInIn73.673.673.6
2.31.81.81.91.91.9
SwedenInInIn30.630.726.4
1.32.02.03.73.63.7
ItalyOutOutOut95.895.7In
4.04.04.02.22.22.0
Finland vs SwitzerlandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Switzerland72.5InInInInIn
3.22.52.52.12.12.0
Kazakhstan38.450.750.857.157.157.3
3.33.33.33.33.33.4
Finland89.149.349.242.942.942.7
2.53.13.13.63.63.6
Denmark vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Russia96.697.397.497.797.799.4
France78.4InInInInIn
2.62.02.01.71.71.6
Czech Republic56.358.958.765.165.264.5
3.13.23.23.23.23.2
Denmark68.743.843.937.237.236.1
2.83.33.33.63.63.6
USA vs CanadaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belarus98.796.396.395.795.794.9
USAInInInInIn82.4
1.51.61.61.91.92.5
Germany58.859.759.753.954.152.3
Canada42.544.144.150.450.270.5
3.63.53.53.23.22.7
Belarus vs GermanyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BelarusInInInInIn89.4
1.41.51.51.81.82.3
USA97.194.694.793.993.892.9
1.81.81.81.81.81.9
Germany51.652.552.658.258.273.0
3.53.43.43.13.12.5
Canada51.352.952.747.948.044.7
Slovakia vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norway3.02.72.71.01.01.0
SlovakiaInInInInIn79.6
1.71.91.93.03.03.2
Sweden79.679.679.682.582.4In
1.71.71.72.42.42.2
Italy20.4*20.4*20.417.517.620.4
Russia vs Czech RepublicHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RussiaInInInInIn93.1
1.41.41.41.71.72.2
France96.894.094.092.993.192.2
1.81.81.81.81.81.9
Czech Republic58.759.759.965.165.075.5
3.43.33.33.03.02.4
Denmark44.546.346.141.941.939.2
Latvia vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Latvia1.01.01.01.01.01.6
Switzerland96.991.191.089.389.588.4
2.22.32.32.32.32.2
Kazakhstan51.554.954.760.660.462.2
3.53.43.43.33.32.8
Finland*51.654.154.350.150.049.4
3.33.33.33.43.43.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anojan Thaseelan for adding this league.