Russia Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Plays France, playoff odds down 0.002 to 92.4%

3 points 1-0 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia vs France	InInIn+6.3+6.3-9.9		+0.7+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.8
Denmark vs Czech Republic	-7.1-2.8-3.0-0.4-0.3In		+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia vs Czech Republic	InInInInIn-10.1		+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.5
Denmark vs France	-3.1-1.5-1.6-0.5-0.3+3.4

Chances based on how well the Russia finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

8	-9								In		100				715,194	*
7		1	-	0	0		-	1	In		75	25			174,727
		0	-	2	0		-	0	In		100				14,183
6		1	-	0	1		-	0	In		32	60	8		1,078,173
		0	-	1	0		-	1	In		50	50			28,430
5		0	-	1	1		-	0	In		3	75	22		175,412
		0	-	0	0		-	2	In		3	35	62		14,201
4		0	-	0	1		-	1	98.5	%		23	75	1	175,365
3		0	-	0	2		-	0	59.4			2	57	41	538,811

Total:									92.4	%	42	31	20	8	2,914,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Russia vs France	-3.2-1.4-1.4+0.6+0.6+3.3
Denmark vs Czech Republic	-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Finland vs Kazakhstan	+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0
Germany vs Canada	+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22	100.0*	Lottery seed
Russia vs Czech Republic	-2.3-1.3-1.3-0.1-0.1+2.5
Denmark vs France	+0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Finland vs Switzerland	-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sweden vs Italy	+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Latvia vs Kazakhstan	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
USA vs Canada	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Belarus vs Germany	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Slovakia vs Norway	+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

Championship

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

9	2	-	0	0		-	0	79	19	2
8	1	-	1	0		-	0	33	49	18
7	1	-	0	0		-	1	15	35	22	3	25	0
	0	-	2	0		-	0	18	45	31	5
6	1	-	0	1		-	0	1	4	11	16	17	22	16	5	7	0	0
	0	-	1	0		-	1	0	5	19	26	10	22	14	3
5	0	-	1	1		-	0			0	3	1	7	27	40	17	5	0	0
	0	-	0	0		-	2			0	3	0	4	14	17	49	12	1
4	0	-	0	1		-	1					0	0	4	19	30	32	12	2	1	0
3	0	-	0	2		-	0						0	0	2	1	6	17	34	12	17	10	2

Total:								18	10	7	7	8	9	8	6	6	3	4	6	2	3	2	0