France Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Plays at Russia, playoff odds down 0.03 to 91.7%
3 points 1-0 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Tuesday, 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Russia vs France | -10.7+6.9+6.9InInIn | -0.8-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.4+0.8 | ||
| Denmark vs Czech Republic | In+0.4*+0.2-2.4-2.4-7.9 | -0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Thursday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denmark vs France | -10.9InInInInIn | -0.5+0.0+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Russia vs Czech Republic | +2.6+0.3+0.3-1.1-1.0-2.5 | +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the France finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | ||||
| 8 | -9 | In | 100 | 714,823 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 25 | 174,694 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 14,305 | ||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 32 | 58 | 10 | 1,077,441 | |||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 50 | 50 | 28,230 | |||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 75 | 22 | 174,671 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 3 | 36 | 62 | 14,325 | ||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 98.5 | % | 23 | 75 | 2 | 175,682 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 56.0 | 0 | 56 | 44 | 540,325 | |||||
| Total: | 91.7 | % | 42 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2,914,496 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Tuesday, 5/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Russia vs France | +3.4+0.5+0.5-1.5-1.5-3.3 | |
| Denmark vs Czech Republic | +0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.0 | |
| Finland vs Kazakhstan | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Germany vs Canada | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Thursday, 5/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Denmark vs France | +2.6-0.2-0.2-1.4-1.4-2.3 | |
| Russia vs Czech Republic | -0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Finland vs Switzerland | -0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Belarus vs Germany | +0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Sweden vs Italy | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Slovakia vs Norway | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | |
| USA vs Canada | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Latvia vs Kazakhstan | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
Championship
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 72 | 24 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 31 | 49 | 19 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 14 | 33 | 24 | 4 | 25 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 31 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 6 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 48 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 3 | ||||||||
| Total: | 16 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:11 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
