Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsOdds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)Chance will finish regular season at seedOdds of being in Last Place Bowl
11/14GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPI11/21
Dan Anderson, RLTom Taylor 84.1-89.97-3-0.70031.999.4%+0.147.5%-11.62423181512612.9-0.39No2Bradford GreggDan Anderson, Ryan Ostrye
Ryan ManionWBradford Gregg 127.6-112.17-3-0.700252.999.6+4.245.1+21.92421201711602.9+0.87No-0.01Dustin HelleRyan Manion
pete lLJacob Jenkins 61.8-100.67-3-0.70028.497.6-1.842.1-10.12220171613923.2-0.60No4at Nathan Burchfielpete l
Nathan BurchfielLStephen Gombita 91.5-97.97-3-0.700198.798.8-0.641.5-13.923181615141213.2-0.63No7pete lNathan Burchfiel
Chris AndersonWchris sink 126.3-105.16-4-0.600-9.882.0+14.214.5+9.351014151820115104.7+0.90No-1.15at Anthony HalleyChris Anderson
Stephen GombitaWNathan Burchfiel 97.9-91.56-4-0.60066.174.9+10.38.8+4.23612151921185205.1+0.72No-0.33at chris sinkStephen Gombita
Jacob JenkinsWpete l 100.6-61.85-5-0.5007243.3+2.30.4+0.200361321361163006.6+0.420.4%-4.66at Tom TaylorJacob Jenkins
Bradford GreggLRyan Manion 112.1-127.63-7-0.300-95.10.5-8.6No-0.000321202018179.8-0.7934.5+13.19at Dan Anderson, RBradford Gregg
Dustin HelleWAnthony Halley 113.1-80.43-7-0.300-148.80.5-1.2No00521171722189.8+0.6739.8-19.112at Ryan ManionDustin Helle
Tom TaylorWDan Anderson, R 89.9-84.13-7-0.300-170.61.2+0.5No11011181921199.8+0.6540.1-19.68Jacob JenkinsTom Taylor
chris sinkLChris Anderson 105.1-126.33-7-0.300-115.30.7-10.7No-0.016141720202210.0-0.8742.0+13.610Stephen Gombitachris sink
Anthony HalleyLDustin Helle 80.4-113.13-7-0.300-110.41.6-8.6No015111920192410.0-0.9643.2+18.011Chris AndersonAnthony Halley

Don't get last

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/14
Chris Anderson 126.3 chris sink 105.1
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion-0.3
-1.4
pete l-1.5
Nathan Burchfiel-1.0
Chris Anderson+17.1
+4.2
-1.1
+0.9
Stephen Gombita+0.3
-0.4
Jacob Jenkins-5.6
-0.9
Bradford Gregg-1.8
-3.3
Dustin Helle-1.8
Tom Taylor-5.5
chris sink-9.0
+13.8
-0.8
Anthony Halley-1.1
pete l 61.8 Jacob Jenkins 100.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R+5.0
Ryan Manion-0.7
+2.6
pete l-0.6
-13.3
-0.5
Nathan Burchfiel+3.3
Chris Anderson-3.3
+1.5
Stephen Gombita-4.3
+0.8
Jacob Jenkins+14.9
+0.2
-4.2
+0.7
Bradford Gregg-1.5
Dustin Helle-0.4
+1.8
Tom Taylor+1.4
chris sink-1.9
+0.5
Anthony Halley-2.0
+0.3
Nathan Burchfiel 91.5 Stephen Gombita 97.9
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R+1.7
Ryan Manion-0.9
+3.3
pete l+4.9
Nathan Burchfiel-0.6
-15.9
-0.6
Chris Anderson-2.6
+1.3
Stephen Gombita+14.6
+4.5
-0.3
+0.8
Jacob Jenkins-4.5
Bradford Gregg-1.1
Tom Taylor-0.3
chris sink-1.8
Anthony Halley-2.2
Bradford Gregg 112.1 Ryan Manion 127.6
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R+0.6
-4.0
Ryan Manion+4.5
+11.8
+0.6
pete l-1.4
Nathan Burchfiel-4.6
Chris Anderson+0.8
-0.6
Stephen Gombita-1.1
Jacob Jenkins+0.6
-1.0
Bradford Gregg-7.5
No
+11.7
-0.7
Dustin Helle-0.8
-4.1
Tom Taylor-2.6
chris sink+1.3
-1.8
Anthony Halley-1.9
Dustin Helle 113.1 Anthony Halley 80.4
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion-0.5
Chris Anderson+2.1
+0.5
Stephen Gombita+1.8
Jacob Jenkins+0.7
Bradford Gregg+0.2
+3.3
Dustin Helle+1.7
-22.4
+0.8
Tom Taylor+0.4
chris sink-1.0
Anthony Halley-6.6
+19.1
-0.9
Dan Anderson, R 84.1 Tom Taylor 89.9
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R-0.7
-14.7
-0.5
Ryan Manion+3.8
pete l+4.7
Nathan Burchfiel+3.8
Chris Anderson+1.1
Stephen Gombita+0.5
+1.2
Jacob Jenkins-0.6
+0.2
Bradford Gregg+0.5
+2.9
Dustin Helle+4.5
Tom Taylor+0.7
-15.3
+0.5
chris sink-0.4
+4.4
Anthony Halley+2.9
Week of 11/21
Tom Taylor vs Jacob JenkinsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, RIn98.898.7
Chris Anderson87.187.576.9
15.1*15.213.9
4.64.54.9
Stephen Gombita80.379.169.4
5.05.15.2
Jacob Jenkins25.835.260.9
NoNo0.8
0.8NoNo
7.36.75.8
Bradford Gregg0.8*0.60.2
40.740.728.3
9.910.09.6
Dustin Helle0.70.10.2
43.235.836.4
9.99.79.8
Tom Taylor2.4OutOut
20.437.159.9
9.09.910.7
chris sink1.20.30.2
46.037.938.0
10.19.89.8
Anthony Halley2.6*1.80.5
49.048.537.5
10.210.29.9
Anthony Halley vs Chris AndersonHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Ryan Manion48.949.541.3
2.72.73.1
pete l98.098.397.2
45.545.038.6
3.03.03.3
Chris Anderson68.589.095.5
4.07.425.0
5.64.93.8
Stephen Gombita76.478.673.3
10.210.17.5
5.04.95.3
Jacob Jenkins52.334.134.4
6.46.86.7
Dustin Helle0.80.20.2
44.845.434.7
10.010.09.7
Tom Taylor44.334.735.9
10.09.69.7
chris sink0.9*0.50.5
46.747.137.3
10.110.29.8
Anthony Halley3.2OutOut
27.538.759.0
9.410.010.7
chris sink vs Stephen GombitaHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R99.599.699.2
51.951.743.2
2.72.73.0
Nathan Burchfiel99.199.498.4
44.644.638.5
3.03.03.4
Chris Anderson86.178.278.0
14.813.414.2
4.64.94.9
Stephen Gombita62.481.687.3
1.14.816.6
6.05.04.3
Jacob Jenkins46.9*43.639.8
6.56.56.6
Bradford Gregg0.70.20.3
39.439.929.6
9.910.09.6
Tom Taylor2.30.20.2
44.845.835.4
10.010.09.7
chris sink1.4OutOut
26.538.857.5
9.410.010.6
Anthony Halley2.11.01.0
47.037.639.5
10.29.99.9
Nathan Burchfiel vs pete lHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
pete l95.399.899.9
18.945.565.3
4.02.92.3
Nathan Burchfiel99.999.597.7
63.344.319.7
2.43.04.0
Dan Anderson, R vs Bradford GreggHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, RIn99.798.7
62.844.732.3
2.32.93.5
Ryan Manion39.948.050.4
3.02.82.8
pete l37.646.346.6
3.33.03.0
Nathan Burchfiel98.6*98.699.0
39.838.243.2
3.33.43.1
Bradford GreggOutOut0.9
50.439.018.6
10.410.09.2
Dustin Helle34.944.544.6
9.710.010.0
Tom Taylor1.4*1.51.0
35.634.644.6
9.79.610.0
chris sink38.237.145.8
9.89.810.2
Anthony Halley40.7*44.445.8
10.010.010.1
Ryan Manion vs Dustin HelleHomeTieAway
10:00 AM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Odds of getting BYE (1/2 seed)100.0*Odds of being in Last Place Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dan Anderson, R43.6*47.851.5
3.02.92.8
Ryan ManionIn99.899.1
61.8*44.228.5
2.22.93.5
pete l97.4*97.597.8
39.138.745.1
3.33.33.0
Nathan Burchfiel37.046.546.0
3.43.03.0
Chris Anderson81.5*81.782.5
11.711.417.3
4.94.94.6
Bradford Gregg30.633.238.4
9.69.79.9
Dustin HelleOutOut1.0
57.0*38.622.5
10.510.09.2
Tom Taylor35.044.545.2
9.710.010.0
chris sink38.244.045.8
9.910.010.1
Anthony Halley39.139.647.4
9.99.910.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you AJH for adding this league.