How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Switzerland 4 Latvia 5 -10.3
-0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Finland vs KazakhstanIn*-0.3*-0.3-3.2-3.2-17.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Finland vs Switzerland-24.2InInInInIn
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.5+0.7
Latvia vs Kazakhstan+6.8*-0.3*-0.2-3.3-3.1-6.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Switzerland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs1234Count
61-00-0In6941,253,687
50-10-0In8119204,410
40-00-1In2575203,507
30-01-057.6%157421,252,892
Total:81.8%34831182,914,496
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/20100.0*Lottery seed
Switzerland 4 Latvia 5 +3.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Finland vs Kazakhstan-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Russia vs France-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
Denmark vs Czech Republic+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Germany vs Canada+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
USA vs Belarus-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Finland vs Switzerland+3.4+0.2+0.3-1.3-1.3-3.2
Latvia vs Kazakhstan-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.1
Sweden vs Italy+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Slovakia vs Norway+0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.1
Russia vs Czech Republic-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0
USA vs Canada-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

What If

Championship

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT12345678910111213141516
61-00-001334135153
50-10-0213353215300
40-00-101619412760
30-01-00012112222181771
Total:00111816955710108730