Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI11/12
CAW!LCREW 59.4-83.97-3-0.70038.896.4%-1.7292317139531002.8-0.522BUFFBig Nasty
LLUALT$ 67-957-3-0.70015.794.8-2.834201411106320002.8-0.571DLOSUrban Achievers
DLOSWS!TD 77.2-63.16-4-0.60063.184.0+11.71316161613117432004.1+0.984at LLUAThe DeLorean's
LIBWFC 103.6-85.26-4-0.600-40.177.5+10.59111315151412631004.7+0.826CREWChamberlain's Libido
CREWWCAW! 83.9-59.46-4-0.60065.677.3+11.34111616171412731004.8+0.715at LIBLeatherheads
NSSCWXXX 82.9-72.66-4-0.60066.876.2+13.610141414131011831004.5+1.033BALLNorth Side Super Combatants
BUFFLBALL 87.5-98.15-5-0.500121.345.1-19.0136911151715127316.7-1.098at CAW!Jamestown Buffaloes
T$WLLUA 95-674-6-0.400-9.220.1+7.20013610131917151158.3+0.8710at S!TDTeam $
S!TDLDLOS 63.1-77.24-6-0.400-20.320.1-17.0012359913161515138.7-1.277T$Shogun! The Dynasty
XXXLNSSC 72.6-82.93-7-0.300-107.73.3-7.4000125111318203010.2-0.7811at FCXXX
FCLLIB 85.2-103.63-7-0.300-154.12.6-6.900124101619232510.1-0.739XXXFlying Canadian
BALLWBUFF 98.1-87.53-7-0.300-39.92.6+0.50012371421272610.3+0.5512at NSSCBrady Loves Soft Balls

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/5
DLOS 77.2 S!TD 63.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DLOS+13.5
+1.0
LIB+0.7
NSSC+1.0
BUFF+0.6
T$+0.2
S!TD-15.2
-1.1
XXX-0.4
+0.1
XXX 72.6 NSSC 82.9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DLOS-0.7
LIB-2.6
CREW-1.2
NSSC+14.9
+1.0
BUFF-0.9
T$-0.4
S!TD-1.0
XXX-7.3
-0.8
FC-0.5
+0.1
BALL+0.1
BUFF 87.5 BALL 98.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!+0.3
LLUA+0.2
DLOS+1.7
LIB+1.4
CREW+2.1
+0.1
NSSC+2.0
+0.1
BUFF-14.8
-1.0
T$+1.4
S!TD+1.5
XXX+1.1
FC+1.2
BALL+2.0
+0.5
CREW 83.9 CAW! 59.4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!-1.9
-0.5
LLUA-0.3
DLOS-1.2
-0.1
LIB-3.1
-0.1
CREW+14.6
+0.9
NSSC-2.0
BUFF-1.4
T$-1.2
S!TD-1.9
XXX-0.8
FC-0.5
BALL-0.3
FC 85.2 LIB 103.6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!-0.2
DLOS-0.9
LIB+13.8
+0.9
CREW-2.3
-0.1
NSSC-1.2
BUFF-0.9
T$-0.5
+0.1
S!TD-0.7
XXX-0.3
+0.1
FC-6.6
-0.7
T$ 95 LLUA 67
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!+0.1
LLUA-2.2
-0.5
DLOS-1.3
LIB+0.0
CREW-1.6
NSSC-0.8
BUFF-1.2
T$+8.3
+0.8
S!TD-0.4
-0.1
XXX-0.1
FC-0.4
-0.1
BALL-0.2
Week of 11/12
S!TD vs T$If winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LIB75.6*79.179.4
4.7*4.64.6
CREW77.582.877.0
4.84.54.8
NSSC75.980.376.4
BUFF46.450.743.7
6.76.46.7
T$8.79.731.5
9.19.07.5
S!TD32.87.97.4
7.79.49.7
LIB vs CREWHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!2.82.52.7
DLOS82.9*85.885.2
4.13.94.1
LIB90.371.764.7
3.75.35.6
CREW65.066.489.6
5.65.54.0
NSSC77.8*79.574.6
4.5*4.34.5
BUFF42.4*45.247.8
T$21.9*22.118.4
8.3*8.28.3
S!TD8.78.48.7
CAW! vs BUFFHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!99.892.793.0
2.13.53.5
LIB80.4*81.374.7
4.64.54.7
CREW79.5*80.575.0
NSSC77.2*79.875.2
4.54.24.5
BUFF28.430.061.8
7.77.55.7
T$22.0*20.018.3
8.28.28.4
S!TD22.523.817.7
8.68.58.8
NSSC vs BALLHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!2.92.62.7
DLOS82.7*87.285.4
4.2*3.94.0
LIB75.4*80.379.6
4.7*4.54.6
CREW77.0*80.177.5
4.94.64.7
NSSC89.660.762.8
3.65.65.5
BUFF42.050.548.1
6.8*6.56.6
T$17.9*20.822.4
S!TD18.8*21.821.4
8.68.58.8
FC10.09.910.3
BALL0.1Out5.1
10.910.99.7
LLUA vs DLOSHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LLUA99.592.790.1
2.13.33.6
DLOS73.876.294.2
5.24.93.1
CREW79.5*79.475.0
4.74.64.9
T$21.3*21.718.9
8.3*8.28.3
FC vs XXXHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
XXX0.20.16.5
10.810.69.5
FC5.10.20.2
9.510.610.7
BALL2.3*3.22.8
10.310.010.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you K. Crew for adding this league.