Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI11/28
SNEDWFS 132.5-1229-2-0.818125In+0.091541.1+0.261at PARXSnead Factor
JAKEWNICK 89.5-79.57-4-0.636140.598.7%+15.35693885102.6+1.212RAGERest in Peace Jose
RAGEWSA 115.5-110.57-4-0.6363696.9+19.04611498303.6+1.193at JAKEFloyd Rage
PARXWKEIT 80.5-77.56-5-0.5452471.7+26.1159151913810825.2+1.294SNEDParx w Mark
NOONLFISH 55-111.56-5-0.545-11465.5-9.3111917191081155.9-0.925at FSNoonan
FSLSNED 122-132.55-5-1.50011350.1-13.05513919199121006.5-1.257NOONFlocka Seagulls
WEINWDD 113.5-97.55-5-1.5002041.5+19.244127152112101426.8+1.236NICKWeinersinmybutt
SALRAGE 110.5-115.55-6-0.45595.527.4-21.52171171821141727.5-1.188KEITStreets Ahead
NICKLJAKE 79.5-89.55-6-0.455-7.524.3-18.3161081018182098.0-1.059at WEINand the Boys
DDLWEIN 97.5-113.55-6-0.455-75.523.7-17.6161071019182198.1-0.9710at FISHDamn Daniel
FISHWNOON 111.5-553-7-1.318-190.5Out-0.02101073510.7+0.4111DDFish
KEITLPARX 77.5-80.51-9-1.136-166.5Out59511.9-0.2312at SAKeith

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
SA 110.5 RAGE 115.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
JAKE+0.9
RAGE+17.0
+1.1
PARX+0.9
NOON+1.2
FS+1.6
WEIN+1.0
SA-24.7
-1.4
NICK+1.0
DD+1.1
JAKE 89.5 NICK 79.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
JAKE+14.4
+1.2
RAGE+1.4
PARX+0.9
NOON+1.3
FS+1.5
-0.1
WEIN+1.2
SA+0.9
NICK-22.7
-1.2
DD+1.1
WEIN 113.5 DD 97.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SNEDIn
JAKE+0.6
RAGE+0.5
PARX+0.5
NOON+1.1
FS+1.3
WEIN+16.7
+1.2
SA+0.4
NICK+1.0
DD-22.1
-1.3
FISHOut
PARX 80.5 KEIT 77.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
JAKE-1.8
-0.2
RAGE-2.6
PARX+22.1
+1.3
NOON-3.2
FS-3.5
-0.2
WEIN-3.0
-0.2
SA-2.4
-0.2
NICK-2.7
-0.1
DD-2.8
-0.1
FISHOut
KEIT-0.1
FS 122 SNED 132.5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SNEDIn
+0.3
JAKE+1.7
+0.2
RAGE+2.6
PARX+2.3
+0.2
NOON+3.0
FS-19.0
-1.3
WEIN+2.1
SA+1.9
+0.2
NICK+2.6
DD+2.7
FISH 111.5 NOON 55
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SNEDIn
JAKE+1.5
RAGE+2.1
+0.2
PARX+2.1
NOON-14.3
-1.0
FS+1.2
WEIN+1.5
SA+1.7
NICK+2.1
DD+2.2
FISH+0.3
Week of 11/28
FS vs NOONIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PARX71.667.572.1
5.35.55.2
NOON39.363.791.9
7.35.44.6
FS76.254.423.8
5.06.17.9
WEIN42.349.140.4
6.86.66.8
NICK24.322.624.5
8.08.38.0
DD23.923.223.6
8.08.38.1
WEIN vs NICKHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RAGE95.996.398.0
3.73.63.5
WEIN71.450.411.3
5.26.48.4
SA25.229.329.5
NICK0.211.149.1
9.58.56.6
SA vs KEITHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RAGE95.098.798.8
3.73.63.6
PARX68.974.074.5
5.45.15.1
NOON60.969.769.9
6.15.85.7
FS44.651.455.6
6.66.46.3
WEIN36.839.146.4
7.06.96.6
SA52.116.93.2
6.18.18.8
NICK22.225.726.4
8.27.97.8
DD21.825.025.6
8.27.97.9
PARX vs SNEDHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SNED1.31.01.0
JAKE98.099.199.3
2.82.62.5
RAGE95.698.098.3
PARX94.863.449.2
3.95.46.5
NOON61.868.669.1
6.05.85.8
FS44.254.555.8
6.76.36.3
WEIN35.842.947.2
7.06.86.6
SA25.225.829.6
7.67.67.3
NICK22.724.126.0
8.28.17.9
DD22.1*23.725.4
8.28.17.9
FISH vs DDHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RAGE98.198.195.7
PARX73.772.869.8
5.15.25.4
NOON68.968.662.0
5.85.86.1
FS55.754.844.3
6.36.36.6
WEIN47.142.335.9
6.76.76.9
SA29.626.125.2
7.37.67.6
NICK25.9*24.422.8
8.08.18.1
DD1.813.846.2
9.38.26.9
FISH10.310.811.1
JAKE vs RAGEHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
JAKEInIn97.3
2.02.53.3
RAGE93.7InIn
4.33.52.9
PARX72.370.471.2
5.35.45.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Nick S for adding this league.