Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleTitleChance will finish season at seedLeague 1
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Manchester United155-0-01342.8%+8.242.8%+8.243211396421002.4+0.490.6%-1.11Manchester United
Liverpool913-0-1614.4+3.114.4+3.114161513121086414.2+0.655.0-5.25Liverpool
Manchester City913-0-1514.3-2.114.3-2.114161513121086414.2-0.055.0-0.56Manchester City
Chelsea93-0-228.2-1.58.2-1.581214141312108534.8-0.048.0-0.62Chelsea
FC Bayern712-1-137.7+1.87.7+1.881113131312119745.0+0.7110.1-8.13FC Bayern
PSG612-0-2-15.8-1.15.8-1.169111213131311955.5-0.0213.6-1.08PSG
Real Madrid72-1-204.3-4.94.3-4.948101213131312955.7-0.6514.6+3.64Real Madrid
Arsenal311-0-3-71.9-2.51.9-2.524681012141617136.8-0.6329.5+6.310Arsenal
Tottenham010-0-4-50.5-0.90.5-0.9113468111622287.9-0.5150.7+8.37Tottenham
Wolfsburg00-0-5-160.2-0.10.2-0.101124691423408.5+0.0562.8-1.69Wolfsburg

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/12
Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+8.3
+8.3
-2.5
+0.6
Liverpool-1.2
-1.2
-0.7
Manchester City-1.7
-1.7
-0.5
Chelsea-0.8
-0.8
-0.9
FC Bayern-0.8
-0.8
-1.0
PSG-0.8
-0.8
-1.0
Real Madrid-1.5
-1.5
-0.6
Arsenal-0.5
-0.5
-1.2
Tottenham-0.2
-0.2
-1.4
Wolfsburg-0.5
-0.5
+9.8
-0.5
Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+0.4
+0.4
+0.1
Liverpool+0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Manchester City+0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Chelsea+4.1
+4.1
-6.6
+0.8
FC Bayern+0.2
+0.2
+0.3
PSG+0.1
+0.1
+0.4
Real Madrid-5.7
-5.7
+3.9
-0.7
Arsenal+0.1
+0.1
+0.4
Tottenham+0.5
Wolfsburg+0.5
Manchester City vs PSGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.244.043.6
41.244.043.6
Liverpool13.814.814.7
13.814.814.7
4.9*5.05.2
Manchester City20.612.69.0
20.612.69.0
2.15.17.8
3.54.34.8
Chelsea7.88.68.4
7.88.68.4
7.88.08.3
FC Bayern7.38.07.8
7.38.07.8
9.9*10.110.4
PSG2.84.79.3
2.84.79.3
19.214.37.7
6.25.64.8
Real Madrid4.14.44.4
4.14.44.4
14.314.515.0
Arsenal1.82.02.0
1.82.02.0
28.9*29.430.1
Tottenham50.150.551.5
Wolfsburg62.262.663.5
Liverpool vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United40.743.744.3
40.743.744.3
Liverpool20.312.69.3
20.312.69.3
2.05.08.1
3.54.34.8
Manchester City13.514.815.0
13.514.815.0
4.64.95.4
Chelsea7.68.48.7
7.68.48.7
7.67.98.5
FC Bayern7.27.98.0
7.27.98.0
9.610.010.8
PSG5.46.06.1
5.46.06.1
12.913.414.4
Real Madrid3.94.44.5
3.94.44.5
13.914.415.4
Arsenal0.71.43.4
0.71.43.4
38.131.120.0
7.47.06.1
Tottenham0.40.50.5
0.40.50.5
49.350.352.4
Wolfsburg61.562.464.4
FC Bayern vs TottenhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.443.443.9
41.443.443.9
Liverpool13.814.614.8
13.814.614.8
4.74.95.5
Manchester City13.814.614.8
13.814.614.8
4.64.85.4
Chelsea7.88.38.4
7.88.38.4
7.57.88.6
FC Bayern11.56.44.5
11.56.44.5
4.8*10.115.5
4.35.25.7
PSG5.55.96.0
5.55.96.0
12.913.314.5
Real Madrid4.04.44.5
4.04.44.5
13.914.215.6
Arsenal1.82.02.0
1.82.02.0
28.229.031.0
Tottenham0.20.30.9
0.20.30.9
61.053.239.3
8.48.17.4
Wolfsburg61.962.264.1
Week of 3/19
Arsenal vs Manchester UnitedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United33.440.453.3
33.440.453.3
1.00.50.1
2.92.52.0
Liverpool16.215.012.2
16.215.012.2
5.54.94.6
Manchester City16.115.112.2
16.115.112.2
5.54.94.6
Chelsea9.48.66.7
9.48.66.7
8.77.97.4
FC Bayern8.98.16.3
8.98.16.3
10.910.09.4
PSG6.66.14.8
6.66.14.8
14.613.412.6
Real Madrid5.04.53.4
5.04.53.4
15.714.513.7
Arsenal3.51.40.6
3.51.40.6
20.431.137.7
6.27.07.4
Tottenham0.60.50.4
0.60.50.4
52.950.448.8
8.07.97.9
Wolfsburg64.862.461.0
8.68.58.4
Manchester City vs FC BayernHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.644.143.2
41.644.143.2
Liverpool13.914.914.6
13.914.914.6
4.9*5.05.1
Manchester City20.712.78.9
20.712.78.9
2.25.17.8
3.54.34.8
Chelsea7.88.68.4
7.88.68.4
7.9*8.08.1
FC Bayern4.06.412.0
4.06.412.0
14.610.65.4
5.75.24.3
PSG5.66.15.9
5.66.15.9
13.4*13.613.8
Real Madrid4.14.54.3
4.14.54.3
14.4*14.614.9
Arsenal1.82.12.0
1.82.12.0
29.2*29.429.8
Tottenham50.450.651.2
Wolfsburg62.562.663.3
PSG vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United43.644.041.2
43.644.041.2
Liverpool9.012.620.6
9.012.620.6
7.95.12.1
4.84.33.5
Manchester City14.714.813.7
14.714.813.7
5.1*5.04.9
Chelsea8.48.67.8
8.48.67.8
8.37.97.8
FC Bayern7.88.07.3
7.88.07.3
10.410.09.9
PSG9.34.72.8
9.34.72.8
7.714.319.2
4.85.66.2
Real Madrid4.44.54.0
4.44.54.0
14.914.514.3
Arsenal2.02.01.8
2.02.01.8
30.129.328.9
Tottenham51.550.650.1
Wolfsburg63.562.662.2
Chelsea vs TottenhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.243.443.9
41.243.443.9
0.50.50.6
2.52.42.4
Liverpool13.714.714.9
13.714.714.9
4.74.95.5
Manchester City13.714.614.9
13.714.614.9
4.64.95.4
Chelsea12.46.84.7
12.46.84.7
3.57.912.6
4.14.95.4
FC Bayern7.37.87.9
7.37.87.9
9.59.910.9
PSG5.45.96.0
5.45.96.0
12.813.314.5
Real Madrid4.04.44.5
4.04.44.5
13.814.315.6
Arsenal1.82.02.0
1.82.02.0
28.129.031.1
Tottenham0.20.30.9
0.20.30.9
60.853.239.5
8.48.17.4
Wolfsburg61.762.364.2
Wolfsburg vs Real MadridHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United43.543.141.9
43.543.141.9
Liverpool14.714.514.0
14.714.514.0
5.44.84.8
4.14.14.2
Manchester City14.614.514.0
14.614.514.0
5.44.84.7
Chelsea8.48.37.9
8.48.37.9
8.57.77.7
FC Bayern7.97.87.4
7.97.87.4
10.79.89.7
PSG5.95.95.6
5.95.95.6
14.413.213.0
Real Madrid2.23.46.8
2.23.46.8
21.814.77.4
6.35.85.0
Arsenal2.0*1.91.9
2.0*1.91.9
30.728.828.6
Tottenham51.750.050.2
Wolfsburg0.40.10.0
0.40.10.0
51.065.573.3
8.08.68.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kai for adding this league.