Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleTitleChance will finish season at seedLeague 1
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI5/14
Manchester UnitedWReal Madrid 1-0155-0-01342.8%+8.242.8%+8.243211396421002.4+0.490.6%-1.11at WolfsburgManchester United
LiverpoolWTottenham 3-2913-0-1614.4+3.114.4+3.114161513121086414.2+0.655.0-5.25at ArsenalLiverpool
Manchester City913-0-1514.3-2.114.3-2.114161513121086414.2-0.055.0-0.56at PSGManchester City
Chelsea93-0-228.2-1.58.2-1.581214141312108534.8-0.048.0-0.62Real MadridChelsea
FC BayernWArsenal 6-2712-1-137.7+1.87.7+1.881113131312119745.0+0.7110.1-8.13at TottenhamFC Bayern
PSG612-0-2-15.8-1.15.8-1.169111213131311955.5-0.0213.6-1.08Manchester CityPSG
Real MadridLManchester United 0-172-1-204.3-4.94.3-4.948101213131312955.7-0.6514.6+3.64at ChelseaReal Madrid
ArsenalLFC Bayern 2-6311-0-3-71.9-2.51.9-2.524681012141617136.8-0.6329.5+6.310LiverpoolArsenal
TottenhamLLiverpool 2-3010-0-4-50.5-0.90.5-0.9113468111622287.9-0.5150.7+8.37FC BayernTottenham
Wolfsburg00-0-5-160.2-0.10.2-0.101124691423408.5+0.0562.8-1.69Manchester UnitedWolfsburg

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/12
Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+8.3
+8.3
-2.5
+0.6
Liverpool-1.2
-1.2
-0.7
Manchester City-1.7
-1.7
-0.5
Chelsea-0.8
-0.8
-0.9
FC Bayern-0.8
-0.8
-1.0
PSG-0.8
-0.8
-1.0
Real Madrid-1.5
-1.5
-0.6
Arsenal-0.5
-0.5
-1.2
Tottenham-0.2
-0.2
-1.4
Wolfsburg-0.5
-0.5
+9.8
-0.5
Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+0.4
+0.4
+0.1
Liverpool+0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Manchester City+0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Chelsea+4.1
+4.1
-6.6
+0.8
FC Bayern+0.2
+0.2
+0.3
PSG+0.1
+0.1
+0.4
Real Madrid-5.7
-5.7
+3.9
-0.7
Arsenal+0.1
+0.1
+0.4
Tottenham+0.5
Wolfsburg+0.5
Manchester City vs PSGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.244.043.6
41.244.043.6
Liverpool13.814.814.7
13.814.814.7
4.9*5.05.2
Manchester City20.612.69.0
20.612.69.0
2.15.17.8
3.54.34.8
Chelsea7.88.68.4
7.88.68.4
7.88.08.3
FC Bayern7.38.07.8
7.38.07.8
9.9*10.110.4
PSG2.84.79.3
2.84.79.3
19.214.37.7
6.25.64.8
Real Madrid4.14.44.4
4.14.44.4
14.314.515.0
Arsenal1.82.02.0
1.82.02.0
28.9*29.430.1
Tottenham50.150.551.5
Wolfsburg62.262.663.5
Liverpool vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United40.743.744.3
40.743.744.3
Liverpool20.312.69.3
20.312.69.3
2.05.08.1
3.54.34.8
Manchester City13.514.815.0
13.514.815.0
4.64.95.4
Chelsea7.68.48.7
7.68.48.7
7.67.98.5
FC Bayern7.27.98.0
7.27.98.0
9.610.010.8
PSG5.46.06.1
5.46.06.1
12.913.414.4
Real Madrid3.94.44.5
3.94.44.5
13.914.415.4
Arsenal0.71.43.4
0.71.43.4
38.131.120.0
7.47.06.1
Tottenham0.40.50.5
0.40.50.5
49.350.352.4
Wolfsburg61.562.464.4
FC Bayern vs TottenhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.443.443.9
41.443.443.9
Liverpool13.814.614.8
13.814.614.8
4.74.95.5
Manchester City13.814.614.8
13.814.614.8
4.64.85.4
Chelsea7.88.38.4
7.88.38.4
7.57.88.6
FC Bayern11.56.44.5
11.56.44.5
4.8*10.115.5
4.35.25.7
PSG5.55.96.0
5.55.96.0
12.913.314.5
Real Madrid4.04.44.5
4.04.44.5
13.914.215.6
Arsenal1.82.02.0
1.82.02.0
28.229.031.0
Tottenham0.20.30.9
0.20.30.9
61.053.239.3
8.48.17.4
Wolfsburg61.962.264.1
Week of 3/19
Arsenal vs Manchester UnitedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United33.440.453.3
33.440.453.3
1.00.50.1
2.92.52.0
Liverpool16.215.012.2
16.215.012.2
5.54.94.6
Manchester City16.115.112.2
16.115.112.2
5.54.94.6
Chelsea9.48.66.7
9.48.66.7
8.77.97.4
FC Bayern8.98.16.3
8.98.16.3
10.910.09.4
PSG6.66.14.8
6.66.14.8
14.613.412.6
Real Madrid5.04.53.4
5.04.53.4
15.714.513.7
Arsenal3.51.40.6
3.51.40.6
20.431.137.7
6.27.07.4
Tottenham0.60.50.4
0.60.50.4
52.950.448.8
8.07.97.9
Wolfsburg64.862.461.0
8.68.58.4
Manchester City vs FC BayernHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.644.143.2
41.644.143.2
Liverpool13.914.914.6
13.914.914.6
4.9*5.05.1
Manchester City20.712.78.9
20.712.78.9
2.25.17.8
3.54.34.8
Chelsea7.88.68.4
7.88.68.4
7.9*8.08.1
FC Bayern4.06.412.0
4.06.412.0
14.610.65.4
5.75.24.3
PSG5.66.15.9
5.66.15.9
13.4*13.613.8
Real Madrid4.14.54.3
4.14.54.3
14.4*14.614.9
Arsenal1.82.12.0
1.82.12.0
29.2*29.429.8
Tottenham50.450.651.2
Wolfsburg62.562.663.3
PSG vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United43.644.041.2
43.644.041.2
Liverpool9.012.620.6
9.012.620.6
7.95.12.1
4.84.33.5
Manchester City14.714.813.7
14.714.813.7
5.1*5.04.9
Chelsea8.48.67.8
8.48.67.8
8.37.97.8
FC Bayern7.88.07.3
7.88.07.3
10.410.09.9
PSG9.34.72.8
9.34.72.8
7.714.319.2
4.85.66.2
Real Madrid4.44.54.0
4.44.54.0
14.914.514.3
Arsenal2.02.01.8
2.02.01.8
30.129.328.9
Tottenham51.550.650.1
Wolfsburg63.562.662.2
Chelsea vs TottenhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United41.243.443.9
41.243.443.9
0.50.50.6
2.52.42.4
Liverpool13.714.714.9
13.714.714.9
4.74.95.5
Manchester City13.714.614.9
13.714.614.9
4.64.95.4
Chelsea12.46.84.7
12.46.84.7
3.57.912.6
4.14.95.4
FC Bayern7.37.87.9
7.37.87.9
9.59.910.9
PSG5.45.96.0
5.45.96.0
12.813.314.5
Real Madrid4.04.44.5
4.04.44.5
13.814.315.6
Arsenal1.82.02.0
1.82.02.0
28.129.031.1
Tottenham0.20.30.9
0.20.30.9
60.853.239.5
8.48.17.4
Wolfsburg61.762.364.2
Wolfsburg vs Real MadridHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Title100.0*League 1100.0*Average seed
Manchester United43.543.141.9
43.543.141.9
Liverpool14.714.514.0
14.714.514.0
5.44.84.8
4.14.14.2
Manchester City14.614.514.0
14.614.514.0
5.44.84.7
Chelsea8.48.37.9
8.48.37.9
8.57.77.7
FC Bayern7.97.87.4
7.97.87.4
10.79.89.7
PSG5.95.95.6
5.95.95.6
14.413.213.0
Real Madrid2.23.46.8
2.23.46.8
21.814.77.4
6.35.85.0
Arsenal2.0*1.91.9
2.0*1.91.9
30.728.828.6
Tottenham51.750.050.2
Wolfsburg0.40.10.0
0.40.10.0
51.065.573.3
8.08.68.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kai for adding this league.