Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsQualifyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPI1/22
ItaliaWMalta 2-1237-2-11494.6%+11.594.6%+11.55935501.5+0.202BangladeshItalia
ScotlandWBahrain 1-0226-4-0890.5+15.690.5+15.639518101.7+0.251at CyprusScotland
PanamaLCyprus 1-3165-1-449.5-24.19.5-24.118483093103.5-0.513at TounesPanama
CyprusWPanama 3-1154-3-3-25.4-0.15.4-0.1053143145203.9+0.804ScotlandCyprus
BahrainLScotland 0-1103-1-610.0-1.80.0-1.80410302419145.9-0.416MaltaBahrain
TounesTBangladesh 0-092-3-5-9Out-0.2No-0.226182324266.4+0.045PanamaTounes
MaltaLItalia 1-293-0-7-11Out-0.7No-0.716182324276.4-0.397at BahrainMalta
BangladeshTTounes 0-082-2-6-5Out-0.1No-0.113112231336.8+0.028at ItaliaBangladesh

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/15
Panama 1 Cyprus 3
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia+3.9
+3.9
+0.1
Scotland+4.2
+4.2
+0.1
Panama-15.2
-15.2
-0.6
Cyprus+6.6
+6.6
+0.7
Bahrain+0.2
+0.2
-0.1
Tounes-0.1
Malta+0.2
+0.2
-0.1
Bangladesh-0.1
Scotland 1 Bahrain 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia-2.5
-2.5
-0.1
Scotland+14.0
+14.0
+0.4
Panama-7.1
-7.1
-0.1
Cyprus-2.1
-2.1
+0.1
Bahrain-1.7
-1.7
-0.6
Tounes-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Malta-0.3
-0.3
+0.1
Bangladesh-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Malta 1 Italia 2
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia+9.9
+9.9
+0.3
Scotland-2.6
-2.6
-0.1
Panama-5.3
-5.3
-0.1
Cyprus-0.9
-0.9
+0.1
Bahrain-0.4
-0.4
+0.1
Tounes-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Malta-0.6
-0.6
-0.5
Bangladesh+0.1
Bangladesh 0 Tounes 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia+0.1
+0.1
Scotland+0.1
+0.1
Panama+0.1
+0.1
Cyprus+0.1
Bahrain+0.1
Tounes-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Malta+0.1
Bangladesh-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Week of 1/22
Cyprus vs ScotlandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia93.795.295.0
93.795.295.0
1.41.41.6
Scotland80.293.198.6
80.293.198.6
2.01.71.5
Panama12.59.96.2
12.59.96.2
3.63.43.4
Cyprus13.51.90.2
13.51.90.2
3.44.04.3
Bahrain0.0OutOut
0.0NoNo
5.95.95.8
Tounes6.56.46.3
Malta6.56.46.4
Tounes vs PanamaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia97.495.790.8
97.495.790.8
1.41.51.5
Scotland93.892.185.8
93.892.185.8
1.71.71.8
Panama2.76.418.9
2.76.418.9
3.93.53.0
Cyprus6.05.74.5
6.05.74.5
3.83.84.0
Bahrain6.05.85.8
Tounes5.86.56.9
Malta6.66.46.3
Bangladesh6.96.76.6
Italia vs BangladeshHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Italia99.0*94.690.2
99.0*94.690.2
1.31.51.6
Scotland89.9*90.591.1
89.9*90.591.1
1.91.71.6
Panama6.69.612.4
6.69.612.4
Cyprus4.55.36.4
4.55.36.4
Bahrain5.75.86.0
Tounes6.26.46.6
Malta6.36.46.6
Bangladesh7.36.96.2
Bahrain vs MaltaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Panama3.53.43.5
Cyprus3.93.83.9
Bahrain0.0OutOut
0.0NoNo
5.15.96.6
Tounes6.46.36.4
Malta7.16.65.7
Bangladesh6.86.76.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you DogNatural for adding this league.