Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
Dolphins7823711-4051100.0%-0.06620831000000000000001.6-0.023at CrusadersVictoria Dolphins
DaredevilsWSeagull 4-27713814-1040100.0+0.063209421100000000000001.7+0.251Niagara Falls Daredevils
WildcatsLBlades 1-37212910-14025100.01226241795321000000000003.3-0.348Portland Wildcats
SurgeWTimber 7-17033314-4025100.0+0.012262316106321100000000003.4+0.355Seattle Surge
BladesWWildcats 3-16922912-11022100.0+0.07182120138532110000000004.1+0.4014at ManiaxSan Jose Blades
Crusaders7023315-402599.9-0.015251812964322111000000003.8-0.022DolphinsChelsea Crusaders
DestroyersLBulldogs 2-3713417-302099.9-0.0122118141075432111000000004.2-0.444Buffalo Destroyers
ExpressWStorm 2-16612916-801099.2+0.538111211109876543211000006.6+0.6811Birmingham Express
Buzzards6322716-901199.2+0.0137111414121086432211000007.0-0.0517Transcona Buzzards
Werewolves6222919-40498.6+0.102591213121197543221100007.7-0.0315Wichita Werewolves
Maniax6222818-60398.6+0.012591213121197643221100007.7-0.0418BladesMarion Maniax
StormLExpress 1-26333018-301898.4-0.5279101099876554322100007.4-0.6610Slemon Park Storm
Grenades6122819-50597.8+0.0024710121211108654322110008.3-0.0421Grenada Grenades
LeopardsLRoadhogs 4-5 (so)6322918-50497.8+0.01578999887665432110008.1-0.0113SeagullLondon Leopards
SoundWIcedogs 3-2 (ot)6123021-102895.6+1.91346788888876654211009.4+0.709Long Island Sound
SeagullLDaredevils 2-46122617-901195.2-1.51246778888877654311009.5-0.7619at LeopardsSt Johns Seagull
BulldogsWDestroyers 3-26122819-50695.1+2.01246778888877654311009.6+0.7112Riverview Bulldogs
Rockets6112921-30493.3-0.502345678888887653210010.3-0.096Montreal Rockets
Komets6022820-401293.1-0.502346677888887653210010.2-0.097Springfield Komets
Starrs6022719-60993.0-0.602345677888887654210010.3-0.1016Toronto Starrs
Colts5822418-100293.0+0.100135791010109876543211010.3-0.0132at BlackKnightsAmarillo Colts
Knights5932416-1101092.7-0.402356677888887654210010.3-0.0924MillionairesNewport Knights
GemsLBroncos 3-45632419-80389.9-2.000124678999887654321011.0-0.6431IceDayton Gems
SundogsWIcehawks 5-2582723-40-488.3+5.400113568999988765321011.6+0.8029Santa Monica Sundogs
IcedogsLSound 2-3 (ot)602519-100-887.8-0.201123456778999986421011.8-0.0727Chatham Icedogs
Dragons5612522-60-983.1+0.300012356789998876542012.428Dundurn Dragons
BroncosWGems 4-35512624-30-478.4+6.900011345678999887653013.0+0.7523Calgary Broncos
Outlaws5712723-30-1077.5-1.300112234567891011109742113.3-0.1120Summerside Outlaws
Stingrays5522320-90-371.0-1.600011233456789111111863114.0-0.1226at TitansSt. Thomas Stingrays
Ice5222424-40-265.6+0.400001123456789999997014.4+0.0230at GemsMystery Ice
TimberLSurge 1-75122324-50-158.8-6.20000011234567891010111010015.1-0.6440LeafsColorado Springs Timber
Rockies5022224-60-1450.4+0.40000011223456781011121314015.8+0.0235Nevada Rockies
BlackKnights4932224-50-1250.1+0.5000001122345678910121315015.8+0.0339ColtsTucson BlackKnights
Titans4932123-70-1649.6+0.3000001122345678911121315015.8+0.0134StingraysLake Louise Titans
Leafs5022022-100-2149.6+0.4000001122345678911121315015.8+0.0237at TimberLancaster Park Leafs
IcehawksLSundogs 2-55112426-30-3549.0-6.50000011123456791011121315015.9-0.5933Kansas City Icehawks
RoadhogsWLeopards 5-4 (so)5042323-40-1747.5+6.0000001112234579111414128516.0+0.4822Crapaud Roadhogs
Cyclones5012326-40-1627.9-1.30000000011123469131717151017.5-0.0925Charlottetown Cyclones
Panthers4812126-60-1516.9-1.10000000000112246101520211718.4-0.0836Freetown Panthers
IcemenWWolves 4-34531824-90-4811.9+2.3000000000001123581218242718.9+0.2941Detroit Icemen
WolvesLIcemen 3-44512028-50-396.3-3.300000000000001235916253919.6-0.3838Pittsburgh Wolves
Millionaires282933-100-740.0+0.0000000000000019921.042at KnightsVancouver Millionaires

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Sundogs 5 Icehawks 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sundogs+5.3
+0.8
Dragons*+0.1
Broncos*+0.2
Ice+0.3
Timber*+0.2
Rockies*+0.2
BlackKnights+0.3
Titans*+0.2
Leafs*+0.2
Icehawks-7.1
-0.6
Broncos 4 Gems 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems-2.7
-0.7
Sundogs-0.3
Dragons-0.3
Broncos+6.6
+0.8
Ice*-0.2
Timber-0.4
Rockies-0.4
BlackKnights-0.5
Titans-0.5
Leafs-0.6
Icehawks-0.4
Roadhogs 5 Leopards 4 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards*+0.2
*+0.0
Sound*-0.3
Bulldogs*-0.4
Rockets*-0.4
Komets*-0.4
Starrs-0.7
Icedogs-0.7
Outlaws-0.8
Stingrays*-0.6
Roadhogs+6.0
+0.5
Cyclones*-0.2
Panthers*-0.5
Icemen*-0.5
Wolves*-0.6
Surge 7 Timber 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge+0.4
Colts+0.2
Gems+0.2
Sundogs+0.4
Dragons+0.4
Broncos+0.5
Ice+0.6
Timber-6.0
-0.6
Rockies+0.7
BlackKnights+0.6
Titans+0.7
Leafs+0.6
Icehawks+0.6
Icemen 4 Wolves 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icemen+3.3
+0.4
Wolves-2.9
-0.3
Icedogs 2 Sound 3 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sound+2.2
+0.8
Icedogs*+0.2
*-0.0
Stingrays-1.2
Roadhogs*-0.4
Cyclones*+0.2
Destroyers 2 Bulldogs 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Destroyers-0.4
Bulldogs+2.5
+0.8
Icedogs-0.2
Outlaws*-0.2
Stingrays-0.3
Roadhogs-0.4
Cyclones-0.3
Panthers-0.3
Storm 1 Express 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express+0.6
+0.8
Storm-0.5
-0.7
Daredevils 4 Seagull 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DaredevilsIn
+0.2
Seagull-1.1
-0.7
Wildcats 1 Blades 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats-0.3
Blades+0.5
Saturday
Titans vs StingraysIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws78.1*77.778.076.576.7
13.3*13.413.3*13.413.4
Stingrays65.4*71.865.977.077.5
14.6*13.914.513.313.2
Ice64.864.666.1*65.366.3
14.514.514.4*14.414.4
Rockies49.5*50.151.1*50.051.1
15.815.815.715.815.7
BlackKnights49.3*49.250.8*50.350.9
15.9*15.915.8*15.815.7
Titans57.157.043.8*50.043.1
15.215.216.3*15.816.4
Leafs48.8*48.750.5*49.350.3
15.915.915.8*15.915.8
Icehawks48.247.949.7*48.549.6
16.0*16.015.9*15.915.9
Roadhogs48.3*47.248.4*46.746.6
16.0*16.016.0*16.016.1
Cyclones28.6*28.028.827.027.0
17.5*17.517.5*17.617.6
Timber vs LeafsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Broncos*78.377.379.4*77.9*78.4
*13.013.113.013.1*13.0
Ice*65.5*65.166.764.6*65.5
Timber67.165.853.1*58.051.5
14.314.415.6*15.115.7
Rockies*50.449.151.9*49.6*50.2
15.815.915.7*15.815.8
Leafs42.1*48.944.656.858.0
16.5*15.916.315.215.2
Gems vs IceHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems93.493.187.8*90.286.7
10.210.311.5*11.011.7
Dragons83.4*82.983.782.182.8
12.4*12.512.312.512.4
Broncos78.7*77.979.077.178.1
13.0*13.113.013.113.0
Ice59.2*66.160.472.272.8
15.114.414.913.813.7
BlackKnights50.549.051.249.149.6
15.8*15.915.715.915.8
Leafs50.0*48.950.348.549.2
15.8*15.915.8*15.915.9
BlackKnights vs ColtsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts90.4*93.391.295.695.7
10.9*10.210.89.69.5
Ice64.964.566.5*64.966.2
14.414.514.3*14.514.4
BlackKnights57.857.044.2*50.243.4
15.115.216.315.916.4
Titans49.148.450.4*49.050.1
15.915.915.815.915.8
Leafs49.0*48.950.7*49.850.0
15.9*15.915.715.815.8
Knights vs MillionairesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights95.294.990.893.490.5
9.59.610.910.211.0
Leopards vs SeagullHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards98.898.897.1*98.096.9
7.37.48.7*8.18.8
Seagull93.695.693.797.197.1
10.3*9.510.18.88.7
Maniax vs BladesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades4.5*4.14.43.83.7
Maniax99.299.298.0*98.798.0
7.07.18.27.78.3
Crusaders vs DolphinsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders100.0In*99.9*99.999.9
3.33.34.2*3.84.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.