Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
BlackKnights29146-101399.7%+0.122171411975433211100000004.3+0.056.607GrenadesTucson BlackKnights
WerewolvesWMillionaires 2-129146-101499.6+0.520171311976433221110000004.4+0.8911.607Wichita Werewolves
BladesLStarrs 2-4263124-20999.6-0.222171311875433221110000004.4-0.8110.610San Jose Blades
BroncosLDestroyers 2-3 (so)252126-10998.7+0.3101111111087655432211100006.0+0.104.591IcehawksCalgary Broncos
CyclonesWRockets 4-1272135-101598.7+1.220151210876543322111100005.0+0.681.609at OutlawsCharlottetown Cyclones
SundogsLLeopards 4-5243104-40798.6-0.510111110987655433211100006.1-0.8921.592KometsSanta Monica Sundogs
DestroyersWBroncos 3-2 (so)263113-401098.5+1.219141210876543322211100005.2+0.622.610at ColtsBuffalo Destroyers
KnightsWSound 4-3253125-10396.9+1.91211109877655433222111006.4+0.6612.601Newport Knights
OutlawsWIcedogs 6-1252126-101095.5+3.09999877665544332211007.3+0.903.591CyclonesSummerside Outlaws
LeopardsWSundogs 5-4243115-201395.2+2.98998877665544332211107.4+0.808.592at TitansLondon Leopards
IcemenWTimber 3-1243126-00995.1+2.98998877665544332211107.4+0.815.592Detroit Icemen
ColtsWManiax 2-1 (ot)231118-10394.0+4.73456778877766543221109.0+1.2413.564DestroyersAmarillo Colts
Wildcats231107-30993.7+0.72456778887766543321109.1+0.0729.564at BuzzardsPortland Wildcats
DolphinsWIcehawks 4-1222107-20993.7+4.93456778877766543321109.1+1.2526.565SeagullVictoria Dolphins
ManiaxLColts 1-2 (ot)231107-30-293.0+0.62456677887776554321109.4-0.0330.564Marion Maniax
CrusadersWLeafs 8-2251116-30692.5+4.35677777766655443321108.6+0.967.582at PanthersChelsea Crusaders
Surge221108-20-190.0+1.013445677777776654321010.3+0.0920.555LeafsSeattle Surge
LeafsLCrusaders 2-8212108-10-689.1-3.312345667777777654321010.5-1.1817.556at SurgeLancaster Park Leafs
ExpressWRockies 4-22595-70-788.9+5.23456667776666554432119.7+0.9128.572at WolvesBirmingham Express
IceWTitans 4-320397-20-488.9+6.512345667777777654321110.5+1.1422.557Mystery Ice
RocketsLCyclones 1-4223106-20488.6-4.13556666666666554432219.7-1.649.575at BulldogsMontreal Rockets
SeagullWStorm 3-122395-40488.0+5.33455666666666554432219.8+0.8824.575at DolphinsSt Johns Seagull
BuzzardsWDragons 4-3 (so)20298-20-883.4+9.111234456677888776532111.7+1.2432.548WildcatsTranscona Buzzards
Panthers231107-30-382.5-0.223345556666766665443111.2-0.3118.564CrusadersFreetown Panthers
Gems18487-20682.1+1.711234456677788776542111.9+0.1236.550at StormDayton Gems
IcedogsLOutlaws 1-6213107-10-581.5-6.223344556666666665543211.3-1.6915.566at StarrsChatham Icedogs
Komets19585-30481.1-0.223344556666666665543211.3-0.2823.568at SundogsSpringfield Komets
MillionairesLWerewolves 1-220188-40-578.3-5.001123345667788887643112.6-1.0334.538Vancouver Millionaires
Wolves23108-30-477.3+0.312234455666777776654212.1-0.1716.554ExpressPittsburgh Wolves
BulldogsLStingrays 2-3221119-00-675.7-7.112233445566777777654212.4-1.5514.555RocketsRiverview Bulldogs
StingraysWBulldogs 3-220287-40367.0+9.211122334455667788876413.5+0.9827.548St. Thomas Stingrays
IcehawksLDolphins 1-4172810-10-1257.9-7.900011122345678910101098515.0-0.9735.521at BroncosKansas City Icehawks
DaredevilsLGrenades 1-419299-10355.7-11.1011112233445677899109714.9-1.5019.539Niagara Falls Daredevils
DragonsLBuzzards 3-4 (so)153710-10-1347.8+2.3000011122344578911121210815.9+0.1338.514Dundurn Dragons
StarrsWBlades 4-218289-20047.3+10.9001111223344567891011121015.8+1.0325.530IcedogsToronto Starrs
TitansLIce 3-4162710-20-1047.2-7.3000011122334578911121211816.0-0.7839.513LeopardsLake Louise Titans
SoundLKnights 3-417279-30-1138.0-9.2000011112233456791113151516.7-1.0233.521RoadhogsLong Island Sound
StormLSeagull 1-317279-30-937.1-9.9000011112233456791113151616.8-1.0831.521GemsSlemon Park Storm
RockiesLExpress 2-4142611-20-1128.9-7.60000000111223467101215171717.6-0.7041.495Nevada Rockies
TimberLIcemen 1-3141612-20-1821.2-6.4000000001112234681115202418.3-0.6137.485Colorado Springs Timber
Roadhogs12559-20-1019.0-0.100000001111223456912193518.6-0.0140.507at SoundCrapaud Roadhogs
GrenadesWDaredevils 4-114512-40-1814.6+6.0000000000011223571014213318.9+0.6742.476at BlackKnightsGrenada Grenades

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Daredevils 1 Grenades 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolves+0.3
Stingrays+0.4
Daredevils-5.1
-0.7
Sound+0.6
Storm+0.5
Grenades+2.5
+0.3
Rockies 2 Express 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express+3.2
+0.7
Buzzards+0.3
Gems+0.4
Icehawks+0.4
Dragons+0.4
Titans+0.4
Storm-0.3
Rockies-4.1
-0.4
Timber+0.4
Blades 2 Starrs 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades-0.4
Crusaders-0.2
Seagull-0.3
Stingrays-0.7
Daredevils-0.5
Starrs+6.2
+0.6
Sound-0.5
Storm-0.6
Stingrays 3 Bulldogs 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs-3.0
-0.6
Stingrays+5.2
+0.6
Daredevils-0.2
Starrs-0.2
Sound-0.2
Storm-0.2
Timber 1 Icemen 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icemen+1.7
+0.6
Buzzards+0.3
Icehawks+0.4
Dragons+0.4
Titans+0.3
Rockies+0.3
Timber-3.5
-0.3
Icehawks 1 Dolphins 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins+2.7
+0.7
Gems*+0.1
Icehawks-4.6
-0.5
Dragons*+0.2
Titans*+0.2
Rockies+0.3
Ice 4 Titans 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice+3.2
+0.6
Millionaires*+0.1
Icehawks*+0.1
Titans-4.2
-0.4
Dragons 3 Buzzards 4 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buzzards+4.0
+0.6
Millionaires*-0.4
Dragons*-0.2
*-0.0
Titans*+0.2
Rockies*-0.7
Seagull 3 Storm 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seagull+3.1
+0.6
Stingrays*+0.1
Sound*+0.1
Storm-4.1
-0.4
Knights 4 Sound 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights+1.2
+0.5
Wolves+0.2
Stingrays+0.2
Starrs+0.2
Sound-3.8
-0.4
Leafs 2 Crusaders 8
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+2.7
+0.7
Leafs-1.7
-0.6
Millionaires 1 Werewolves 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Werewolves+0.3
+0.5
Millionaires-2.8
-0.5
Icehawks+0.2
Dragons+0.3
Icedogs 1 Outlaws 6
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws+2.0
+0.7
Icedogs-2.5
-0.7
Maniax 1 Colts 2 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts+2.5
+0.7
Maniax*-0.1
*-0.1
Leopards 5 Sundogs 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sundogs-0.3
-0.4
Leopards+1.8
+0.6
Rockets 1 Cyclones 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cyclones+0.8
+0.6
Rockets-1.7
-0.6
Destroyers 3 Broncos 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Broncos*+0.1
Destroyers+0.8
+0.5
Friday
Storm vs GemsIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems79.3*82.679.385.885.5
12.4*11.912.411.211.3
Storm42.042.132.6*37.032.6
16.316.317.216.817.2
Starrs vs IcedogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icedogs78.3*81.679.185.085.3
11.9*11.311.810.610.6
Starrs52.752.343.2*47.642.4
15.215.316.2*15.816.3
Titans vs LeopardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards94.0*95.394.096.496.4
8.0*7.47.96.96.9
Titans52.752.343.0*47.843.0
15.515.516.416.016.4
Sound vs RoadhogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sound42.842.433.6*37.332.7
16.216.317.116.817.2
Roadhogs16.0*19.516.622.923.3
18.9*18.518.818.218.1
Broncos vs IcehawksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icehawks54.459.054.563.563.9
15.414.915.314.414.3
Bulldogs vs RocketsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets86.4*88.886.891.091.3
10.3*9.710.29.09.0
Bulldogs79.879.672.0*75.671.7
11.711.712.9*12.413.0
Wolves vs ExpressHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express86.7*89.187.291.391.7
10.3*9.710.29.09.0
Wolves81.380.973.8*77.373.4
11.511.512.712.212.8
Sundogs vs KometsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Komets78.581.978.884.884.9
11.811.211.710.610.5
Dolphins vs SeagullHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins95.295.092.3*93.892.1
8.68.69.6*9.19.7
Seagull85.9*88.486.090.190.8
10.4*9.810.39.29.1
Panthers vs CrusadersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders90.9*92.791.294.494.5
9.2*8.69.17.97.9
Panthers85.885.679.5*82.779.3
10.510.511.711.211.8
Buzzards vs WildcatsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats92.2*93.992.795.495.5
9.7*9.19.58.58.5
Buzzards86.786.180.7*83.780.3
11.111.212.2*11.712.3
Surge vs LeafsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge92.392.087.9*90.287.7
9.79.810.8*10.310.9
Leafs87.1*89.487.491.691.9
11.0*10.410.99.89.8
BlackKnights vs GrenadesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grenades12.815.512.818.618.7
19.118.819.118.518.5
Colts vs DestroyersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts95.595.792.794.592.6
8.48.49.59.09.5
Outlaws vs CyclonesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws96.796.794.6*95.594.4
6.76.77.8*7.37.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.