Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Destroyers9924717-5047In97300001.01.692Buffalo Destroyers
Rockies9334419-5032In80134200001.3-0.052.663IcehawksNevada Rockies
Rockets9124119-9022In35824104100000002.6-0.013.643Montreal Rockets
TitansWIcehawks 3-28834020-8034In9342519121000002.9+0.237.632LeafsLake Louise Titans
Wildcats8914425-1025In4222826172000003.4-0.144.623Portland Wildcats
DolphinsWDragons 3-2 (so)8644122-4022In419242622310000003.5+0.306.627DragonsVictoria Dolphins
Knights8823920-10034In0173126156311000003.8-0.048.624Newport Knights
RoadhogsLCrusaders 2-3 (so)8644021-6028In01526251784211000004.1-0.055.627BuzzardsCrapaud Roadhogs
LeafsLManiax 3-4 (so)8533720-11035In211172537610000004.1-0.1616.613at TitansLancaster Park Leafs
CrusadersWRoadhogs 3-2 (so)8353821-7026In+0.0061422231485321100005.2+0.5611.616at GrenadesChelsea Crusaders
StarrsLCyclones 1-2 (so)843825-8011In0015111817151296310007.6-0.2110.586Toronto Starrs
Komets8223825-6020In+0.00025111717151296420007.6-0.139.588Springfield Komets
StormLSound 2-38113726-704In+0.00025101315151512841008.9-0.8314.575Slemon Park Storm
Stingrays8223724-8011100.0%00148131515141296310008.2-0.1415.588St. Thomas Stingrays
SoundWStorm 3-2823827-608100.0+0.00013712151616149510009.2+0.5212.574Long Island Sound
Panthers7823728-406100.0+0.00001357101317191672000010.9-0.2513.563Freetown Panthers
CyclonesWStarrs 2-1 (so)7733627-507100.0+0.2000124791317201782000011.0+0.5417.564at ColtsCharlottetown Cyclones
Surge7723527-70599.9-0.000002192219141064211000008.2+0.0220.557Seattle Surge
OutlawsWLeopards 4-27633628-40099.9+0.60000123581219261751000012.1+0.3418.558Summerside Outlaws
GemsLTimber 1-47383424-50999.8-0.10001425191511864321000008.1-0.7321.574Dayton Gems
DragonsLDolphins 2-3 (so)7373122-110499.7+0.10001424201612864321000008.1+0.0225.567at DolphinsDundurn Dragons
Werewolves7523529-50599.4-0.100006111416151210743100009.9-0.0219.545Wichita Werewolves
BuzzardsWBroncos 3-17353528-301499.2+1.0000011014151513108642110009.5+0.7423.553at RoadhogsTranscona Buzzards
TimberWGems 4-17513429-70-1298.5+2.700025812141614118531000011.2+0.9424.538Colorado Springs Timber
Bulldogs7333429-50-998.4+0.70000001124919391841000013.6-0.1722.539WolvesRiverview Bulldogs
BroncosLBuzzards 1-37413228-100-1496.9-1.400013691214151311852100011.8-0.8228.532Calgary Broncos
Sundogs7123230-70-1188.0-0.800001346911141514117410013.4-0.1031.520Santa Monica Sundogs
IcedogsWSeagull 5-47033028-100-1286.6+13.700000001261841188410015.1+0.5029.521Chatham Icedogs
BlackKnights7033230-60-284.3-1.100001246811131414129520013.7-0.1330.521IceTucson BlackKnights
Grenades6942927-110-1577.8-1.600001134691114151412730014.3-0.1436.521CrusadersGrenada Grenades
Colts6833030-80-763.8-2.70000112358111417171361015.4-0.1533.508CyclonesAmarillo Colts
SeagullLIcedogs 4-56813032-80-1450.5-4.600000141631241573116.7-0.2732.496St Johns Seagull
ManiaxWLeafs 4-3 (so)6642829-100-2048.6+13.10000011246812151918113016.2+0.7035.502Marion Maniax
LeopardsLOutlaws 2-46623134-40-2931.6-6.300000029212522137217.3-0.3026.490London Leopards
Ice6623033-60-930.4-1.60000011358121925205017.1-0.0934.490at BlackKnightsMystery Ice
DaredevilsLMillionaires 1-3663136-40-424.1-6.700016182425168317.6-0.3227.477Niagara Falls Daredevils
IcehawksLTitans 2-36432832-80-4512.5-7.70000000123611203618218.3-0.5338.484at RockiesKansas City Icehawks
Wolves6222633-100-293.7+0.900001371323292619.4+0.1040.465at BulldogsPittsburgh Wolves
Express6312835-70-303.3+0.90000371324282519.4+0.1037.465Birmingham Express
Icemen6122634-90-512.0+0.5000024916254319.9+0.0839.459Detroit Icemen
MillionairesWDaredevils 3-16032533-100-491.2+0.500000000012618561719.8+0.2241.459Vancouver Millionaires
Blades5722335-110-470.0-0.000000002178020.8-0.0842.435San Jose Blades

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
Icedogs 5 Seagull 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icedogs+9.8
+0.4
Seagull-10.9
-0.4
Leopards+0.4
Daredevils+0.5
Express+0.1
Maniax 4 Leafs 3 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leafs-0.0
Buzzards-0.3
Timber-0.5
Broncos-0.3
Sundogs-1.0
BlackKnights-1.2
Grenades-1.5
Colts-2.5
Maniax+10.7
+0.6
Ice-1.8
Icehawks-1.4
Millionaires 3 Daredevils 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders*In
Bulldogs+0.3
Icedogs+2.1
Seagull+2.9
Leopards+2.4
Daredevils-8.7
-0.4
Wolves+0.3
Express+0.3
Icemen+0.2
Millionaires+0.5
+0.2
Outlaws 4 Leopards 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws+0.6
+0.4
Bulldogs+0.3
Icedogs+1.7
Seagull+2.4
Leopards-7.8
-0.3
Daredevils+2.0
Wolves+0.3
Express+0.3
Icemen+0.2
Icehawks 2 Titans 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans+0.3
Timber+0.3
Sundogs+0.6
BlackKnights+0.6
Grenades+0.9
Colts+1.0
Maniax+0.8
Ice+0.9
Icehawks-5.5
-0.3
Gems 1 Timber 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems-0.5
Timber+2.8
+0.9
Broncos-0.1
Sundogs-0.3
BlackKnights-0.3
Grenades-0.3
Colts-0.4
Maniax-0.4
Ice-0.4
Icehawks-0.4
Buzzards 3 Broncos 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buzzards+1.1
+0.7
Broncos-0.9
-0.6
Starrs 1 Cyclones 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Starrs-0.1
Komets-0.0
Stingrays-0.1
Sound-0.1
Panthers-0.1
Cyclones+0.2
+0.6
Dragons 2 Dolphins 3 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins+0.3
Dragons+0.0
Sound 3 Storm 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Komets*In
Storm-0.6
Sound+0.7
Crusaders 3 Roadhogs 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Roadhogs-0.0
Crusaders+0.5
Sunday
BlackKnights vs IceIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sundogs88.386.989.386.687.4
13.513.513.313.513.4
BlackKnights91.490.479.483.475.5
13.013.114.413.814.5
Grenades78.276.479.875.876.9
14.414.414.214.414.3
Colts64.262.766.261.462.7
15.415.415.215.515.4
Maniax48.947.451.246.447.7
16.216.216.116.316.2
Ice21.5*30.224.441.343.6
17.617.117.516.616.5
Icehawks12.612.013.811.612.1
18.318.318.218.418.4
Colts vs CyclonesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cyclones11.511.011.510.410.4
Sundogs86.886.988.887.788.9
13.513.513.413.413.4
BlackKnights83.083.185.3*84.485.4
13.813.813.6*13.713.6
Grenades76.076.279.177.279.2
14.414.414.314.414.3
Colts74.874.455.465.154.7
14.714.715.915.315.9
Maniax46.246.250.5*48.450.6
16.316.316.116.216.1
Ice28.328.531.930.032.1
17.217.217.117.217.1
Icehawks11.411.213.4*12.613.4
18.418.418.318.318.3
Grenades vs CrusadersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders5.65.25.64.74.7
Grenades86.786.571.979.271.4
13.513.614.914.314.9
Colts62.062.064.9*63.465.0
15.515.515.315.415.3
Maniax46.746.849.9*48.450.0
16.316.316.1*16.216.1
Ice28.828.731.5*30.231.5
17.217.217.1*17.117.1
Rockies vs IcehawksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grenades78.3*77.578.376.576.4
14.314.414.314.414.4
Colts64.463.264.361.962.2
15.315.415.315.515.4
Maniax49.248.149.147.447.0
16.116.216.216.316.3
Icehawks9.214.99.520.821.2
18.518.118.517.817.7
Bulldogs vs WolvesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs99.499.397.3*98.497.1
13.313.314.013.714.0
Wolves1.9*3.62.16.56.8
19.719.319.719.019.0
Roadhogs vs BuzzardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Roadhogs3.73.84.54.14.5
Buzzards98.999.598.999.899.8
10.09.49.98.88.7
Dolphins vs DragonsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins3.33.33.83.63.9
Dragons99.699.899.699.999.9
8.58.08.57.57.5
Titans vs LeafsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans2.62.73.13.03.3
Leafs4.44.14.33.83.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.