"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
DestroyersWWildcats 6-5 (so)431215-1025100.0%651884211000000000001.7+0.241.670Buffalo Destroyers
RoadhogsLStorm 1-3363176-2013100.0-0.0132318131075432110000000004.0-0.736.628at CyclonesCrapaud Roadhogs
Titans373175-3018100.0-0.030221611753211100000000003.1-0.143.637at GemsLake Louise Titans
DragonsLSurge 3-4 (so)364164-401599.9+0.030221611753211100000000003.1-0.132.638RockiesDundurn Dragons
CrusadersWKomets 3-1353166-301499.9+0.181817141197543211000000004.7+0.6010.619at BuzzardsChelsea Crusaders
DolphinsWLeafs 2-1 (ot)363176-201899.9+0.120201713975322110000000003.8+0.444.628Victoria Dolphins
KnightsWCyclones 4-2361156-601599.8+0.1513141412108754321100000005.5+0.4919.608Newport Knights
OutlawsLSound 1-5342168-20299.6-0.239111212119875432111000006.3-1.1013.601Summerside Outlaws
RockiesLManiax 2-3 (so)343167-202199.5+0.091214141298653321110000005.3-0.197.610at DragonsNevada Rockies
BulldogsWColts 2-1 (so)341169-20599.3+0.326810111110987643221000007.2+0.5216.591at IcemenRiverview Bulldogs
WildcatsLDestroyers 5-6 (so)351710-10998.6+0.047911111110876543211100006.8-0.175.590Portland Wildcats
RocketsWWerewolves 2-1 (so)313148-30298.6+0.81468910101098765322100008.1+0.6914.584at SoundMontreal Rockets
Stingrays313148-30598.5-0.3146899101098765422100008.1-0.2820.584ManiaxSt. Thomas Stingrays
StormWRoadhogs 3-13211510-20-498.4+0.9135789101099865432100008.4+0.698.573at BlackKnightsSlemon Park Storm
SurgeWDragons 4-3 (so)3311610-10897.3+1.82479101010987654322110007.9+0.789.582Seattle Surge
KometsLCrusaders 1-33111410-30696.2-1.901345789910998653210009.9-1.2417.565Springfield Komets
WerewolvesLRockets 1-2 (so)312149-301195.4-0.31357899988765433211008.8-0.3112.574BladesWichita Werewolves
Buzzards3031510-001595.4-0.11357899988765433211008.8-0.1815.575CrusadersTranscona Buzzards
ManiaxWRockies 3-2 (so)312149-30294.6+2.81346789998766543221009.2+0.7811.574at StingraysMarion Maniax
SeagullLPanthers 2-32921411-10794.0-2.9012345689910998653210010.7-1.2918.557St Johns Seagull
StarrsWGems 5-4 (ot)2911311-30-391.2+2.800123456891010109865310011.5+0.5622.547Toronto Starrs
GrenadesWSundogs 5-2302128-60-1090.8+4.011345678888876554321010.4+0.7524.566Grenada Grenades
LeafsLDolphins 1-2 (ot)2921310-30687.9+0.201234567888887655321011.1-0.1421.557Lancaster Park Leafs
PanthersWSeagull 3-22721312-10282.4+4.5000112345689101111108531013.1+0.5432.539Freetown Panthers
BlackKnightsWIcehawks 3-22821210-40-179.7+6.500122345678888887643112.6+0.7633.548StormTucson BlackKnights
DaredevilsWIcedogs 6-5 (so)281313-20-179.7+4.7000112234679101112119631013.5+0.5025.529Niagara Falls Daredevils
SoundWOutlaws 5-12711212-30-378.5+6.20001122346791011121110631013.6+0.6526.530RocketsLong Island Sound
IceWMillionaires 3-1291211-50174.1+7.300112234567889998764113.4+0.7428.537Mystery Ice
SundogsLGrenades 2-52721110-50-173.4-7.800112334567889998764113.4-1.2337.539Santa Monica Sundogs
GemsLStarrs 4-5 (ot)2361110-10-471.1-0.100112234566788898865213.6-0.1123.543TitansDayton Gems
IcehawksLBlackKnights 2-32721211-30-970.3-8.600011234566789999875213.8-1.2427.539at IcedogsKansas City Icehawks
IcedogsLDaredevils 5-6 (so)2431011-40-567.9-2.70000111234578101213131063114.6-0.2531.523IcehawksChatham Icedogs
ExpressWBlades 3-12611112-40-867.4+4.60000011234578101213131063114.7+0.4036.521Birmingham Express
TimberWWolves 7-42711111-50-365.3+8.4000112234567889910986214.3+0.7834.530BroncosColorado Springs Timber
Broncos2421012-40-2641.8-1.0000001112234567911131413716.5-0.0729.513at TimberCalgary Broncos
ColtsLBulldogs 1-2 (so)2411114-20-135.3-0.8000000111223457911131616917.0-0.0430.503LeopardsAmarillo Colts
MillionairesLIce 1-32221014-20-1425.4-9.7000000001122345791217221417.8-0.7835.496Vancouver Millionaires
Icemen202814-40-2322.0-3.20000000000112358131920161017.9-0.0938.478BulldogsDetroit Icemen
CyclonesLKnights 2-4183815-20-2213.5-8.3000000000001123691622231718.6-0.5440.470RoadhogsCharlottetown Cyclones
Leopards173715-30-269.8-1.700000000000112481421252319.0+0.0139.462at ColtsLondon Leopards
BladesLExpress 1-3182614-60-294.2-2.9000000000000112359196020.1-0.3141.461at WerewolvesSan Jose Blades
WolvesLTimber 4-7162616-40-273.3-3.6000000000000123714254719.9-0.3742.443Pittsburgh Wolves

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Wolves 4 Timber 7
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BlackKnights-0.5
Ice-0.5
Sundogs-0.4
Gems-0.5
Timber+5.2
+0.5
Broncos-0.6
Colts-0.5
Millionaires-0.5
Wolves-1.5
-0.2
Express 3 Blades 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Panthers-0.4
Daredevils-0.5
Sound-0.6
Icedogs-0.5
Express+4.4
+0.4
Icemen-0.6
Cyclones-0.5
Blades-1.4
-0.2
Outlaws 1 Sound 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws-0.4
Panthers-0.6
Daredevils-0.6
Sound+5.5
+0.6
Icedogs-0.7
Express-0.8
Icemen-0.7
Ice 3 Millionaires 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice+5.0
+0.5
Colts-0.2
Millionaires-4.3
-0.4
Daredevils 6 Icedogs 5 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Panthers-0.6
Daredevils+4.0
+0.4
Sound-0.9
Icedogs*+0.5
*+0.0
Express-0.9
Icemen-0.7
Cyclones-0.6
BlackKnights 3 Icehawks 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BlackKnights+4.5
+0.6
Ice-0.2
Icehawks-3.5
-0.5
Broncos*-0.1
Starrs 5 Gems 4 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Starrs+2.5
+0.5
BlackKnights*+0.2
Ice*-0.4
Gems+0.9
+0.1
Panthers 3 Seagull 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seagull-0.9
-0.5
Panthers+4.0
+0.5
Sound-0.4
Express-0.5
Icemen-0.3
Grenades 5 Sundogs 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grenades+2.8
+0.6
Sundogs-2.9
-0.5
Knights 4 Cyclones 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights+0.3
Daredevils+0.2
Sound+0.3
Icedogs+0.3
Express+0.4
Icemen+0.3
Cyclones-2.5
-0.2
Bulldogs 2 Colts 1 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs+0.3
+0.4
BlackKnights*-0.4
Ice*-0.3
Gems*-0.4
Broncos*-0.1
Colts+1.3
+0.1
Maniax 3 Rockies 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockies*+0.0
Maniax+1.9
+0.5
Dolphins 2 Leafs 1 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins+0.3
Leafs+0.8
+0.1
Werewolves 1 Rockets 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets+0.7
+0.6
Werewolves*+0.2
+0.0
Surge 4 Dragons 3 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons*-0.0
Surge+1.3
+0.6
Storm 3 Roadhogs 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Roadhogs-0.3
Storm+0.8
+0.5
Komets 1 Crusaders 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+0.4
Komets-0.5
-0.5
Wildcats 5 Destroyers 6 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Destroyers*In
+0.1
Wildcats+0.1
Friday
Icedogs vs IcehawksIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icehawks66.471.266.675.175.4
14.213.714.213.213.2
Icedogs72.471.763.6*68.363.5
14.214.215.0*14.615.0
Colts vs LeopardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts39.739.830.1*35.130.0
16.716.717.4*17.117.5
Leopards8.1*10.18.212.612.7
19.219.019.218.718.7
Timber vs BroncosHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icehawks*70.269.571.4*69.7*70.3
*13.813.813.7*13.813.8
Timber70.469.861.264.459.6
13.813.914.814.514.9
Broncos37.2*42.338.547.748.3
16.916.416.816.015.9
Gems vs TitansHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans3.4*3.13.42.92.9
Gems76.075.767.771.967.6
13.013.014.013.514.0
BlackKnights vs StormHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Storm97.9*98.597.998.998.9
8.8*8.48.87.97.9
BlackKnights83.583.776.4*79.876.2
12.012.013.1*12.613.1
Sound vs RocketsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets98.1*98.698.299.099.1
8.6*8.18.57.67.6
Sound82.682.675.2*78.875.1
13.113.114.013.614.0
Icemen vs BulldogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs98.9*99.299.199.699.5
7.7*7.37.76.86.8
Icemen26.626.519.122.718.9
17.617.618.117.918.1
Cyclones vs RoadhogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Roadhogs4.4*4.14.43.83.8
Cyclones17.217.011.714.411.4
18.318.318.818.618.8
Werewolves vs BladesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Werewolves96.596.594.0*95.393.8
8.48.49.48.99.5
Blades3.3*4.43.45.95.9
20.220.120.219.919.9
Stingrays vs ManiaxHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stingrays99.099.098.0*98.698.0
7.77.78.6*8.28.6
Maniax93.594.993.696.396.2
9.6*9.19.68.68.6
Buzzards vs CrusadersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders5.0*4.75.04.44.3
Buzzards96.796.794.4*95.794.3
8.38.39.3*8.89.3
Dragons vs RockiesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons2.92.93.43.23.5
Rockies99.3*99.599.499.799.7
5.65.35.64.94.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.