Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
CyclonesLSundogs 4-67223312-6030100.0%3225191363100000000000002.5-0.381.670TitansCharlottetown Cyclones
SeagullLKnights 2-47123313-5039100.024242116942000000000000002.8-0.393.662St Johns Seagull
LeopardsWGems 4-3 (so)7033212-6038100.0212221181052000000000000003.0+0.222.665London Leopards
KnightsWSeagull 4-26943313-3028100.0192120191163100000000000003.2+0.295.667at DaredevilsNewport Knights
SundogsWCyclones 6-46743012-7033100.0+0.03825179531100000000000002.4+0.268.652Santa Monica Sundogs
Werewolves6733215-3019100.025262013742110000000000002.9-0.174.642IceWichita Werewolves
Ice6553013-5032100.026242013742110000000000002.9-0.1510.646at WerewolvesMystery Ice
SoundWStingrays 4-16613117-4018100.0+0.013713222418731100000000005.7+0.246.616Long Island Sound
OutlawsWPanthers 4-26523016-5019100.0+0.013713222418731100000000005.6+0.247.618at LeafsSummerside Outlaws
KometsWBulldogs 8-16152916-3025100.0+0.012481622241163210000000006.4+0.249.615at StormSpringfield Komets
BroncosWIcemen 5-26422916-6026100.0+0.0611161916118532110000000004.8+0.4212.611at StarrsCalgary Broncos
BlackKnightsWDestroyers 4-3 (ot)6412917-601099.9+0.1371217171310753211100000005.5+0.4311.602Tucson BlackKnights
Surge6122818-50899.7-0.0136101315131086543211000007.1-0.1813.588BuzzardsSeattle Surge
BuzzardsLWolves 2-75922719-50-998.8-0.501358111211119865432100008.7-1.0215.574at SurgeTranscona Buzzards
BladesWWildcats 3-2 (so)5832618-60-997.9+1.501247911111110976542110009.3+0.6219.575San Jose Blades
IcedogsWDolphins 5-4 (so)5722620-50-597.8+2.70000137151614121085321100010.3+0.7614.559Chatham Icedogs
Leafs5822720-40197.3-0.001135810111110987643210009.7-0.1516.566OutlawsLancaster Park Leafs
DestroyersLBlackKnights 3-4 (ot)5542115-130197.2+0.70000137141514121086431100010.5-0.0130.560CrusadersBuffalo Destroyers
Storm5622520-60796.8+0.50000126131414131197432100010.8-0.0117.551KometsSlemon Park Storm
StingraysLSound 1-45622419-80296.1-1.000001251113141312107532110011.1-0.7227.551St. Thomas Stingrays
Crusaders5622419-80-195.6+0.700000241013141312108642110011.3+0.0128.551at DestroyersChelsea Crusaders
ManiaxWRockets 4-25812519-80-1295.6+2.6001235791010101098643100010.7+0.6225.558Marion Maniax
WildcatsLBlades 2-3 (so)5712621-501194.9+0.5001235781010101098753110010.9-0.0718.551Portland Wildcats
Millionaires5622520-60193.7-0.2001134689101010109764210011.3-0.2022.551at ColtsVancouver Millionaires
WolvesWBuzzards 7-2562522-60-292.1+6.80000012691113131311864210012.3+0.8820.535Pittsburgh Wolves
DolphinsLIcedogs 4-5 (so)5432521-40689.3-0.4000123467891010101086311012.2-0.2523.545at BulldogsVictoria Dolphins
DragonsWTitans 5-45332421-50-683.0+6.4000012345689101112118521013.2+0.6124.537Dundurn Dragons
RockiesLGrenades 2-3 (so)5322422-50-779.8-0.30000112356791011121210631013.6-0.1821.529at GemsNevada Rockies
Colts5322422-50176.4-0.20000012345681011131311742114.1-0.1026.529MillionairesAmarillo Colts
RocketsLManiax 2-45132221-70-1471.4-5.40000000234681012131210863114.6-0.6332.522ExpressMontreal Rockets
PanthersLOutlaws 2-45212222-80-1567.5-5.50000000123571012131312974115.0-0.5834.514Freetown Panthers
GemsLLeopards 3-4 (so)5032121-80-652.5+2.5000000111234681115171495215.9+0.1531.515RockiesDayton Gems
Daredevils4932122-70-950.2+2.10000000012346911131413118416.2+0.0835.507KnightsNiagara Falls Daredevils
RoadhogsLExpress 2-34662122-40-1046.5-8.300000000123468101213131210516.4-0.6637.508Crapaud Roadhogs
ExpressWRoadhogs 3-24922022-90-2845.8+13.70000000011246811131414129416.5+0.8538.499at RocketsBirmingham Express
IcemenLBroncos 2-54452125-20-2719.6-5.30000000000112357101418211818.4-0.4736.484Detroit Icemen
BulldogsLKomets 1-84622126-40-4118.6-4.00000000000112357101419221718.4-0.3629.477DolphinsRiverview Bulldogs
TitansLDragons 4-54721923-90-2815.2-6.90000000000011247111820191618.4-0.4941.485at CyclonesLake Louise Titans
IcehawksLStarrs 3-44621924-80-319.9-6.7000000000000112591520232419.0-0.5742.477Kansas City Icehawks
Timber4612026-60-359.1-0.5000000000000112481520232519.033.470Colorado Springs Timber
GrenadesWRockies 3-2 (so)4611925-80-366.9+2.3000000000000012371219253119.3+0.4239.470Grenada Grenades
StarrsWIcehawks 4-34321927-50-244.6+2.400000000000001124712225019.9+0.3940.455BroncosToronto Starrs

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Roadhogs 2 Express 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolves*-0.1
Rockets-0.1
Panthers-0.1
Daredevils*-0.1
Roadhogs-8.0
-0.6
Express+8.5
+0.6
Maniax 4 Rockets 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maniax+2.2
+0.6
Rockets-4.2
-0.4
Panthers+0.5
Daredevils+0.6
Roadhogs+0.6
Express+0.5
Icemen+0.5
Bulldogs+0.5
Icehawks 3 Starrs 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons+0.6
Rockies+0.5
Gems+0.8
Icehawks-4.5
-0.4
Starrs+1.2
+0.2
Dragons 5 Titans 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons+5.3
+0.6
Gems-0.2
Titans-4.7
-0.3
Panthers 2 Outlaws 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws+0.3
Rockets+0.5
Panthers-4.9
-0.4
Daredevils+0.7
Roadhogs+0.6
Express+0.7
Icemen+0.6
Bulldogs+0.5
Wolves 7 Buzzards 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buzzards-0.3
-0.5
Wolves+4.4
+0.6
Daredevils-0.6
Roadhogs-0.5
Express-0.5
Icemen 2 Broncos 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Broncos+0.4
Wolves+0.4
Rockets+0.4
Panthers+0.6
Daredevils+0.6
Roadhogs+0.5
Express+0.5
Icemen-4.2
-0.3
Bulldogs+0.4
Komets 8 Bulldogs 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Komets+0.3
Rockets+0.4
Panthers+0.4
Daredevils+0.5
Roadhogs+0.5
Express+0.4
Bulldogs-3.5
-0.3
Dolphins 4 Icedogs 5 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icedogs+2.0
+0.6
Dolphins*+0.1
-0.0
Leopards 4 Gems 3 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards*In
+0.2
Dragons*-0.3
Colts-0.5
Gems+2.3
+0.2
Titans-0.5
Icehawks*-0.2
Grenades 3 Rockies 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons*-0.3
Rockies*+0.1
Colts*-0.5
Gems*-0.2
Grenades+1.7
+0.2
Blades 3 Wildcats 2 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades+1.3
+0.5
Wildcats+0.6
+0.1
Stingrays 1 Sound 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sound+0.3
Stingrays-1.0
-0.5
BlackKnights 4 Destroyers 3 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BlackKnights+0.4
Destroyers+0.5
+0.1
Knights 4 Seagull 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seagull-0.2
KnightsIn
+0.3
Sundogs 6 Cyclones 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cyclones-0.2
Sundogs+0.3
Saturday
Rockets vs ExpressIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets77.876.966.270.063.9
14.114.215.114.815.2
Panthers*67.666.568.966.267.2
15.015.114.915.115.0
Daredevils*50.249.451.948.949.8
16.216.216.116.316.2
Roadhogs*46.545.448.445.446.1
16.416.516.316.516.4
Express39.3*45.941.454.155.2
16.916.516.816.015.9
Gems vs RockiesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockies74.8*79.977.285.185.9
14.113.614.013.012.9
Gems60.259.446.751.444.7
15.315.416.315.916.4
Bulldogs vs DolphinsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins86.389.886.392.592.5
12.8*12.212.811.611.6
Bulldogs24.023.714.4*18.914.4
18.018.018.718.418.7
Daredevils vs KnightsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights100.0*InIn*InIn
3.43.23.42.92.9
Daredevils59.059.045.652.345.3
15.615.616.516.116.5
Colts vs MillionairesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Millionaires91.694.192.496.096.2
11.8*11.211.710.610.5
Colts82.181.871.7*76.770.9
13.413.514.514.114.6
Cyclones vs TitansHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CyclonesIn*InIn*In100.0
2.32.32.82.62.8
Titans12.817.312.921.221.6
18.618.318.618.017.9
Starrs vs BroncosHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Broncos5.34.95.34.54.5
Starrs6.96.93.3*4.83.3
19.619.620.119.820.1
Destroyers vs CrusadersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Destroyers98.398.396.2*97.296.1
10.110.110.910.611.1
Crusaders94.396.294.597.497.5
11.711.311.610.710.7
Storm vs KometsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Komets6.76.46.66.06.0
Storm98.198.295.897.095.7
10.310.311.210.811.3
Leafs vs OutlawsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws5.9*5.65.95.35.3
Leafs98.498.596.597.696.4
9.19.110.39.710.3
Surge vs BuzzardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge99.899.899.5*99.799.5
6.66.67.67.27.7
Buzzards98.399.098.499.399.4
9.28.69.18.08.0
Werewolves vs IceHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Werewolves2.62.63.12.93.2
Ice3.22.93.12.62.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.