Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Dolphins10424719-10051In98201.0+0.045.669KnightsVictoria Dolphins
Daredevils1085222-4052In82181.2-0.081.677Niagara Falls Daredevils
DestroyersWStorm 5-310515123-3042In1880201.8+0.232.668at WolvesBuffalo Destroyers
SurgeLPanthers 2-410014623-8025In26630202.3-0.277.639at DragonsSeattle Surge
WildcatsWLeafs 3-19914220-15033In13163502.7+0.3018.633WerewolvesPortland Wildcats
KometsLStingrays 3-61014724-7036In2782103.2-0.264.638Springfield Komets
CrusadersWMillionaires 2-09914725-5020In02176403.8+0.233.633ExpressChelsea Crusaders
Gems9424123-12019In16632474.3-0.0820.611at BuzzardsDayton Gems
Grenades9134327-5026In012349251005.0-0.1213.601Grenada Grenades
BladesWSound 4-3 (so)9023824-14014In6276250005.7+0.2424.588San Jose Blades
KnightsWBuzzards 4-19324023-13034In0350191385205.9+0.8815.605at DolphinsNewport Knights
ExpressLOutlaws 3-59314125-1100In11525211914507.1-0.7010.599at CrusadersBirmingham Express
StarrsLBulldogs 1-2934328-7019In1522242113507.1-0.416.592Toronto Starrs
Colts8713727-1301In05691762007.3-0.0231.564Amarillo Colts
StormLDestroyers 3-59214227-8025In132121211671007.3-0.538.593Slemon Park Storm
LeopardsWTitans 5-29114127-9012In3101520272151008.4+0.619.587at IcehawksLondon Leopards
BulldogsWStarrs 2-19014027-1001In+0.013610203715620009.6+0.5914.581Riverview Bulldogs
Dragons8313731-90-1In+0.051719181511851010.2+0.1030.541SurgeDundurn Dragons
WerewolvesWIce 3-18323730-90-12In+0.90041919161411862010.2+1.2034.547at WildcatsWichita Werewolves
BuzzardsLKnights 1-48223630-1004100.0%+0.00618191613118530010.2-0.7027.542GemsTranscona Buzzards
Timber823632-100-5100.0+0.1261014191917121012.3+0.0435.529Colorado Springs Timber
Maniax8143629-90-599.8+0.3009221713118764100010.2+0.1132.549at RockiesMarion Maniax
Sundogs813835-50-1299.7+0.614111617191712300012.5+0.1329.523Santa Monica Sundogs
Cyclones8624030-601799.7-0.30001312322114852011.8-0.3211.565Charlottetown Cyclones
Seagull8613829-1001599.4-0.50162326191284112.4-0.2819.558St Johns Seagull
Icedogs8613627-140-1598.6-1.000514222317116113.0-0.3022.558BroncosChatham Icedogs
BlackKnights8023632-80-997.6+1.6036810131517197200012.9+0.1033.530LeafsTucson BlackKnights
IceLWerewolves 1-38013734-60-597.6+0.413471113202712200013.7-0.8726.524Mystery Ice
OutlawsWExpress 5-3864032-60-1996.3+7.8041118252216414.1+0.7012.552Summerside Outlaws
RocketsWIcemen 6-28413932-60-977.4+4.302510152025175115.2+0.2917.547at RoadhogsMontreal Rockets
SoundLBlades 3-4 (so)8324033-301477.4-7.7013710142024193015.0-0.6516.547StingraysLong Island Sound
Broncos7713737-30-2057.0+9.80000124123721128316.5+0.2428.507at IcedogsCalgary Broncos
StingraysWKomets 6-38313630-110-448.3+3.502481321438116.1+0.2523.541at SoundSt. Thomas Stingrays
LeafsLWildcats 1-37613132-140-2516.6-11.0000013122624201417.8-0.4640.501at BlackKnightsLancaster Park Leafs
Rockies7423436-60-1916.5+3.6000013121519212818.2+0.2336.495ManiaxNevada Rockies
TitansLLeopards 2-57513234-110-2010.4-7.6000292024252118.2-0.3838.495Lake Louise Titans
Icehawks7513436-70-504.8+1.2000141420263518.7+0.1837.495LeopardsKansas City Icehawks
Roadhogs7913634-70-221.8-5.4026395218.4-0.4521.518RocketsCrapaud Roadhogs
PanthersWSurge 4-2803533-100-91.2-0.8018454618.4+0.1925.518Freetown Panthers
IcemenLRockets 2-66912735-150-64Out732720.3-0.0841.461Detroit Icemen
Wolves6712939-90-49Out277320.7+0.0839.449DestroyersPittsburgh Wolves
MillionairesLCrusaders 0-24811847-120-86Out10021.042.340Vancouver Millionaires

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Stingrays 6 Komets 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Komets-0.2
Icedogs-0.4
Outlaws-5.6
Rockets-7.4
-0.2
Sound-4.1
Stingrays+20.6
+0.7
Roadhogs-2.2
Panthers-0.8
Rockets 6 Icemen 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws-1.9
Rockets+13.6
+0.6
Sound-2.5
Stingrays-6.0
Roadhogs-2.3
Panthers-0.7
Leafs 1 Wildcats 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats+0.2
Werewolves+0.3
Sundogs+0.3
BlackKnights+1.0
Ice+0.8
Broncos+5.1
Leafs-12.3
-0.6
Rockies+1.7
Titans+2.3
Icehawks+0.6
Express 3 Outlaws 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights+0.2
Express-0.6
Starrs+0.2
Storm+0.2
Outlaws+9.9
+0.9
Rockets-3.2
-0.2
Sound-1.8
-0.2
Stingrays-3.2
Roadhogs-0.9
Panthers-0.5
Leopards 5 Titans 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards+0.5
Werewolves+0.3
Sundogs+0.3
BlackKnights+0.6
Ice+0.6
Broncos+3.8
Leafs+1.8
Rockies+1.3
Titans-9.4
-0.5
Icehawks+0.4
Blades 4 Sound 3 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades+0.2
Outlaws+0.5
Rockets+0.3
Sound+3.5
-0.1
Stingrays-3.2
Roadhogs-1.1
Surge 2 Panthers 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge-0.2
Outlaws-1.1
Rockets-1.9
Sound-0.4
Stingrays-0.7
Roadhogs-0.2
Panthers+4.4
+0.4
Werewolves 3 Ice 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons-0.0
Werewolves+0.9
+1.1
Ice-2.1
-1.0
Broncos+0.2
Leafs+0.4
Rockies+0.3
Icehawks+0.2
Knights 4 Buzzards 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights+0.5
Buzzards-0.6
Storm 3 Destroyers 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Destroyers+0.2
Storm-0.5
Bulldogs 2 Starrs 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Starrs-0.6
BulldogsIn
+0.7
Millionaires 0 Crusaders 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+0.1
Tuesday
Sound vs StingraysIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws97.389.898.889.595.2
14.214.413.914.414.1
Rockets79.567.783.864.974.5
15.215.414.915.515.2
Sound96.588.676.175.353.0
14.214.315.615.016.0
Stingrays25.156.536.175.278.3
16.816.016.615.215.2
Icedogs vs BroncosHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icedogs100.0100.097.199.296.8
12.212.313.812.913.9
Broncos43.560.845.077.778.6
17.016.416.915.615.6
Leafs20.814.420.610.09.9
17.717.917.718.018.0
Rockies19.517.319.411.811.6
18.218.218.218.418.4
Titans13.57.312.56.15.7
18.218.318.218.418.4
Roadhogs vs RocketsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets62.773.065.295.495.5
15.915.415.814.314.2
Sound80.378.880.773.673.5
14.915.014.915.215.2
Stingrays55.351.856.139.039.1
16.016.115.916.316.2
Roadhogs3.92.00.00.10.0
18.118.218.718.618.7
BlackKnights vs LeafsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BuzzardsInInIn100.0100.0
10.310.310.110.210.1
TimberInInIn100.0100.0
12.512.412.212.312.1
BlackKnightsInIn97.799.094.1
11.912.013.812.814.0
Broncos61.857.661.949.549.7
16.416.516.316.616.6
Leafs5.614.96.630.233.7
18.417.718.317.117.0
Titans11.811.212.07.88.0
18.118.218.118.418.4
Rockies vs ManiaxHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maniax99.6100.099.7InIn
11.010.310.99.39.2
Broncos52.952.960.556.160.5
16.516.616.416.516.4
Leafs13.714.018.617.918.9
18.018.017.717.817.7
Rockies27.626.87.916.07.4
17.617.618.818.218.8
Icehawks vs LeopardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards9.28.69.17.77.7
Icehawks10.910.80.53.70.5
18.018.019.218.719.2
Buzzards vs GemsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BuzzardsInIn*100.0In100.0
9.29.210.99.811.1
Dragons vs SurgeHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons9.09.110.910.311.0
Wildcats vs WerewolvesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Werewolves10.99.910.89.19.0
Crusaders vs ExpressHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express7.66.77.66.26.2
Dolphins vs KnightsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights6.35.96.35.35.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.