Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Dolphins431206-3029100.0%+0.03224171164211100000000002.8+0.051.651at RockiesVictoria Dolphins
Blades431184-7020100.031241711742111000000000002.8+0.058.651IcemenSan Jose Blades
GrenadesWDestroyers 5-3421196-4012100.0+0.022221913964211100000000003.3+0.664.642LeopardsGrenada Grenades
ExpressWStorm 5-1411186-501599.9+0.13919128653321110000000003.1+0.772.634IcedogsBirmingham Express
WildcatsLManiax 1-340166-801699.9-0.0711141614118653221100000005.2-0.6114.615Portland Wildcats
SurgeLMillionaires 2-5372189-10999.6-0.2361012131210975432110000006.4-0.9318.608Seattle Surge
Crusaders381178-401399.4-0.012131210987654432211000005.6-0.016.607KometsChelsea Crusaders
ColtsLSeagull 5-6 (ot)361169-401299.0+0.113581011111098754321100007.9+0.1122.590at MillionairesAmarillo Colts
Daredevils3711810-10899.0+0.09111110987765443221100006.3+0.023.599StingraysNiagara Falls Daredevils
LeopardsLStarrs 3-5371179-30998.7-0.6810109988766543321100006.7-0.9911.599at GrenadesLondon Leopards
ManiaxWWildcats 3-13611710-20598.7+1.112479101110109765322100008.3+0.9125.590Marion Maniax
Outlaws3711810-10298.7+0.089109988766543321100006.7-0.017.599StarrsSummerside Outlaws
StormLExpress 1-5362179-201298.5-0.77999988776544321100006.9-1.049.600Slemon Park Storm
Dragons351159-50-298.1+0.11246891010109876432110008.8+0.0724.581at CyclonesDundurn Dragons
Ice3421610-201398.0+0.11246891010109876432110008.8+0.1112.582at BroncosMystery Ice
Buzzards332149-50397.2+0.00135689101010987543210009.4+0.0223.573at TimberTranscona Buzzards
SeagullWColts 6-5 (ot)342159-401196.6+2.24567788877765543210008.4+1.0210.582St Johns Seagull
RocketsWTitans 6-43511711-10596.3+2.63567778887776543211008.7+1.095.581PanthersMontreal Rockets
Stingrays351159-50996.0-0.03566777887776543211008.8-0.0415.581at DaredevilsSt. Thomas Stingrays
DestroyersLGrenades 3-5361711-20695.9-1.63456777888776543211009.0-1.0913.580Buffalo Destroyers
WerewolvesLBlackKnights 2-43311612-10495.6-1.601235689101010987543100010.3-0.8316.564KnightsWichita Werewolves
Bulldogs3321510-30-393.5-0.12345667778887764321009.9-0.0721.573at WolvesRiverview Bulldogs
KnightsWPanthers 4-2332138-70892.5+3.813445667788887654210010.2+0.9331.573at WerewolvesNewport Knights
GemsWIcedogs 5-13121411-30291.4+5.000123457891010109865310011.5+0.9427.556Dayton Gems
StarrsWLeopards 5-33221410-40390.1+5.512344566778888764321010.9+1.0920.565at OutlawsToronto Starrs
IcedogsLGems 1-53311410-50-289.2-3.712234556778898865321011.2-1.1326.564at ExpressChatham Icedogs
Broncos3011413-20-783.4+0.4000112345789101111108621013.0+0.0517.537IceCalgary Broncos
BlackKnightsWWerewolves 4-23011413-20-880.2+8.3000112235679101112119731013.4+0.8132.537Tucson BlackKnights
Rockies2821212-40-673.7+0.1000011234568911121212941014.1-0.0233.530DolphinsNevada Rockies
Sound2921413-10869.2-0.100111223345789111111963114.1-0.0428.538RoadhogsLong Island Sound
SundogsLLeafs 2-3291314-30-767.7-9.20000011234579101214141152014.7-0.9135.519Santa Monica Sundogs
TitansLRockets 4-62721213-30-961.5-9.10000011123468101214151373115.1-0.7834.521Lake Louise Titans
Wolves2811314-20-1353.2+0.10000111123356810121313117215.619.520BulldogsPittsburgh Wolves
Komets2811314-20-650.4+0.40000011122346810121414128315.8+0.0329.520at CrusadersSpringfield Komets
Icemen2631011-60-2043.1+0.10000001112335691114151410416.4+0.0240.522at BladesDetroit Icemen
Timber2611114-40-742.8+1.0000000011123579131721136116.438.502BuzzardsColorado Springs Timber
PanthersLKnights 2-42511216-10-1323.9-7.90000000001122458111620191017.8-0.5930.494at RocketsFreetown Panthers
Roadhogs214914-30-1513.5-0.1000000000001123581219281918.8+0.0336.488at SoundCrapaud Roadhogs
LeafsWSundogs 3-2211816-50-228.0+3.300000000000112471430281318.9+0.3039.459at IcehawksLancaster Park Leafs
Icehawks201918-20-394.6+0.10000000000011251025352019.4-0.1341.450LeafsKansas City Icehawks
Cyclones201918-20-162.3-0.10000000000000112510226020.2+0.0237.450DragonsCharlottetown Cyclones
MillionairesWSurge 5-2161518-60-390.6+0.3000000000000139236420.4+0.1242.415ColtsVancouver Millionaires

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Titans 4 Rockets 6
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets+1.7
+0.6
Gems+0.4
Broncos+0.5
BlackKnights+0.7
Rockies+0.6
Sundogs+0.6
Titans-4.2
-0.4
Wolves-0.2
Komets-0.2
Icemen-0.3
Timber+0.8
Panthers-0.2
Sundogs 2 Leafs 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems+0.2
Broncos+0.2
BlackKnights+0.4
Rockies+0.5
Sundogs-4.8
-0.5
Titans+0.5
Timber+0.6
Leafs+1.9
+0.2
BlackKnights 4 Werewolves 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Werewolves-0.9
-0.5
Gems-0.3
Broncos-0.4
BlackKnights+4.8
+0.5
Rockies-0.6
Sundogs-0.5
Titans-0.6
Timber-0.7
Leafs-0.2
Icehawks-0.2
Gems 5 Icedogs 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems+2.9
+0.5
Icedogs-1.6
-0.5
Broncos-0.3
BlackKnights-0.4
Rockies-0.3
Sound+0.2
Sundogs-0.4
Titans-0.4
Komets+0.3
Icemen*+0.2
Timber-0.5
Roadhogs+0.2
Knights 4 Panthers 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights+2.5
+0.5
Starrs+0.2
Sound+0.2
Wolves*+0.1
Komets+0.2
Icemen+0.2
Panthers-3.8
-0.3
Starrs 5 Leopards 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards-0.3
-0.5
Knights-0.2
Starrs+3.4
+0.6
Sound-0.4
Wolves-0.5
Komets-0.5
Icemen-0.4
Panthers-0.3
Roadhogs-0.2
Seagull 6 Colts 5 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts+0.0
Seagull+1.4
+0.6
Komets*+0.2
Panthers*-0.3
Destroyers 3 Grenades 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grenades+0.3
Destroyers-0.7
-0.5
Maniax 3 Wildcats 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats-0.3
Maniax+0.8
+0.5
Sundogs*-0.1
Storm 1 Express 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express+0.5
Storm-0.3
-0.5
Surge 2 Millionaires 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge-0.5
Millionaires+0.2
Tuesday
Sound vs RoadhogsIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sound73.773.364.768.563.6
13.713.714.614.214.7
Roadhogs11.0*13.511.717.317.3
19.018.718.918.518.4
Wolves vs BulldogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs91.7*93.692.395.295.4
10.4*9.910.49.39.2
Wolves59.158.849.254.048.2
15.115.116.015.616.0
Timber vs BuzzardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buzzards96.2*97.196.598.098.1
9.9*9.49.99.08.9
Timber48.848.438.5*43.238.1
16.016.016.716.416.7
Crusaders vs KometsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders99.699.699.1*99.499.0
5.25.36.2*5.76.2
Komets46.752.047.257.157.2
16.115.716.115.315.2
Blades vs IcemenHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades2.62.63.12.93.1
Icemen39.845.040.149.950.1
16.616.216.615.815.8
Rockets vs PanthersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets97.397.295.3*96.294.9
8.28.29.38.89.3
Panthers20.824.721.029.429.5
18.117.818.117.417.4
Rockies vs DolphinsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dolphins3.0*2.83.02.62.6
Rockies78.778.970.774.870.5
13.613.614.414.014.4
Broncos vs IceHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice97.4*98.297.598.798.7
9.38.89.28.38.3
Broncos86.886.780.5*83.880.4
12.512.513.4*13.013.4
Werewolves vs KnightsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Werewolves96.896.894.5*95.794.4
9.89.810.7*10.310.7
Knights91.092.991.194.794.6
10.7*10.210.79.69.6
Outlaws vs StarrsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws99.199.198.2*98.798.2
6.26.27.36.87.3
Starrs88.390.788.592.892.8
11.410.811.310.210.1
Express vs IcedogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express2.82.93.53.13.5
Icedogs87.490.087.691.892.2
11.611.111.610.510.4
Icehawks vs LeafsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leafs6.3*7.96.410.110.4
19.119.019.118.718.7
Icehawks5.95.93.4*4.53.3
19.219.219.519.419.6
Daredevils vs StingraysHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Daredevils99.499.398.7*99.098.6
5.75.86.8*6.36.9
Stingrays95.196.495.297.397.3
9.38.79.28.18.1
Cyclones vs DragonsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons97.4*98.197.598.798.7
9.3*8.99.38.48.4
Millionaires vs ColtsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts98.6*98.998.699.399.3
8.48.08.47.57.5
Grenades vs LeopardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grenades3.13.13.6*3.33.6
Leopards98.498.998.599.299.2
7.16.57.16.16.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.