Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Dolphins7823711-4051100.0%78155100000000000001.3+0.013.704at CrusadersVictoria Dolphins
DaredevilsWSeagull 4-27713814-1040100.0+0.0801541000000000000001.3+0.141.687Niagara Falls Daredevils
WildcatsLBlades 1-37212910-14025100.01036301751000000000000002.8-0.358.651Portland Wildcats
SurgeWTimber 7-17033314-4025100.0831312162100000000000003.0+0.225.655Seattle Surge
BladesWWildcats 3-16922912-11022100.03162633125210000000000003.7+0.3514.638at ManiaxSan Jose Blades
Crusaders7023315-4025100.012432311531100000000000002.8+0.042.645DolphinsChelsea Crusaders
DestroyersLBulldogs 2-3713417-3020100.0-0.06263016953211000000000003.5-0.444.634Buffalo Destroyers
ExpressWStorm 2-16612916-801099.9+0.117141915129754321100000005.8+0.7611.607Birmingham Express
Buzzards6322716-901199.9+0.00139222016118532100000006.7-0.0317.594Transcona Buzzards
Werewolves6222919-40499.8+0.00127181917139642110000007.015.587Wichita Werewolves
Maniax6222818-60399.7+0.000251517171410753211000007.5-0.0518.587BladesMarion Maniax
StormLExpress 1-26333018-301899.7-0.204913141210976543211000006.9-0.8210.603Slemon Park Storm
Grenades6122819-50599.6+0.000141316161512864211000007.8-0.0421.580Grenada Grenades
LeopardsLRoadhogs 4-5 (so)6322918-50499.4-0.002591111111098765321000008.0-0.0913.594SeagullLondon Leopards
SoundWIcedogs 3-2 (ot)6123021-102898.4+1.20135789999987643100009.4+0.909.580Long Island Sound
BulldogsWDestroyers 3-26122819-50698.3+1.20135789999987643100009.4+0.9412.580Riverview Bulldogs
SeagullLDaredevils 2-46122617-901198.3-0.80135789999987643100009.4-0.8119.580at LeopardsSt Johns Seagull
Komets6022820-401297.8-0.30124688999998753210009.8-0.027.572Springfield Komets
Rockets6112921-30497.7-0.4002467899109987542100010.0-0.116.571Montreal Rockets
Starrs6022719-60997.3-0.400245789999987642100010.1-0.1216.572Toronto Starrs
Colts5822418-100297.1+0.1000147101214131197532110010.032.558at BlackKnightsAmarillo Colts
Knights5932416-1101096.0-0.60013457889910109853100010.8-0.1224.573MillionairesNewport Knights
GemsLBroncos 3-45632419-80394.9-1.80001357101213121086532210010.8-0.8231.551IceDayton Gems
SundogsWIcehawks 5-2582723-40-494.0+4.30000135811121312108643210011.3+0.7729.542Santa Monica Sundogs
IcedogsLSound 2-3 (ot)602519-100-891.7-0.90001234567910121212106210012.4-0.1827.556Chatham Icedogs
Dragons5612522-60-988.6+0.50000123581012121110865321012.4+0.0228.535Dundurn Dragons
BroncosWGems 4-35512624-30-485.2+8.2000011347911121110976432012.9+0.9023.528Calgary Broncos
Outlaws5712723-30-1079.5-2.30000112234671012151612621014.1-0.1720.542Summerside Outlaws
Stingrays5522320-90-375.6-2.5000011123457911151713731014.4-0.1526.536at TitansSt. Thomas Stingrays
Ice5222424-40-262.8+0.80000001134679101111111097015.1+0.0330.514at GemsMystery Ice
TimberLSurge 1-75122324-50-152.7-7.100000001234679101112121211015.9-0.5840.506LeafsColorado Springs Timber
Titans4932123-70-1650.5+0.900000001124579101112121313016.0+0.0434.499StingraysLake Louise Titans
Rockies5022224-60-1449.3+0.900000001124578101112131313016.1+0.0535.499Nevada Rockies
Leafs5022022-100-2144.7+0.30000000112346891112131416016.4+0.0137.499at TimberLancaster Park Leafs
IcehawksLSundogs 2-55112426-30-3540.6-8.10000000012245791112141618016.7-0.5933.499Kansas City Icehawks
BlackKnights4932224-50-1240.5+1.00000000012345791012131519016.7+0.0639.499ColtsTucson BlackKnights
RoadhogsWLeopards 5-4 (so)5042323-40-1740.4+8.9000000001122469152319115216.6+0.5322.514Crapaud Roadhogs
Cyclones5012326-40-1620.3-1.90000000000011351018271911517.7-0.1125.492Charlottetown Cyclones
Panthers4812126-60-156.0-0.7000000000000011491828241619.0-0.0736.477Freetown Panthers
IcemenWWolves 4-34531824-90-482.4+0.7000000000000001141020303419.7+0.2741.470Detroit Icemen
WolvesLIcemen 3-44512028-50-391.3-1.3000000000000013716294320.0-0.3438.456Pittsburgh Wolves
Millionaires282933-100-740.000000000010021.042.338at KnightsVancouver Millionaires

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Roadhogs 5 Leopards 4 (so)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades*In
Sound-0.3
Bulldogs*-0.2
Komets*-0.2
Rockets-0.2
Starrs-0.3
Knights-0.3
Icedogs-0.8
Outlaws-1.3
Stingrays-1.4
Roadhogs+6.5
+0.4
Cyclones-0.9
Panthers-0.3
Icemen-0.2
Sundogs 5 Icehawks 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sundogs+3.5
+0.6
Dragons+0.2
Broncos+0.3
Ice+0.3
Timber+0.3
Titans+0.3
Rockies+0.4
Leafs+0.3
Icehawks-6.1
-0.5
BlackKnights+0.3
Broncos 4 Gems 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems-1.3
-0.5
Sundogs-0.3
Dragons-0.2
Broncos+5.9
+0.7
Ice-0.5
Timber-0.5
Titans-0.6
Rockies-0.5
Leafs-0.6
Icehawks-0.6
BlackKnights-0.6
Surge 7 Timber 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SurgeIn
+0.2
Sundogs+0.2
Dragons+0.3
Broncos+0.4
Ice+0.5
Timber-4.3
-0.4
Titans+0.5
Rockies+0.5
Leafs+0.5
Icehawks+0.5
BlackKnights+0.5
Destroyers 2 Bulldogs 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Destroyers-0.3
Bulldogs+1.3
+0.8
Roadhogs-0.3
Cyclones-0.3
Icedogs 2 Sound 3 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sound+1.0
+0.7
Icedogs*+0.2
-0.1
Roadhogs-0.6
Panthers*-0.2
Icemen 4 Wolves 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icemen+0.7
+0.2
Wolves-0.9
-0.2
Daredevils 4 Seagull 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DaredevilsIn
+0.1
Seagull-0.3
-0.4
Storm 1 Express 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Express+0.7
Storm-0.6
Wildcats 1 Blades 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats-0.2
Blades+0.3
Saturday
Titans vs StingraysIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Outlaws80.2*79.280.378.978.6
14.0*14.114.014.114.1
Stingrays70.776.470.981.381.4
14.814.314.813.813.8
Ice61.961.963.6*62.763.7
15.115.115.0*15.115.0
Timber51.751.553.5*52.753.5
15.915.915.8*15.915.8
Titans58.058.144.2*50.843.8
15.515.516.516.016.5
Rockies48.2*48.850.1*49.550.2
16.216.116.1*16.116.1
Leafs43.843.545.6*44.745.6
16.516.516.4*16.416.4
Icehawks39.739.941.4*40.241.5
16.816.816.7*16.716.7
BlackKnights39.639.141.1*40.641.3
16.816.816.7*16.716.7
Roadhogs41.7*40.441.638.838.8
16.5*16.616.516.616.6
Cyclones21.1*20.121.019.119.3
Timber vs LeafsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice62.762.164.561.862.7
15.1*15.115.015.115.1
Timber60.559.546.451.644.2
15.315.416.315.916.5
Titans50.449.452.249.6*50.4
16.016.115.916.116.0
Rockies49.148.351.048.6*49.2
*16.116.216.016.216.1
Leafs37.9*44.740.152.754.0
16.916.416.815.915.8
Icehawks40.439.742.139.7*40.6
16.716.816.616.816.7
BlackKnights*40.339.341.939.5*40.4
*16.716.816.616.816.7
Gems vs IceHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems96.896.693.2*94.992.5
10.310.311.310.911.4
Ice57.463.858.470.671.3
15.515.015.514.414.3
Timber53.2*52.253.351.651.9
15.9*15.915.8*15.915.9
Titans51.0*50.251.349.649.8
16.016.116.016.116.1
Rockies49.7*49.150.248.448.5
16.1*16.116.0*16.116.1
Leafs45.2*44.545.643.643.9
16.4*16.416.416.516.5
BlackKnights40.9*40.241.339.239.7
16.7*16.816.716.816.8
BlackKnights vs ColtsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts95.8*97.296.398.298.4
10.5*10.010.49.59.4
Ice62.161.663.6*62.663.5
15.115.115.0*15.115.1
Timber51.851.553.4*52.653.3
15.915.915.8*15.915.9
Titans49.649.751.6*50.451.2
16.116.115.916.016.0
Rockies48.448.550.1*49.749.9
16.116.216.016.116.1
Icehawks39.839.641.6*40.241.3
16.816.816.6*16.816.7
BlackKnights48.148.034.6*40.934.2
16.216.217.116.717.2
Knights vs MillionairesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights97.197.093.995.693.7
10.410.411.611.111.7
MillionairesOut*OutOut*Out0.0
Leopards vs SeagullHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leopards99.799.799.2*99.599.1
7.47.58.68.18.7
Seagull97.898.597.999.199.1
10.09.39.88.78.6
Maniax vs BladesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blades100.0*InIn*InIn
3.9*3.73.93.53.4
Maniax99.999.999.6*99.899.6
7.07.07.87.47.8
Crusaders vs DolphinsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders2.52.53.02.83.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.