Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTTGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Cyclones291143-101799.9%-0.030201410754321110000000003.4+0.041.635StarrsCharlottetown Cyclones
Dolphins243124-001599.7-0.03519129654322111000000003.3+0.169.611Victoria Dolphins
Starrs263122-201799.7-0.023191511865432111100000004.0+0.034.628at CyclonesToronto Starrs
KnightsLRockets 1-3281133-201399.7-0.221181512975432211100000004.1-0.722.626Newport Knights
LeafsLSurge 1-3241115-201598.9-0.516151311976543322111000005.1-0.7421.591Lancaster Park Leafs
KometsWDestroyers 2-0261135-001298.8+0.891112121098654332111100005.8+0.905.609Springfield Komets
IcehawksLStingrays 2-7231116-10-298.1-0.811121210987654332211110005.9-0.7214.583LeopardsKansas City Icehawks
Gems221106-20-496.7-0.179109988765543322111006.9+0.1518.574StingraysDayton Gems
BuzzardsWOutlaws 3-1221106-20596.6+2.27999988765543322111007.1+1.2020.574Transcona Buzzards
DaredevilsLExpress 2-3241115-201596.5-1.74689999876654322111007.7-1.087.591WerewolvesNiagara Falls Daredevils
StingraysWIcehawks 7-2232115-101496.4+1.94689999876654322111007.7+0.983.592at GemsSt. Thomas Stingrays
Werewolves20395-201196.3+0.17999988765543322111007.1+0.1824.576at DaredevilsWichita Werewolves
DestroyersLKomets 0-2231105-301894.8-2.32467889887665433211108.6-1.066.583SoundBuffalo Destroyers
IceLTimber 1-321196-30494.4-2.24678888776654433221108.1-0.9617.565GrenadesMystery Ice
Sound222105-201294.1-0.52467888887765433221108.8-0.068.584at DestroyersLong Island Sound
Sundogs20296-20-394.0-0.14678888776654433221108.2+0.1419.566at ManiaxSanta Monica Sundogs
Leopards222116-00293.5-0.52456788887765543221109.1-0.0410.584at IcehawksLondon Leopards
CrusadersWBlades 3-2231116-10-193.3+2.82456788887765543221109.1+0.9413.583Chelsea Crusaders
SurgeWLeafs 3-119198-10987.2+6.523456677777666554332110.3+1.4126.548BladesSeattle Surge
RockiesLWildcats 1-319187-30186.3-4.923455667777766554332110.5-1.1533.548Nevada Rockies
Dragons17387-10685.7-0.223455667777666554432110.6+0.1028.550Dundurn Dragons
Storm19374-50084.1-1.011234566778777665432111.4-0.1225.567Slemon Park Storm
RocketsWKnights 3-118386-20579.4+7.501223456677787766543212.2+1.1312.558Montreal Rockets
BlackKnightsLTitans 2-317178-30-572.8-7.401223445566777777665312.9-1.0841.530BulldogsTucson BlackKnights
WildcatsWRockies 3-117189-10-1372.5+9.801223345566777777665413.0+1.3030.530MillionairesPortland Wildcats
TitansWBlackKnights 3-216278-20-572.1+8.701223345566777777665413.0+1.1732.531Lake Louise Titans
IcedogsLManiax 1-219187-30-570.2-10.100112334566788888765413.6-1.3916.548Chatham Icedogs
Roadhogs17387-10-1268.8-2.000112334566778888776413.7-0.1815.550Crapaud Roadhogs
Bulldogs18199-00-661.9-1.600011223455678889887614.5-0.1311.539at BlackKnightsRiverview Bulldogs
BladesLCrusaders 2-314368-20-561.9-8.801112233455667788888614.3-1.0634.523at SurgeSan Jose Blades
TimberWIce 3-116179-20-961.8+9.901112233455667788888614.3+1.1035.521Colorado Springs Timber
ExpressWDaredevils 3-218177-40-760.7+8.300011223455678899988614.7+0.8631.539Birmingham Express
Icemen17266-50-1159.5-1.900011223445677899998614.8-0.1637.540Detroit Icemen
Millionaires14258-40-753.3-0.00011122334456778991010915.2+0.0342.514at WildcatsVancouver Millionaires
ColtsLPanthers 3-516710-20-1152.8-9.70011122334456778991010915.3-1.0340.512Amarillo Colts
Grenades142710-00-1451.2-0.100011122344566789910111015.5+0.0238.514at IceGrenada Grenades
Seagull16267-40-949.5-1.8000011123345678891010111015.8-0.1529.531St Johns Seagull
BroncosLWolves 2-5141610-20-1642.0-10.0000011122334567791011131516.4-0.9839.504Calgary Broncos
PanthersWColts 5-316179-20-438.5+7.1000001112234567891112141516.8+0.6523.521Freetown Panthers
OutlawsLBuzzards 1-315169-30-830.9-10.9000000111223456791013162117.5-0.9922.513Summerside Outlaws
WolvesWBroncos 5-2151710-10-1329.8+6.2000000111223446781013162217.6+0.5627.513Pittsburgh Wolves
ManiaxWIcedogs 2-1121511-20-2125.4+7.800000011112234567912172818.0+0.7636.486SundogsMarion Maniax

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Panthers 5 Colts 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge+0.3
Wildcats+0.4
Titans+0.3
Roadhogs-0.4
Bulldogs-0.4
Timber+0.3
Express-0.4
Icemen-0.4
Colts-4.0
-0.5
Grenades+0.4
Seagull-0.4
Broncos+0.3
Panthers+4.3
+0.4
Wolves-0.4
Icedogs 1 Maniax 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icedogs-3.9
-0.6
Express+0.6
Colts-0.4
Maniax+4.1
+0.4
Wolves 5 Broncos 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats+0.4
Bulldogs-0.3
Blades+0.3
Timber+0.3
Millionaires+0.4
Colts+0.4
Grenades+0.4
Broncos-4.1
-0.4
Wolves+3.8
+0.3
Rockies 1 Wildcats 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockies-2.3
-0.6
BlackKnights-0.3
Wildcats+5.8
+0.7
Timber-0.3
Millionaires-0.4
Colts-0.4
Grenades-0.3
Broncos-0.3
Timber 3 Ice 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice-1.0
-0.5
Wildcats-0.4
Titans-0.4
Timber+5.5
+0.6
Millionaires-0.4
Colts-0.4
Broncos-0.5
Express 3 Daredevils 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Daredevils-0.6
-0.5
Bulldogs-0.5
Express+5.4
+0.5
Icemen-0.5
Seagull-0.4
Panthers-0.5
Outlaws-0.5
Knights 1 Rockets 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights-0.3
Rockets+5.0
+0.7
Icedogs-0.3
Outlaws-0.5
Titans 3 BlackKnights 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BlackKnights-3.2
-0.5
Titans+4.8
+0.6
Timber-0.2
Millionaires-0.2
Crusaders 3 Blades 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+1.9
+0.5
Blades-3.2
-0.4
Millionaires+0.3
Grenades+0.3
Maniax+0.2
Buzzards 3 Outlaws 1
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buzzards+1.3
+0.5
Rockets+0.3
Roadhogs+0.3
Bulldogs+0.3
Express+0.3
Icemen+0.4
Seagull+0.4
Outlaws-3.6
-0.3
Leafs 1 Surge 3
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leafs-0.3
-0.4
Surge+4.1
+0.8
Stingrays 7 Icehawks 2
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icehawks-0.3
-0.4
Stingrays+1.3
+0.5
Komets 2 Destroyers 0
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Komets+0.6
+0.5
Destroyers-0.6
-0.4
Monday
BlackKnights vs BulldogsIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BlackKnights77.076.869.0*73.268.7
12.312.313.5*12.913.5
Bulldogs58.062.858.067.367.1
15.0*14.515.014.014.0
Seagull49.9*49.550.0*49.148.8
Wildcats vs MillionairesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats76.776.568.7*71.967.7
12.412.413.5*13.113.6
Blades*61.961.362.6*61.4*61.8
*14.314.314.2*14.314.3
Millionaires49.054.149.958.959.5
15.715.215.614.614.6
Colts*52.8*52.553.751.852.6
15.3*15.415.215.415.3
Ice vs GrenadesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice95.895.693.0*94.392.7
7.67.68.7*8.28.7
BlackKnights73.1*72.473.272.072.5
12.9*12.912.8*13.012.9
Grenades47.452.347.857.357.3
15.915.415.814.814.8
Surge vs BladesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Surge89.889.884.7*87.184.3
9.79.710.910.411.0
Blades58.062.858.767.367.6
14.714.214.613.613.6
Maniax vs SundogsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sundogs92.4*94.192.895.495.5
8.8*8.28.77.77.7
Grenades*51.050.251.6*51.1*51.3
15.515.615.4*15.515.5
Maniax30.129.822.3*25.721.9
17.617.618.3*18.018.3
Destroyers vs SoundHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Destroyers96.096.093.6*94.893.4
8.08.19.0*8.69.1
Sound92.9*94.493.195.795.7
9.3*8.79.28.28.2
Icehawks vs LeopardsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Icehawks98.798.697.7*98.397.6
5.45.46.4*5.96.4
Leopards92.2*93.792.395.295.2
9.5*9.09.58.58.4
Gems vs StingraysHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gems97.697.795.9*96.895.8
6.46.47.4*6.97.4
Stingrays95.6*96.695.697.597.4
8.2*7.68.17.17.2
Daredevils vs WerewolvesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Daredevils97.597.395.6*96.595.5
7.27.38.2*7.88.3
Werewolves95.696.795.697.497.4
7.57.07.56.56.5
Cyclones vs StarrsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cyclones99.999.999.8*99.899.8
3.13.13.73.43.8
Starrs99.6*99.899.799.899.8
4.33.94.23.63.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Stephen DesRoches, Shawn Arsenault, David MacLeod, and Stephen Clow for adding this league.